Rutgers leads Long Island University 5-3 with 7:18 left in the first period, a two-run margin this early. The model gives Rutgers a 59% chance, and no crowd picks are in yet. Jordan Reyes
NCAA Women's Basketball · · Jersey Mike's Arena · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line
Long Island University Sharks vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreLong Island University 52, Rutgers 83 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerRutgers 59%
- Pregame Projected scoreRutgers 68, Long Island University 63
- Model spreadRutgers −5 total 130.5
- Margin31 projected 5.1
- Total135 projected 130.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Long Island University Sharks or Rutgers Scarlet Knights: the bandwagon
Axle 41–59Market –
FinalPregame: RUTG 59%Baseline: RUTG 85.9% (+26.9)Big swing: 40.9 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIU | 12 | 11 | 11 | 18 | 52 |
| RUTG | 22 | 23 | 19 | 19 | 83 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Long Island University Sharks at Rutgers Scarlet Knights win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for RUTG over the last 5:00
Big swing40.9 ptstoward RUTG at 27:20 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselineRUTG 85.9%game average, +26.9 points from the pregame 59.0%
Long Island University Sharks vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | LIU | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | LIU18/40 | RUTG28/79 |
| 3-pointers | LIU8/15 | RUTG7/30 |
| Free throws | LIU8/22 | RUTG20/34 |
| Rebounds | LIU39 | RUTG47 |
| Assists | LIU13 | RUTG14 |
| Turnovers | LIU33 | RUTG10 |
| Steals | LIU7 | RUTG18 |
| Blocks | LIU6 | RUTG3 |
| Points in the paint | LIU18 | RUTG34 |
| Fast-break points | LIU14 | RUTG21 |
| Fouls | LIU28 | RUTG18 |
| Largest lead | LIU1 | RUTG36 |
Long Island University Sharks vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | LIU | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Score | LIU52 | RUTG83 |
| Average win probability | LIU14% | RUTG86% |
| Longest scoring run | LIU+3 | RUTG+3 |
| Time leading | LIU0:00 | RUTG12:40 |
Long Island University Sharks vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 8:36 PM ET
Sharks41%
Win chanceScarlet Knights59%
SpreadRUTG −5closing model spread
Total130.5
Moneyline+144away / −144homeaway / home
Line movementRUTG win chance, 19 stored lines
−4 pts for RUTG between Oct 29 and Nov 2
69%53%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
| Stored | RUTG win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 8:36 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:36 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:47 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:11 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 12:31 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 59% | +1 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 58% | −5 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- RUTG 1417 · LIU 1437
- Home spread
- −5
- Stored
- Nov 2, 8:36 PM ET · 2026-11-03 01:36 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Long Island University Sharks 52, Rutgers Scarlet Knights 83. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
SharksScarlet Knights
Neutrals only–
SharksScarlet Knights
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Scarlet Knights–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Long Island University Sharks vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Scarlet Knights a 5-point favorite at home, with a 59% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Scarlet Knights 1441 (239th of 356), Sharks 1414 (262nd). The Scarlet Knights are 1-0; the Sharks are 0-1. The Scarlet Knights have won 2 of their last 5; the Sharks 2 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Long Island University Sharks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Texas State Bobcats | L 51–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Rutgers Scarlet Knights | L 52–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | L 57–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Chicago State Cougars | W 99–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Wagner Seahawks | W 79–71 | – | – | matchup |
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs La Salle Explorers | W 75–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Long Island University Sharks | W 83–52 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Nebraska Cornhuskers | L 52–93 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Indiana Hoosiers | L 69–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Penn State Lady Lions | L 78–87 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Long Island University Sharks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Rutgers Scarlet Knights: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Sharks0-1 7th · L1
- Sharks rating1414 262nd of 356, 1 games
- Scarlet Knights1-0 10th · W1
- Scarlet Knights rating1441 239th of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 7th · streak L1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $LIUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $LIUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $LIUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $LIUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Long Island University Sharks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 10th · streak W1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $RUTGWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $RUTGWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $RUTGWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $RUTGWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Long Island University Sharks at Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Sign in to post a take on $LIUWBBRUTGWBB261103: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: Long Island University 52, Rutgers 83. Bandwagon's model had the Rutgers at 59% and projected Rutgers 68, Long Island University 63; spread Rutgers −5, total 130.5.