NCAA Division I women's basketball odds Monday, November 16
Win chance, spread and total for every game. Today's NCAA Division I women's basketball predictions · Standings · every league
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers. How the model works · Axle 2.0 · Betting guide
NCAA Division I women's basketball odds Monday, November 16
21 games| Game | Kick (ET) | Axle win | Spread | Total | Moneyline (away / home) | Movement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seahawks at Blue Hose | Seahawks 57% | Blue Hose −0.5 | 130.5 | −132 / +132 | no move | Matchup | |
| Cardinals at Aggies | Aggies 64% | Aggies −6.5 | 130.5 | +180 / −180 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bulldogs at Crusaders | Crusaders 77% | Crusaders −11 | 130.5 | +338 / −338 | no move | Matchup | |
| Raiders at Blue Devils | Raiders 54% | Blue Devils −1.5 | 130.5 | −116 / +116 | no move | Matchup | |
| Eagles at Rams | Rams 71% | Rams −8.5 | 128 | +241 / −241 | no move | Matchup | |
| Colonials at Dukes | Dukes 58% | Dukes −4.5 | 130.5 | +136 / −136 | no move | Matchup | |
| Golden Lions at Warhawks | Warhawks 80% | Warhawks −12.5 | 127.5 | +409 / −409 | no move | Matchup | |
| Vikings at Musketeers | Vikings 62% | Vikings −1 | 130.5 | −164 / +164 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bulldogs at Bobcats | Bobcats 91% | Bobcats −19 | 130.5 | +1046 / −1046 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lady Pirates at Panthers | Panthers 91% | Panthers −18 | 130.5 | +962 / −962 | no move | Matchup | |
| Gamecocks at Lady Eagles | Lady Eagles 61% | Lady Eagles −5.5 | 130.5 | +157 / −157 | no move | Matchup | |
| Great Danes at Scarlet Knights | Scarlet Knights 55% | Scarlet Knights −4 | 130.5 | +122 / −122 | no move | Matchup | |
| Cowgirls at Green Wave | Cowgirls 60% | PK | 130.5 | −149 / +149 | no move | Matchup | |
| Golden Eagles at Blue Raiders | Blue Raiders 72% | Blue Raiders −9 | 138 | +260 / −260 | no move | Matchup | |
| Ragin' Cajuns at Roadrunners | Roadrunners 90% | Roadrunners −18 | 130.5 | +917 / −917 | no move | Matchup | |
| Razorbacks at Trojans | Trojans 63% | Trojans −6 | 130.5 | +169 / −169 | no move | Matchup | |
| Roos at Aggies | Aggies 65% | Aggies −7 | 130.5 | +186 / −186 | no move | Matchup | |
| Wolverines at Chippewas | Wolverines 76% | Wolverines −5.5 | 130.5 | −324 / +324 | no move | Matchup | |
| Trojans at Tigers | Tigers 82% | Tigers −13 | 136 | +460 / −460 | no move | Matchup | |
| Aggies at Bears | Bears 64% | Bears −6.5 | 130.5 | +174 / −174 | no move | Matchup | |
| Huskies at Utes | Utes 90% | Utes −17.5 | 129.5 | +896 / −896 | no move | Matchup |
How these lines are made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal inputs
- Ratings from results used in 21 of 21
an Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results - Home advantage used in 21 of 21
the league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results - Schedule used in 21 of 21
rest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures - Recent form unavailable for 21 (Fewer than three games played this season by at least one side)
average margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External inputs
- Injuries unavailable for 21 (More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that window)
players listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores - Travel and time zones in the data but not used for 21
distance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · newest read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC - Weather unavailable for 21 (Indoor sport)
forecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
NCAA Division I women's basketball team ratings
The Elo-style ratings the lines are made from, after the latest results. The league mean is 1500.
| # | Team | Rating | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UCLA Bruins | 1887 | 1 |
| 2 | UConn Huskies | 1862 | 1 |
| 3 | South Carolina Gamecocks | 1845 | 1 |
| 4 | Texas Longhorns | 1829 | 0 |
| 5 | LSU Tigers | 1783 | 1 |
| 6 | Duke Blue Devils | 1757 | 1 |
| 7 | TCU Horned Frogs | 1751 | 1 |
| 8 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 1745 | 1 |
| 9 | Michigan Wolverines | 1737 | 0 |
| 10 | West Virginia Mountaineers | 1736 | 1 |
| 11 | Louisville Cardinals | 1735 | 1 |
| 12 | Vanderbilt Commodores | 1727 | 1 |
Top 12 of 356; every team's rating is on its page.
NCAA Division I women's basketball model record
Over 16226 NCAA Division I women's basketball games in 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, scored before each result was known: the favored side won 76% of the time, Brier score 0.1624, mean spread error 10.888 points, mean total error 13.595. Calibration and method.
Bandwagon's model lines for NCAA Division I women's basketball games Monday, November 16: win probability, spread, total and moneyline for each game, movement since the last line, and the team ratings behind them. Not a sportsbook.