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NCAA Women's Basketball · · Jersey Mike's Arena · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

UAlbany Great Danes vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights prediction, odds and picks, November 16, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

UAlbany Great Danes or Rutgers Scarlet Knights: the bandwagon

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Axle 48–52Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: RUTG 52%
Record 0-0
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Game clock
KickoffMonday, November 16 at 7:00 PM ET
Situation
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Possession
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UAlbany Great Danes at Rutgers Scarlet Knights win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

UAlbany Great Danes vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

UAlbany Great Danes vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatUALBRUTG
ScoreUALB–RUTG–
Average win probabilityUALB–RUTG–
Longest scoring runUALB–RUTG–
Time leadingUALB–RUTG–

UAlbany Great Danes vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 11 h ago
Great Danes48%
Win chance
Scarlet Knights52%
SpreadRUTG −3
Total130.5
Moneyline+106away / −106homeaway / home
Line movementRUTG win chance, 5 stored lines
No move
57%46%
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: RUTG 52%Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET: RUTG 52%Nov 3, 9:28 PM ET: RUTG 52%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: RUTG 52%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: RUTG 52%
Nov 3Now
Every stored line
StoredRUTG winMove
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET52%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET52%0
Nov 3, 9:28 PM ET52%0
Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET52%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET52%—
Ratings
RUTG 1441 · UALB 1502
Home spread
−3
Stored
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

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Great DanesScarlet Knights
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Scarlet Knights–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

UAlbany Great Danes vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Scarlet Knights a 3-point favorite at home, with a 52% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Scarlet Knights 1441 (239th of 356), Great Danes 1502 (168th). The Scarlet Knights are 0-0; the Great Danes are 0-0. The Scarlet Knights have won 1 of their last 5; the Great Danes 2 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

UAlbany Great Danes

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Northeastern HuskiesW 65–61––matchup
at Vermont CatamountsL 40–55––matchup
at New Hampshire WildcatsL 42–45––matchup
at Maine Black BearsL 59–60––matchup
vs UMBC RetrieversW 69–63––matchup

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Long Island University SharksW 83–52––matchup
at Nebraska CornhuskersL 52–93––matchup
vs Indiana HoosiersL 69–79––matchup
vs Penn State Lady LionsL 78–87––matchup
at Illinois Fighting IlliniL 56–76––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

UAlbany Great Danes: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Rutgers Scarlet Knights: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Great Danes0-0 7th · -
  • Great Danes rating1502 168th of 356, 1 games
  • Scarlet Knights0-0 17th · -
  • Scarlet Knights rating1441 239th of 356, 1 games

UAlbany Great Danes 0-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 7th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $UALBWBB
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No stances yet today on $UALBWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UAlbany Great Danes bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Great Danes roster, schedule and more

Rutgers Scarlet Knights 0-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 17th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $RUTGWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $RUTGWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $RUTGWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $RUTGWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Scarlet Knights roster, schedule and more

Takes on UAlbany Great Danes at Rutgers Scarlet Knights

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Model: Rutgers 52% to win. Projected score Rutgers 67, UAlbany 64; spread Rutgers −3, total 130.5. UAlbany Great Danes at Rutgers Scarlet Knights, Mon, Nov 16, 7:00 PM ET.