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NCAA Women's Basketball · · Marriott Center · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

Portland Pilots vs BYU Cougars prediction, odds and picks, November 5, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Portland Pilots or BYU Cougars: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 25–75Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: BYU 75%
Record 0-0
––
Record 0-0
Game clock
KickoffThursday, November 5 at 9:00 PM ET
Situation
–
Possession
–

Portland Pilots at BYU Cougars win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Portland Pilots vs BYU Cougars live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Portland Pilots vs BYU Cougars team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatPORTBYU
ScorePORT–BYU–
Average win probabilityPORT–BYU–
Longest scoring runPORT–BYU–
Time leadingPORT–BYU–

Portland Pilots vs BYU Cougars odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 10 h ago
Pilots25%
Win chance
Cougars75%
SpreadBYU −10.5
Total130.5
Moneyline+306away / −306homeaway / home
Line movementBYU win chance, 34 stored lines
+12 pts for BYU since Oct 29
82%58%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: BYU 63%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: BYU 77%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: BYU 77%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: BYU 77%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: BYU 74%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: BYU 74%Nov 2, 12:31 PM ET: BYU 74%Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET: BYU 74%Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET: BYU 74%Nov 2, 3:17 PM ET: BYU 74%Nov 2, 4:58 PM ET: BYU 74%Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET: BYU 74%Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET: BYU 74%Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET: BYU 74%Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET: BYU 74%Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET: BYU 74%Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET: BYU 74%Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET: BYU 74%Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET: BYU 74%Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET: BYU 74%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: BYU 74%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: BYU 74%Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET: BYU 74%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: BYU 74%Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET: BYU 74%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: BYU 74%Nov 3, 7:58 PM ET: BYU 74%Nov 3, 8:48 PM ET: BYU 74%Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET: BYU 74%Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET: BYU 74%Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET: BYU 74%Nov 3, 11:06 PM ET: BYU 75%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: BYU 75%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: BYU 75%
Oct 29Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredBYU winMove
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET75%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET75%0
Nov 3, 11:06 PM ET75%+1
Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET74%0
Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET74%0
Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET74%0
Nov 3, 8:48 PM ET74%0
Nov 3, 7:58 PM ET74%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET74%0
Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET74%0
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET74%0
Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET74%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET74%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET74%0
Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET74%0
Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET74%0
Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET74%0
Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET74%0
Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET74%0
Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET74%0
Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET74%0
Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET74%0
Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET74%0
Nov 2, 4:58 PM ET74%0
Nov 2, 3:17 PM ET74%0
Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET74%0
Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET74%0
Nov 2, 12:31 PM ET74%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET74%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET74%−3
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET77%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET77%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET77%+14
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET63%—
Ratings
BYU 1628 · PORT 1543
Home spread
−10.5
Stored
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

PilotsCougars
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Cougars–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Portland Pilots vs BYU Cougars prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Cougars a 10.5-point favorite at home, with a 75% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Cougars 1628 (56th of 356), Pilots 1543 (126th). The Cougars are 0-0; the Pilots are 0-0. The Cougars have won 4 of their last 5; the Pilots 3 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Cougars won 1, the Pilots 2.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Portland Pilots

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Montana State BobcatsL 54–72––matchup
at Lamar CardinalsW 78–68––matchup
vs Sam Houston BearkatsW 62–59––matchup
at Oregon State BeaversL 50–60––matchup
vs Washington State CougarsW 72–62––matchup

BYU Cougars

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Idaho State BengalsW 67–50––matchup
vs Columbia LionsL 64–81––matchup
vs Kansas JayhawksW 70–67––matchup
vs Stanford CardinalW 76–61––matchup
vs Missouri TigersW 93–75––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
BYU Cougars at Portland Pilots87–53––matchup
Portland Pilots at BYU Cougars61–49––matchup
BYU Cougars at Portland Pilots45–67––matchup

Injuries

Portland Pilots: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

BYU Cougars: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Pilots0-0 6th · -
  • Pilots rating1543 126th of 356, 0 games
  • Cougars0-0 4th · -
  • Cougars rating1628 56th of 356, 1 games

Portland Pilots 0-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 6th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $PORTWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $PORTWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $PORTWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $PORTWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Portland Pilots bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Pilots roster, schedule and more

BYU Cougars 0-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 4th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $BYUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $BYUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $BYUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $BYUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the BYU Cougars bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Cougars roster, schedule and more

Takes on Portland Pilots at BYU Cougars

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