NCAA Division I women's basketball odds Wednesday, November 4
Win chance, spread and total for every game. Today's NCAA Division I women's basketball predictions · Standings · every league
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers. How the model works · Axle 2.0 · Betting guide
NCAA Division I women's basketball odds Wednesday, November 4
14 games| Game | Kick (ET) | Axle win | Spread | Total | Moneyline (away / home) | Movement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden Lions at Texans | Texans 73% | Texans −9.5 | 130.5 | +272 / −272 | no move | Matchup | |
| Fighting Camels at Wolfpack | Wolfpack 87% | Wolfpack −15.5 | 128.5 | +663 / −663 | no move | Matchup | |
| Blue Hens at Hokies | Hokies 87% | Hokies −15.5 | 130.5 | +655 / −655 | no move | Matchup | |
| Titans at Fighting Illini | Fighting Illini 94% | Fighting Illini −21 | 130.5 | +1489 / −1489 | no move | Matchup | |
| Explorers at Scarlet Knights | Explorers 51% | Scarlet Knights −2.5 | 130.5 | −104 / +104 | no move | Matchup | |
| Privateers at Crimson Tide | Crimson Tide 96% | Crimson Tide −24.5 | 130.5 | +2490 / −2490 | no move | Matchup | |
| Mocs at Lady Toppers | Mocs 55% | Lady Toppers −1 | 130.5 | −124 / +124 | no move | Matchup | |
| Knights at Longhorns | Longhorns 92% | Longhorns −19.5 | 130.5 | +1177 / −1177 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lady Tigers at Lopes | Lopes 84% | Lopes −14 | 130.5 | +523 / −523 | no move | Matchup | |
| Sharks at Bobcats | Bobcats 63% | Bobcats −6.5 | 130.5 | +171 / −171 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lady Bears at Buffaloes | Buffaloes 94% | Buffaloes −21 | 130.5 | +1486 / −1486 | no move | Matchup | |
| Hatters at Cardinals | Cardinals 90% | Cardinals −17.5 | 130.5 | +857 / −857 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lancers at Beavers | Beavers 62% | Beavers −6 | 130.5 | +166 / −166 | no move | Matchup | |
| Gaels at Cardinal | Cardinal 75% | Cardinal −10.5 | 130.5 | +305 / −305 | no move | Matchup |
How these lines are made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal inputs
- Ratings from results used in 14 of 14
an Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results - Home advantage used in 14 of 14
the league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results - Schedule used in 1 of 14 · unavailable for 13 (First game of a season for at least one side)
rest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures - Recent form unavailable for 14 (Fewer than three games played this season by at least one side)
average margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External inputs
- Injuries unavailable for 14 (No injury list read before this game)
players listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores - Travel and time zones in the data but not used for 12 · unavailable for 2 (No venue coordinates stored for the home side; A previous venue or its coordinates is not stored)
distance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · newest read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC - Weather unavailable for 14 (Indoor sport)
forecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
NCAA Division I women's basketball team ratings
The Elo-style ratings the lines are made from, after the latest results. The league mean is 1500.
| # | Team | Rating | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UCLA Bruins | 1887 | 1 |
| 2 | UConn Huskies | 1862 | 1 |
| 3 | South Carolina Gamecocks | 1845 | 1 |
| 4 | Texas Longhorns | 1829 | 0 |
| 5 | LSU Tigers | 1783 | 1 |
| 6 | Duke Blue Devils | 1757 | 1 |
| 7 | TCU Horned Frogs | 1751 | 1 |
| 8 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 1745 | 1 |
| 9 | Michigan Wolverines | 1737 | 0 |
| 10 | West Virginia Mountaineers | 1736 | 1 |
| 11 | Louisville Cardinals | 1735 | 1 |
| 12 | Vanderbilt Commodores | 1727 | 1 |
Top 12 of 356; every team's rating is on its page.
NCAA Division I women's basketball model record
Over 16226 NCAA Division I women's basketball games in 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, scored before each result was known: the favored side won 76% of the time, Brier score 0.1624, mean spread error 10.888 points, mean total error 13.595. Calibration and method.
Bandwagon's model lines for NCAA Division I women's basketball games Wednesday, November 4: win probability, spread, total and moneyline for each game, movement since the last line, and the team ratings behind them. Not a sportsbook.