St. Thomas Tommies vs Northern Iowa Panthers: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreSt. Thomas 59, Northern Iowa 67 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerNorthern Iowa 75%
- Pregame Projected scoreNorthern Iowa 70, St. Thomas 60
- Model spreadNorthern Iowa −10 total 130.5
- Margin8 projected 10.1
- Total126 projected 130.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
St. Thomas Tommies or Northern Iowa Panthers: the bandwagon
Axle 25–75Market –
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STMN | 15 | 11 | 17 | 16 | 59 |
| UNI | 14 | 14 | 22 | 17 | 67 |
St. Thomas Tommies at Northern Iowa Panthers win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
St. Thomas Tommies vs Northern Iowa Panthers live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | STMN | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | STMN24/59 | UNI21/52 |
| 3-pointers | STMN8/24 | UNI7/21 |
| Free throws | STMN3/6 | UNI18/19 |
| Rebounds | STMN31 | UNI31 |
| Assists | STMN12 | UNI14 |
| Turnovers | STMN16 | UNI15 |
| Steals | STMN5 | UNI10 |
| Blocks | STMN5 | UNI2 |
| Points in the paint | STMN28 | UNI28 |
| Fast-break points | STMN0 | UNI6 |
| Fouls | STMN20 | UNI13 |
| Largest lead | STMN5 | UNI11 |
St. Thomas Tommies vs Northern Iowa Panthers team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | STMN | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Score | STMN59 | UNI67 |
| Average win probability | STMN17% | UNI83% |
| Longest scoring run | STMN+8 | UNI+12 |
| Time leading | STMN7:13 | UNI30:57 |
St. Thomas Tommies vs Northern Iowa Panthers odds
Every stored line
| Stored | UNI win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 4:08 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 75% | −3 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 78% | +15 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- UNI 1552 · STMN 1470
- Home spread
- −10
- Stored
- Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET · 2026-11-03 01:51 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: St. Thomas Tommies 59, Northern Iowa Panthers 67. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
St. Thomas Tommies vs Northern Iowa Panthers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Panthers a 10-point favorite at home, with a 75% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Panthers 1559 (115th of 356), Tommies 1462 (218th). The Panthers are 0-0; the Tommies are 0-0. The Panthers have won 4 of their last 5; the Tommies 2 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Panthers won 2, the Tommies 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
St. Thomas Tommies
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Northern Iowa Panthers | L 59–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| at North Dakota State Bison | L 51–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | W 81–54 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | L 52–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Kansas City Roos | W 73–71 | – | – | matchup |
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs St. Thomas Tommies | W 67–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Murray State Racers | L 59–72 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Bradley Braves | W 74–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Drake Bulldogs | W 65–58 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Indiana State Sycamores | W 92–73 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Iowa Panthers at St. Thomas Tommies | 58–40 | – | – | matchup | |
| St. Thomas Tommies at Northern Iowa Panthers | 46–58 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
St. Thomas Tommies: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Northern Iowa Panthers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Tommies0-0 8th · -
- Tommies rating1462 218th of 356, 1 games
- Panthers0-0 8th · -
- Panthers rating1559 115th of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 8th · streak -
No stances yet today on $STMNWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the St. Thomas Tommies bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 8th · streak -
No stances yet today on $UNIWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Northern Iowa Panthers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on St. Thomas Tommies at Northern Iowa Panthers
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Final: St. Thomas 59, Northern Iowa 67. Bandwagon's model had the Northern Iowa at 75% and projected Northern Iowa 70, St. Thomas 60; spread Northern Iowa −10, total 130.5.