NCAA Division I women's basketball odds Thursday, November 5
Win chance, spread and total for every game. Today's NCAA Division I women's basketball predictions · Standings · every league
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers. How the model works · Axle 2.0 · Betting guide
NCAA Division I women's basketball odds Thursday, November 5
66 games| Game | Kick (ET) | Axle win | Spread | Total | Moneyline (away / home) | Movement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ospreys at Seminoles | Seminoles 83% | Seminoles −13.5 | 130.5 | +484 / −484 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lady Pirates at Mustangs | Mustangs 72% | Mustangs −9 | 130.5 | +261 / −261 | no move | Matchup | |
| RedHawks at Redhawks | RedHawks 71% | RedHawks −3.5 | 127.5 | −247 / +247 | no move | Matchup | |
| Seawolves at Gaels | Gaels 63% | Gaels −6.5 | 130.5 | +172 / −172 | no move | Matchup | |
| Mean Green at Aztecs | Aztecs 73% | Aztecs −9.5 | 130.5 | +275 / −275 | no move | Matchup | |
| Rainbow Wahine at Dons | Dons 51% | Dons −3 | 130.5 | +103 / −103 | no move | Matchup | |
| Flames at Colonials | Colonials 65% | Colonials −7 | 130.5 | +189 / −189 | no move | Matchup | |
| Knights at Gators | Gators 81% | Gators −12.5 | 132.5 | +421 / −421 | no move | Matchup | |
| Golden Griffins at Wildcats | Wildcats 75% | Wildcats −10 | 130.5 | +294 / −294 | no move | Matchup | |
| Blue Devils at Dukes | Dukes 96% | Dukes −24.5 | 127 | +2318 / −2318 | no move | Matchup | |
| 49ers at Lady Raiders | Lady Raiders 88% | Lady Raiders −16 | 130.5 | +702 / −702 | no move | Matchup | |
| Big Green at Crusaders | Crusaders 89% | Crusaders −16.5 | 127 | +774 / −774 | no move | Matchup | |
| Warriors at Highlanders | Highlanders 69% | Highlanders −8 | 127.5 | +218 / −218 | no move | Matchup | |
| Red Foxes at Bulldogs | Bulldogs 78% | Bulldogs −11 | 130.5 | +346 / −346 | no move | Matchup | |
| Mountaineers at Retrievers | Retrievers 74% | Retrievers −9.5 | 130.5 | +278 / −278 | no move | Matchup | |
| Blue Hose at Demon Deacons | Demon Deacons 90% | Demon Deacons −17.5 | 128 | +889 / −889 | no move | Matchup | |
| Saints at Black Bears | Black Bears 69% | Black Bears −8.5 | 130.5 | +228 / −228 | no move | Matchup | |
| Argonauts at Catamounts | Argonauts 70% | Argonauts −3.5 | 130.5 | −237 / +237 | no move | Matchup | |
| Chippewas at Buckeyes | Buckeyes 88% | Buckeyes −16.5 | 128 | +768 / −768 | no move | Matchup | |
| Huskies at Wolverines | Huskies 60% | PK | 130.5 | −149 / +149 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bisons at Bulldogs | Bulldogs 73% | Bulldogs −9.5 | 137.5 | +276 / −276 | no move | Matchup | |
| Jaspers at Great Danes | Great Danes 71% | Great Danes −9 | 130.5 | +247 / −247 | no move | Matchup | |
| Norse at Wildcats | Wildcats 88% | Wildcats −16 | 130.5 | +706 / −706 | no move | Matchup | |
| Cougars at Jaguars | Jaguars 56% | Jaguars −4 | 130.5 | +125 / −125 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bulldogs at Crimson Tide | Crimson Tide 81% | Crimson Tide −13 | 130.5 | +438 / −438 | no move | Matchup | |
| Zips at Patriots | Patriots 95% | Patriots −23.5 | 134.5 | +2026 / −2026 | no move | Matchup | |
| Eagles at Hoyas | Hoyas 88% | Hoyas −16.5 | 130.5 | +769 / −769 | no move | Matchup | |
| Black Knights at Bears | Bears 51% | Bears −3 | 130.5 | +103 / −103 | no move | Matchup | |
| Wildcats at Lady Bulldogs | Wildcats 54% | Lady Bulldogs −1.5 | 130.5 | −117 / +117 | no move | Matchup | |
| Eagles at Crimson | Crimson 90% | Crimson −17.5 | 130.5 | +868 / −868 | no move | Matchup | |
| Vikings at Falcons | Falcons 53% | Falcons −3.5 | 130.5 | +113 / −113 | no move | Matchup | |
| Eagles at Boilermakers | Boilermakers 79% | Boilermakers −11.5 | 133 | +372 / −372 | no move | Matchup | |
| Buccaneers at Tigers | Tigers 75% | Tigers −10.5 | 128.5 | +307 / −307 | no move | Matchup | |
| Eagles at Bears | Eagles 58% | Bears −0.5 | 130.5 | −137 / +137 | no move | Matchup | |
| Revolutionaries at Mountaineers | Mountaineers 91% | Mountaineers −19 | 130.5 | +1045 / −1045 | no move | Matchup | |
| Redbirds at Flyers | Flyers 56% | Flyers −4 | 130.5 | +125 / −125 | no move | Matchup | |
| Dolphins at Hurricanes | Hurricanes 57% | Hurricanes −4.5 | 130.5 | +134 / −134 | no move | Matchup | |
| Devilettes at Cougars | Cougars 58% | Cougars −4.5 | 133.5 | +136 / −136 | spread −5 → −4.5 | Matchup | |
| Purple Eagles at River Hawks | River Hawks 76% | River Hawks −10.5 | 130.5 | +312 / −312 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bobcats at Catamounts | Catamounts 62% | Catamounts −6 | 130.5 | +163 / −163 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bulldogs at Yellow Jackets | Yellow Jackets 78% | Yellow Jackets −11.5 | 130.5 | +351 / −351 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lady Volunteers at Eagles | Lady Volunteers 75% | Lady Volunteers −5 | 130.5 | −299 / +299 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lady Tigers at Tribe | Tribe 82% | Tribe −13 | 130.5 | +442 / −442 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lions at Rebels | Rebels 90% | Rebels −17.5 | 126.5 | +861 / −861 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lady Eagles at Tigers | Tigers 73% | Tigers −9.5 | 130.5 | +271 / −271 | no move | Matchup | |
