Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders prediction, odds and picks, November 16, 2026
- Projected winnerMiddle Tennessee 72%
- Projected scoreMiddle Tennessee 74, Tennessee Tech 64
- Model spreadMiddle Tennessee −9 total 138
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles or Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: the bandwagon
Axle 28–72Market –
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | TNTC | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | TNTC– | MTSU– |
| Average win probability | TNTC– | MTSU– |
| Longest scoring run | TNTC– | MTSU– |
| Time leading | TNTC– | MTSU– |
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders odds
Every stored line
| Stored | MTSU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:06 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 7:58 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 72% | — |
- Ratings
- MTSU 1540 · TNTC 1486
- Home spread
- −9
- Stored
- Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET · 2026-11-04 19:15 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Blue Raiders a 9-point favorite at home, with a 72% chance to win. The model total is 138. Ratings: Blue Raiders 1540 (129th of 356), Golden Eagles 1486 (194th). The Blue Raiders are 0-0; the Golden Eagles are 0-1. The Blue Raiders have won 3 of their last 5; the Golden Eagles 2 of their last 5. The two have met 4 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Blue Raiders won 3, the Golden Eagles 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Butler Bulldogs | L 71–108 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | L 61–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UT Martin Skyhawks | W 80–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs SIU Edwardsville Cougars | L 60–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Morehead State Eagles | W 61–58 | – | – | matchup |
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Saint Louis Billikens | W 91–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Cleveland State Vikings | L 56–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies | W 69–50 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Missouri State Lady Bears | L 66–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Missouri State Lady Bears | W 86–75 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles | 54–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 52–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles | 63–47 | – | – | matchup | |
| Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 45–83 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Golden Eagles0-1 2nd · L1
- Golden Eagles rating1486 194th of 356, 1 games
- Blue Raiders0-0 6th · -
- Blue Raiders rating1540 129th of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 2nd · streak L1
No stances yet today on $TNTCWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 6th · streak -
No stances yet today on $MTSUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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Model: Middle Tennessee 72% to win. Projected score Middle Tennessee 74, Tennessee Tech 64; spread Middle Tennessee −9, total 138. Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders, Mon, Nov 16, 7:30 PM ET.