Missouri State Lady Bears vs Wyoming Cowgirls prediction, odds and picks, November 7, 2026
- Projected winnerMissouri State 68%
- Projected scoreMissouri State 66, Wyoming 63
- Model spreadMissouri State −2.5 total 129.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Missouri State Lady Bears or Wyoming Cowgirls: the bandwagon
Axle 68–32Market –
Missouri State Lady Bears at Wyoming Cowgirls win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Missouri State Lady Bears vs Wyoming Cowgirls live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Missouri State Lady Bears vs Wyoming Cowgirls team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | MOST | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| Score | MOST– | WYO– |
| Average win probability | MOST– | WYO– |
| Longest scoring run | MOST– | WYO– |
| Time leading | MOST– | WYO– |
Missouri State Lady Bears vs Wyoming Cowgirls odds
Every stored line
| Stored | WYO win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 9:15 PM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 9:15 PM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:06 PM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:58 PM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:28 PM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:34 AM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET | 32% | −4 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 36% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET | 36% | −3 |
| Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:36 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:46 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:13 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:20 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:11 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 2:23 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 39% | +7 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 32% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 32% | −31 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- WYO 1425 · MOST 1600
- Home spread
- +2.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 9:15 PM ET · 2026-11-05 02:15 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Missouri State Lady Bears vs Wyoming Cowgirls prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Lady Bears a 2.5-point favorite, with a 68% chance to win. The model total is 129.5. Ratings: Cowgirls 1425 (250th of 356), Lady Bears 1600 (76th). The Cowgirls are 0-1; the Lady Bears are 1-0. The Cowgirls have won 1 of their last 5; the Lady Bears 4 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Cowgirls won 0, the Lady Bears 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Missouri State Lady Bears
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | W 77–40 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Texas Longhorns | L 45–87 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Stephen F. Austin Ladyjacks | W 85–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Louisiana Tech Lady Techsters | W 43–38 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Florida International Panthers | W 74–69 | – | – | matchup |
Wyoming Cowgirls
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Santa Clara Broncos | L 50–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Air Force Falcons | L 53–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Grand Canyon Lopes | W 59–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| at San Diego State Aztecs | L 51–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Air Force Falcons | L 61–69 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wyoming Cowgirls at Missouri State Lady Bears | 50–62 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Missouri State Lady Bears: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Wyoming Cowgirls: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Lady Bears1-0 5th · W1
- Lady Bears rating1600 76th of 356, 1 games
- Cowgirls0-1 10th · L1
- Cowgirls rating1425 250th of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 5th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $MOSTWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Missouri State Lady Bears bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Wyoming Cowgirls 0-1
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 10th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $WYOWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Wyoming Cowgirls bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Missouri State Lady Bears at Wyoming Cowgirls
Sign in to post a take on $MOSTWBBWYOWBB261108: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.
Model: Missouri State 68% to win. Projected score Missouri State 66, Wyoming 63; spread Missouri State −2.5, total 129.5. Missouri State Lady Bears at Wyoming Cowgirls, Sat, Nov 7, 9:00 PM ET.