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NCAA Women's Basketball · · William H. Detrick Gymnasium · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

Colgate Raiders vs Central Connecticut Blue Devils prediction, odds and picks, November 16, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Colgate Raiders or Central Connecticut Blue Devils: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 54–46Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: CCSU 46%
Record 0-0
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Game clock
KickoffMonday, November 16 at 6:00 PM ET
Situation
–
Possession
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Colgate Raiders at Central Connecticut Blue Devils win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Colgate Raiders vs Central Connecticut Blue Devils live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Colgate Raiders vs Central Connecticut Blue Devils team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatCOLGCCSU
ScoreCOLG–CCSU–
Average win probabilityCOLG–CCSU–
Longest scoring runCOLG–CCSU–
Time leadingCOLG–CCSU–

Colgate Raiders vs Central Connecticut Blue Devils odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 11 h ago
Raiders54%
Win chance
Blue Devils46%
SpreadCCSU −1.5
Total130.5
Moneyline−116away / +116homeaway / home
Line movementCCSU win chance, 9 stored lines
−3 pts for CCSU since Nov 3
54%41%
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: CCSU 49%Nov 3, 7:58 PM ET: CCSU 49%Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET: CCSU 46%Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET: CCSU 46%Nov 3, 9:28 PM ET: CCSU 46%Nov 3, 9:58 PM ET: CCSU 46%Nov 3, 11:06 PM ET: CCSU 46%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: CCSU 46%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: CCSU 46%
Nov 3Now
Every stored line
StoredCCSU winMove
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET46%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET46%0
Nov 3, 11:06 PM ET46%0
Nov 3, 9:58 PM ET46%0
Nov 3, 9:28 PM ET46%0
Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET46%0
Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET46%−3
Nov 3, 7:58 PM ET49%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET49%—
Ratings
CCSU 1294 · COLG 1384
Home spread
−1.5
Stored
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

RaidersBlue Devils
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Blue Devils–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Colgate Raiders vs Central Connecticut Blue Devils prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Raiders the favorite, with a 54% chance to win; its spread is Blue Devils −1.5. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Blue Devils 1294 (347th of 356), Raiders 1384 (295th). The Blue Devils are 0-0; the Raiders are 0-0. The Blue Devils have won 2 of their last 5; the Raiders 1 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Blue Devils won 1, the Raiders 1.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Colgate Raiders

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Holy Cross CrusadersL 36–72––matchup
at Bucknell BisonW 57–47––matchup
at Lafayette LeopardsL 55–66––matchup
vs Navy MidshipmenL 63–73––matchup
at Loyola Maryland GreyhoundsL 49–58––matchup

Central Connecticut Blue Devils

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at VCU RamsL 43–67––matchup
vs New Haven ChargersW 60–50––matchup
vs Chicago State CougarsW 86–75––matchup
vs Fairleigh Dickinson KnightsL 36–77––matchup
vs Wagner SeahawksL 41–50––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Central Connecticut Blue Devils at Colgate Raiders60–74––matchup
Colgate Raiders at Central Connecticut Blue Devils54–69––matchup

Injuries

Colgate Raiders: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Central Connecticut Blue Devils: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Raiders0-0 7th · -
  • Raiders rating1384 295th of 356, 0 games
  • Blue Devils0-0 1st · -
  • Blue Devils rating1294 347th of 356, 1 games

Colgate Raiders 0-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 7th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $COLGWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $COLGWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $COLGWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $COLGWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Colgate Raiders bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Raiders roster, schedule and more

Central Connecticut Blue Devils 0-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 1st · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $CCSUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $CCSUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $CCSUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $CCSUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Central Connecticut Blue Devils bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Blue Devils roster, schedule and more

Takes on Colgate Raiders at Central Connecticut Blue Devils

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