Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs Southern Miss Lady Eagles prediction, odds and picks, November 16, 2026
- Projected winnerSouthern Miss 61%
- Projected scoreSouthern Miss 68, Jacksonville State 62
- Model spreadSouthern Miss −5.5 total 130.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Jacksonville State Gamecocks or Southern Miss Lady Eagles: the bandwagon
Axle 39–61Market –
Jacksonville State Gamecocks at Southern Miss Lady Eagles win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs Southern Miss Lady Eagles live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs Southern Miss Lady Eagles team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | JXST | USM |
|---|---|---|
| Score | JXST– | USM– |
| Average win probability | JXST– | USM– |
| Longest scoring run | JXST– | USM– |
| Time leading | JXST– | USM– |
Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs Southern Miss Lady Eagles odds
Every stored line
| Stored | USM win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:28 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:58 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 61% | — |
- Ratings
- USM 1449 · JXST 1464
- Home spread
- −5.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs Southern Miss Lady Eagles prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Lady Eagles a 5.5-point favorite at home, with a 61% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Lady Eagles 1449 (227th of 356), Gamecocks 1464 (214th). The Lady Eagles are 1-0; the Gamecocks are 0-0. The Lady Eagles have won 2 of their last 5; the Gamecocks 3 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Lady Eagles won 1, the Gamecocks 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Florida International Panthers | L 66–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UTEP Miners | W 82–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Kennesaw State Owls | W 70–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| at New Mexico State Aggies | W 57–38 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UTEP Miners | L 64–66 | – | – | matchup |
Southern Miss Lady Eagles
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs UL Monroe Warhawks | L 72–89 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UL Monroe Warhawks | W 68–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| at South Alabama Jaguars | L 43–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Troy Trojans | L 80–97 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | W 83–61 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Miss Lady Eagles at Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 67–61 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Jacksonville State Gamecocks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Southern Miss Lady Eagles: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Gamecocks0-0 4th · -
- Gamecocks rating1464 214th of 356, 0 games
- Lady Eagles1-0 3rd · W1
- Lady Eagles rating1449 227th of 356, 0 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 4th · streak -
No stances yet today on $JXSTWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Jacksonville State Gamecocks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 3rd · streak W1
No stances yet today on $USMWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Southern Miss Lady Eagles bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Jacksonville State Gamecocks at Southern Miss Lady Eagles
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Model: Southern Miss 61% to win. Projected score Southern Miss 68, Jacksonville State 62; spread Southern Miss −5.5, total 130.5. Jacksonville State Gamecocks at Southern Miss Lady Eagles, Mon, Nov 16, 7:00 PM ET.