BYU Cougars lead the Idaho State Bengals 5-3 early in the first period, with 8:29 left. The model gives the Cougars a 77% chance, and no crowd picks are in yet.
NCAA Women's Basketball · · Marriott Center · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line
Idaho State Bengals vs BYU Cougars: final score and how the prediction did, November 3, 2026
- Final scoreIdaho State 50, BYU 67 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerBYU 77%
- Pregame Projected scoreBYU 71, Idaho State 60
- Model spreadBYU −11 total 130.5
- Margin17 projected 11.1
- Total117 projected 130.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Idaho State Bengals or BYU Cougars: the bandwagon
Axle 23–77Market –
FinalPregame: BYU 77%Baseline: BYU 78.9% (+1.6)Big swing: 23.2 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IDST | 16 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 |
| BYU | 11 | 14 | 23 | 19 | 67 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Idaho State Bengals at BYU Cougars win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for BYU over the last 5:00
Big swing23.2 ptstoward IDST at 10:00 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselineBYU 78.9%game average, +1.6 points from the pregame 77.3%
Idaho State Bengals vs BYU Cougars live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | IDST | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | IDST15/46 | BYU25/74 |
| 3-pointers | IDST7/18 | BYU9/38 |
| Free throws | IDST13/22 | BYU8/10 |
| Rebounds | IDST34 | BYU51 |
| Assists | IDST8 | BYU17 |
| Turnovers | IDST20 | BYU13 |
| Steals | IDST6 | BYU12 |
| Blocks | IDST4 | BYU3 |
| Points in the paint | IDST14 | BYU30 |
| Fast-break points | IDST8 | BYU14 |
| Fouls | IDST18 | BYU19 |
| Largest lead | IDST6 | BYU18 |
Idaho State Bengals vs BYU Cougars team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | IDST | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | IDST50 | BYU67 |
| Average win probability | IDST21% | BYU79% |
| Longest scoring run | IDST+7 | BYU+8 |
| Time leading | IDST14:40 | BYU18:26 |
Idaho State Bengals vs BYU Cougars odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET
Bengals23%
Win chanceCougars77%
SpreadBYU −11closing model spread
Total130.5
Moneyline+340away / −340homeaway / home
Line movementBYU win chance, 33 stored lines
+14 pts for BYU between Oct 29 and Nov 3
86%58%
Oct 29Nov 1Nov 3
Every stored line
| Stored | BYU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:58 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:33 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:13 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:58 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:17 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:20 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:06 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 12:31 PM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 77% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 77% | −4 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 81% | +18 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- BYU 1617 · IDST 1518
- Home spread
- −11
- Stored
- Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET · 2026-11-04 02:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Idaho State Bengals 50, BYU Cougars 67. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
BengalsCougars
Neutrals only–
BengalsCougars
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Cougars–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Idaho State Bengals vs BYU Cougars prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Cougars a 11-point favorite at home, with a 77% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Cougars 1628 (56th of 356), Bengals 1507 (162nd). The Cougars are 1-0; the Bengals are 0-1. The Cougars have won 4 of their last 5; the Bengals 1 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Cougars won 3, the Bengals 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Idaho State Bengals
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at BYU Cougars | L 50–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Sacramento State Hornets | L 53–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Sacramento State Hornets | L 72–85 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Weber State Wildcats | W 59–54 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Montana State Bobcats | L 61–67 | – | – | matchup |
BYU Cougars
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Idaho State Bengals | W 67–50 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Columbia Lions | L 64–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Kansas Jayhawks | W 70–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Stanford Cardinal | W 76–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Missouri Tigers | W 93–75 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho State Bengals at BYU Cougars | 59–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| BYU Cougars at Idaho State Bengals | 77–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| Idaho State Bengals at BYU Cougars | 76–79 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Idaho State Bengals: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
BYU Cougars: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Bengals0-1 9th · L1
- Bengals rating1507 162nd of 356, 1 games
- Cougars1-0 3rd · W1
- Cougars rating1628 56th of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 9th · streak L1
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No stances yet today on $IDSTWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Idaho State Bengals bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
BYU Cougars 1-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 3rd · streak W1
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