NCAA Division I women's basketball odds Saturday, November 7
Win chance, spread and total for every game. Today's NCAA Division I women's basketball predictions · Standings · every league
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers. How the model works · Axle 2.0 · Betting guide
NCAA Division I women's basketball odds Saturday, November 7
36 games| Game | Kick (ET) | Axle win | Spread | Total | Moneyline (away / home) | Movement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greyhounds at Explorers | Explorers 76% | Explorers −10.5 | 130.5 | +322 / −322 | spread −11.5 → −10.5, home 79% → 76% | Matchup | |
| Eagles at Seahawks | Seahawks 59% | Seahawks −5 | 130.5 | +146 / −146 | no move | Matchup | |
| Privateers at Aggies | Aggies 92% | Aggies −19.5 | 133.5 | +1173 / −1173 | total 134 → 133.5 | Matchup | |
| Buccaneers at Cougars | Cougars 93% | Cougars −20.5 | 130.5 | +1374 / −1374 | no move | Matchup | |
| Panthers at Cardinals | Cardinals 72% | Cardinals −9 | 130.5 | +252 / −252 | no move | Matchup | |
| Golden Flashes at Norse | Norse 64% | Norse −6.5 | 130.5 | +180 / −180 | no move | Matchup | |
| Minutewomen at Friars | Minutewomen 51% | Friars −2.5 | 130.5 | −104 / +104 | no move | Matchup | |
| Seahawks at Red Storm | Red Storm 85% | Red Storm −15 | 130.5 | +588 / −588 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lady Hornets at Wolves | Wolves 72% | Wolves −9 | 130.5 | +254 / −254 | no move | Matchup | |
| Red Wolves at Eagles | Red Wolves 56% | Eagles −1 | 132.5 | −128 / +128 | no move | Matchup | |
| Titans at Beacons | Titans 54% | Beacons −1.5 | 131.5 | −117 / +117 | total 130.5 → 131.5, home 45% → 46% | Matchup | |
| Owls at Owls | Owls 61% | Owls −5.5 | 130.5 | +157 / −157 | no move | Matchup | |
| Sharks at Panthers | Panthers 60% | Panthers −5.5 | 131 | +151 / −151 | no move | Matchup | |
| Spartans at Rockets | Spartans 61% | Spartans −0.5 | 130.5 | −155 / +155 | no move | Matchup | |
| Midshipmen at Owls | Midshipmen 53% | Owls −2 | 135 | −113 / +113 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lady Lions at Bearcats | Bearcats 65% | Bearcats −7 | 130.5 | +183 / −183 | no move | Matchup | |
| Blazers at Jaguars | Jaguars 73% | Jaguars −9.5 | 130.5 | +276 / −276 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bison at Bears | Bears 79% | Bears −11.5 | 133.5 | +376 / −376 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bulldogs at Buffaloes | Buffaloes 84% | Buffaloes −14 | 130.5 | +514 / −514 | no move | Matchup | |
| Golden Gophers at Golden Eagles | Golden Gophers 58% | Golden Eagles −0.5 | 131 | −139 / +139 | no move | Matchup | |
| Highlanders at Colonels | Colonels 71% | Colonels −8.5 | 133 | +242 / −242 | no move | Matchup | |
| Gaels at Falcons | Falcons 62% | Falcons −6 | 130.5 | +160 / −160 | no move | Matchup | |
| Jaguars at Fighting Illini | Fighting Illini 79% | Fighting Illini −12 | 130 | +377 / −377 | spread −11.5 → −12, total 130.5 → 130, home 78% → 79% | Matchup | |
| Cardinals at Miners | Miners 60% | Miners −5.5 | 130.5 | +152 / −152 | no move | Matchup | |
| Leathernecks at Cornhuskers | Cornhuskers 67% | Cornhuskers −7.5 | 130.5 | +203 / −203 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lady Griz at Cougars | Cougars 90% | Cougars −18 | 130.5 | +936 / −936 | no move | Matchup | |
| Flames at Pirates | Pirates 67% | Pirates −7.5 | 130.5 | +199 / −199 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bobcats at Cougars | Bobcats 57% | Cougars −1 | 130.5 | −131 / +131 | no move | Matchup | |
| Pioneers at Wildcats | Wildcats 66% | Wildcats −7 | 130.5 | +195 / −195 | no move | Matchup | |
| Broncos at Wolverines | Broncos 62% | Broncos −0.5 | 130.5 | −161 / +161 | no move | Matchup | |
| Toreros at Tritons neutral site | Tritons 80% | Tritons −12 | 130 | +404 / −404 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bulls at Penguins | Penguins 87% | Penguins −15.5 | 130.5 | +642 / −642 | no move | Matchup | |
| Ramblers at Phoenix | Phoenix 82% | Phoenix −13 | 132 | +466 / −466 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bears at Longhorns | Longhorns 93% | Longhorns −20.5 | 130.5 | +1332 / −1332 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lady Bears at Cowgirls | Lady Bears 68% | Lady Bears −2.5 | 129.5 | −214 / +214 | no move | Matchup | |
| Hornets at Wolf Pack | Hornets 55% | Wolf Pack −1 | 132 | −123 / +123 | no move | Matchup |
How these lines are made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal inputs
- Ratings from results used in 36 of 36
an Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results - Home advantage used in 36 of 36
the league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results - Schedule used in 19 of 36 · unavailable for 17 (First game of a season for at least one side)
rest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures - Recent form unavailable for 36 (Fewer than three games played this season by at least one side)
average margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External inputs
- Injuries unavailable for 36 (No injury list read before this game)
players listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores - Travel and time zones in the data but not used for 34 · unavailable for 2 (No venue coordinates stored for the home side; Neutral site)
distance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · newest read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC - Weather unavailable for 36 (Indoor sport)
forecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
NCAA Division I women's basketball team ratings
The Elo-style ratings the lines are made from, after the latest results. The league mean is 1500.
| # | Team | Rating | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UCLA Bruins | 1887 | 1 |
| 2 | UConn Huskies | 1862 | 1 |
| 3 | South Carolina Gamecocks | 1845 | 1 |
| 4 | Texas Longhorns | 1829 | 0 |
| 5 | LSU Tigers | 1783 | 1 |
| 6 | Duke Blue Devils | 1757 | 1 |
| 7 | TCU Horned Frogs | 1751 | 1 |
| 8 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 1745 | 1 |
| 9 | Michigan Wolverines | 1737 | 0 |
| 10 | West Virginia Mountaineers | 1736 | 1 |
| 11 | Louisville Cardinals | 1735 | 1 |
| 12 | Vanderbilt Commodores | 1727 | 1 |
Top 12 of 356; every team's rating is on its page.
NCAA Division I women's basketball model record
Over 16226 NCAA Division I women's basketball games in 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, scored before each result was known: the favored side won 76% of the time, Brier score 0.1624, mean spread error 10.888 points, mean total error 13.595. Calibration and method.
Bandwagon's model lines for NCAA Division I women's basketball games Saturday, November 7: win probability, spread, total and moneyline for each game, movement since the last line, and the team ratings behind them. Not a sportsbook.