Butler Bulldogs lead Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles 5-0 with 9:01 left in the 1st period. The model has the Bulldogs at 57% so far, and no crowd picks are in yet.
NCAA Women's Basketball · · Hinkle Fieldhouse · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles vs Butler Bulldogs: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreTennessee Tech 71, Butler 108 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerButler 57%
- Pregame Projected scoreButler 68, Tennessee Tech 63
- Model spreadButler −4.5 total 130.5
- Margin37 projected 4.5
- Total179 projected 130.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles or Butler Bulldogs: the bandwagon
Axle 43–57Market –
FinalPregame: BTLR 57%Baseline: BTLR 95.0% (+38.3)Big swing: 10.1 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TNTC | 14 | 16 | 25 | 16 | 71 |
| BTLR | 31 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 108 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles at Butler Bulldogs win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for BTLR over the last 5:00
Big swing10.1 ptstoward BTLR at 1:22 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselineBTLR 95.0%game average, +38.3 points from the pregame 56.7%
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles vs Butler Bulldogs live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | TNTC | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | TNTC25/69 | BTLR39/67 |
| 3-pointers | TNTC8/25 | BTLR3/13 |
| Free throws | TNTC13/21 | BTLR27/37 |
| Rebounds | TNTC30 | BTLR48 |
| Assists | TNTC14 | BTLR26 |
| Turnovers | TNTC20 | BTLR16 |
| Steals | TNTC10 | BTLR16 |
| Blocks | TNTC3 | BTLR4 |
| Points in the paint | TNTC20 | BTLR70 |
| Fast-break points | TNTC6 | BTLR28 |
| Fouls | TNTC26 | BTLR25 |
| Largest lead | TNTC0 | BTLR41 |
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles vs Butler Bulldogs team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | TNTC | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| Score | TNTC71 | BTLR108 |
| Average win probability | TNTC5% | BTLR95% |
| Longest scoring run | TNTC+6 | BTLR+11 |
| Time leading | TNTC0:00 | BTLR38:25 |
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles vs Butler Bulldogs odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET
Golden Eagles43%
Win chanceBulldogs57%
SpreadBTLR −4.5closing model spread
Total130.5
Moneyline+131away / −131homeaway / home
Line movementBTLR win chance, 8 stored lines
−6 pts for BTLR between Oct 29 and Nov 2
69%50%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
| Stored | BTLR win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 57% | +2 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 55% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 55% | −8 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- BTLR 1479 · TNTC 1512
- Home spread
- −4.5
- Stored
- Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET · 2026-11-02 18:01 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles 71, Butler Bulldogs 108. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
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Golden EaglesBulldogs
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Golden EaglesBulldogs
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Bulldogs–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles vs Butler Bulldogs prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Bulldogs a 4.5-point favorite at home, with a 57% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Bulldogs 1505 (165th of 356), Golden Eagles 1486 (194th). The Bulldogs are 1-0; the Golden Eagles are 0-1. The Bulldogs have won 4 of their last 5; the Golden Eagles 2 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Butler Bulldogs | L 71–108 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | L 61–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UT Martin Skyhawks | W 80–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs SIU Edwardsville Cougars | L 60–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Morehead State Eagles | W 61–58 | – | – | matchup |
Butler Bulldogs
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles | W 108–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Georgetown Hoyas | L 58–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Seton Hall Pirates | W 62–55 | – | – | matchup | |
| at DePaul Blue Demons | W 71–64 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Georgetown Hoyas | W 66–58 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Butler Bulldogs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Golden Eagles0-1 8th · L1
- Golden Eagles rating1486 194th of 356, 1 games
- Bulldogs1-0 1st · W1
- Bulldogs rating1505 165th of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 8th · streak L1
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Butler Bulldogs 1-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 1st · streak W1
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