| Cavaliers at Wildcats | Wildcats 55% | Wildcats −4 | 131 | +120 / −120 | no move | Matchup | |
| Eagles at Lady Bulldogs | Lady Bulldogs 87% | Lady Bulldogs −15.5 | 130.5 | +658 / −658 | no move | Matchup | |
| Cardinals at Mavericks | Cardinals 61% | Cardinals −0.5 | 130.5 | −156 / +156 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lady Tigers at Cowgirls | Cowgirls 85% | Cowgirls −14.5 | 130.5 | +556 / −556 | no move | Matchup | |
| Colonels at Cyclones | Cyclones 85% | Cyclones −14.5 | 130.5 | +578 / −578 | no move | Matchup | |
| Golden Grizzlies at Badgers | Badgers 81% | Badgers −12.5 | 130.5 | +418 / −418 | no move | Matchup | |
| Colonels at Eagles | Colonels 58% | Eagles −0.5 | 134 | −136 / +136 | no move | Matchup | |
| Sugar Bears at Bears | Bears 79% | Bears −11.5 | 130.5 | +369 / −369 | no move | Matchup | |
| Panthers at Hawkeyes | Hawkeyes 96% | Hawkeyes −24.5 | 129.5 | +2453 / −2453 | no move | Matchup | |
| Panthers at Billikens | Billikens 74% | Billikens −10 | 133.5 | +285 / −285 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bearkats at Cougars | Bearkats 55% | Cougars −1 | 130.5 | −123 / +123 | no move | Matchup | |
| Tigers at Tigers | Tigers 98% | Tigers −29 | 133 | +4604 / −4604 | no move | Matchup | |
| Gauchos at Waves | Waves 60% | Waves −5.5 | 130.5 | +150 / −150 | no move | Matchup | |
| Musketeers at Wildcats | Wildcats 61% | Wildcats −6 | 130.5 | +159 / −159 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lumberjacks at Sun Devils | Sun Devils 85% | Sun Devils −14.5 | 130.5 | +581 / −581 | no move | Matchup | |
| Seahawks at Leopards | Leopards 62% | Leopards −6 | 130.5 | +166 / −166 | no move | Matchup | |
| Beach at Golden Bears | Golden Bears 92% | Golden Bears −19.5 | 130.5 | +1128 / −1128 | no move | Matchup | |
| Pilots at Cougars | Cougars 75% | Cougars −10.5 | 130.5 | +306 / −306 | no move | Matchup | |
| Ragin' Cajuns at Aggies | Aggies 88% | Aggies −16 | 130.5 | +713 / −713 | no move | Matchup | |
| Tigers at Huskies | Huskies 91% | Huskies −18.5 | 130.5 | +978 / −978 | no move | Matchup | |
| Anteaters at Bruins | Bruins 92% | Bruins −19.5 | 130.5 | +1123 / −1123 | no move | Matchup |
How these lines are made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal inputs
- Ratings from results used in 66 of 66
an Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results - Home advantage used in 66 of 66
the league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results - Schedule used in 22 of 66 · unavailable for 44 (First game of a season for at least one side)
rest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures - Recent form unavailable for 66 (Fewer than three games played this season by at least one side)
average margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External inputs
- Injuries unavailable for 66 (No injury list read before this game)
players listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores - Travel and time zones in the data but not used for 65 · unavailable for 1 (No venue coordinates stored for the home side)
distance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · newest read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC - Weather unavailable for 66 (Indoor sport)
forecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
NCAA Division I women's basketball team ratings
The Elo-style ratings the lines are made from, after the latest results. The league mean is 1500.
| # | Team | Rating | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UCLA Bruins | 1887 | 1 |
| 2 | UConn Huskies | 1862 | 1 |
| 3 | South Carolina Gamecocks | 1845 | 1 |
| 4 | Texas Longhorns | 1829 | 0 |
| 5 | LSU Tigers | 1783 | 1 |
| 6 | Duke Blue Devils | 1757 | 1 |
| 7 | TCU Horned Frogs | 1751 | 1 |
| 8 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 1745 | 1 |
| 9 | Michigan Wolverines | 1737 | 0 |
| 10 | West Virginia Mountaineers | 1736 | 1 |
| 11 | Louisville Cardinals | 1735 | 1 |
| 12 | Vanderbilt Commodores | 1727 | 1 |
Top 12 of 356; every team's rating is on its page.
NCAA Division I women's basketball model record
Over 16226 NCAA Division I women's basketball games in 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, scored before each result was known: the favored side won 76% of the time, Brier score 0.1624, mean spread error 10.888 points, mean total error 13.595. Calibration and method.
Bandwagon's model lines for NCAA Division I women's basketball games Thursday, November 5: win probability, spread, total and moneyline for each game, movement since the last line, and the team ratings behind them. Not a sportsbook.