St. Thomas Tommies vs Army Black Knights prediction, odds and picks, November 14, 2026
- Projected winnerArmy 81%
- Projected scoreArmy 72, St. Thomas 59
- Model spreadArmy −12.5 total 130.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
St. Thomas Tommies or Army Black Knights: the bandwagon
Axle 19–81Market –
St. Thomas Tommies at Army Black Knights win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
St. Thomas Tommies vs Army Black Knights live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
St. Thomas Tommies vs Army Black Knights team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | STMN | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Score | STMN– | ARMY– |
| Average win probability | STMN– | ARMY– |
| Longest scoring run | STMN– | ARMY– |
| Time leading | STMN– | ARMY– |
St. Thomas Tommies vs Army Black Knights odds
Every stored line
| Stored | ARMY win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 10:00 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 10:00 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 9:55 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 9:45 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 9:15 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 7:49 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:34 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 81% | +1 |
| Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:58 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:20 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:11 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 12:31 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 80% | — |
- Ratings
- ARMY 1580 · STMN 1462
- Home spread
- −12.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 10:00 PM ET · 2026-11-05 03:00 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
St. Thomas Tommies vs Army Black Knights prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Black Knights a 12.5-point favorite at home, with a 81% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Black Knights 1580 (93rd of 356), Tommies 1462 (218th). The Black Knights are 1-0; the Tommies are 0-1. The Black Knights have won 3 of their last 5; the Tommies 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Black Knights won 1, the Tommies 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
St. Thomas Tommies
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Northern Iowa Panthers | L 59–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| at North Dakota State Bison | L 51–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | W 81–54 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | L 52–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Kansas City Roos | W 73–71 | – | – | matchup |
Army Black Knights
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Marshall Thundering Herd | L 65–82 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs La Salle Explorers | W 74–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs NJIT Highlanders | W 59–52 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Holy Cross Crusaders | L 55–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Lafayette Leopards | W 65–57 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Army Black Knights at St. Thomas Tommies | 67–61 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
St. Thomas Tommies: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Army Black Knights: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Tommies0-1 8th · L1
- Tommies rating1462 218th of 356, 1 games
- Black Knights1-0 1st · W1
- Black Knights rating1580 93rd of 356, 0 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 8th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $STMNWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the St. Thomas Tommies bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 1st · streak W1
No stances yet today on $ARMYWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Army Black Knights bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on St. Thomas Tommies at Army Black Knights
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Model: Army 81% to win. Projected score Army 72, St. Thomas 59; spread Army −12.5, total 130.5. St. Thomas Tommies at Army Black Knights, Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET.