NCAA Division I women's basketball odds Tuesday, November 17
Win chance, spread and total for every game. Today's NCAA Division I women's basketball predictions · Standings · every league
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers. How the model works · Axle 2.0 · Betting guide
NCAA Division I women's basketball odds Tuesday, November 17
37 games| Game | Kick (ET) | Axle win | Spread | Total | Moneyline (away / home) | Movement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zips at Mountaineers | Mountaineers 97% | Mountaineers −27 | 132 | +3536 / −3536 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lady Bulldogs at Eagles | Eagles 85% | Eagles −15 | 130.5 | +584 / −584 | no move | Matchup | |
| Ospreys at Knights | Knights 77% | Knights −11 | 130.5 | +343 / −343 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lady Hornets at Bulldogs | Bulldogs 87% | Bulldogs −15.5 | 126.5 | +641 / −641 | no move | Matchup | |
| Ramblers at Redbirds | Redbirds 76% | Redbirds −10.5 | 135 | +314 / −314 | no move | Matchup | |
| Mastodons at Leathernecks | Leathernecks 71% | Leathernecks −9 | 130.5 | +248 / −248 | no move | Matchup | |
| Racers at Ducks | Ducks 63% | Ducks −6.5 | 130.5 | +170 / −170 | no move | Matchup | |
| Waves at Wolf Pack | Waves 60% | PK | 130 | −148 / +148 | no move | Matchup | |
| Black Knights at Minutewomen | Minutewomen 60% | Minutewomen −5.5 | 130.5 | +151 / −151 | no move | Matchup | |
| Rams at Fighting Camels | Fighting Camels 73% | Fighting Camels −9.5 | 127.5 | +274 / −274 | no move | Matchup | |
| Warriors at Eagles | Warriors 57% | Eagles −0.5 | 129.5 | −132 / +132 | no move | Matchup | |
| Red Foxes at Hawks | Hawks 82% | Hawks −13.5 | 126.5 | +471 / −471 | no move | Matchup | |
| Norse at Colonels | Colonels 73% | Colonels −9.5 | 130.5 | +265 / −265 | no move | Matchup | |
| Owls at Revolutionaries | Revolutionaries 59% | Revolutionaries −5 | 130.5 | +146 / −146 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lady Tigers at Cardinals | Cardinals 97% | Cardinals −25.5 | 130.5 | +2760 / −2760 | no move | Matchup | |
| Knights at Sycamores | Sycamores 75% | Sycamores −10 | 134.5 | +294 / −294 | no move | Matchup | |
| Panthers at Salukis | Salukis 63% | Salukis −6.5 | 130.5 | +172 / −172 | no move | Matchup | |
| Eagles at Gamecocks | Gamecocks 96% | Gamecocks −23.5 | 135.5 | +2131 / −2131 | no move | Matchup | |
| Pirates at Tigers | Tigers 52% | Tigers −3 | 130.5 | +107 / −107 | no move | Matchup | |
| Flames at Aggies | Flames 57% | Aggies −0.5 | 130.5 | −133 / +133 | no move | Matchup | |
| Mountaineers at Cornhuskers | Cornhuskers 87% | Cornhuskers −15.5 | 132.5 | +646 / −646 | no move | Matchup | |
| Huskies at Friars | Friars 84% | Friars −14 | 130.5 | +513 / −513 | no move | Matchup | |
| Broncs at Knights | Knights 88% | Knights −16.5 | 129 | +751 / −751 | no move | Matchup | |
| Cougars at Huskies | Cougars 52% | Huskies −2 | 130.5 | −108 / +108 | no move | Matchup | |
| Tommies at Bulldogs | Bulldogs 66% | Bulldogs −7.5 | 130 | +198 / −198 | no move | Matchup | |
| Bobcats at Cardinals | Cardinals 62% | Cardinals −6 | 128.5 | +162 / −162 | no move | Matchup | |
| Golden Eagles at Badgers | Badgers 53% | Badgers −3.5 | 130 | +115 / −115 | no move | Matchup | |
| Mustangs at Wildcats | Wildcats 86% | Wildcats −15.5 | 130.5 | +633 / −633 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lady Volunteers at Bruins | Bruins 52% | Bruins −3 | 132.5 | +109 / −109 | no move | Matchup | |
| Islanders at Cougars | Cougars 71% | Cougars −9 | 130.5 | +248 / −248 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lady Tigers at Red Wolves | Red Wolves 89% | Red Wolves −16.5 | 132.5 | +777 / −777 | total 132 → 132.5, home 88% → 89% | Matchup | |
| Shockers at Golden Eagles | Golden Eagles 75% | Golden Eagles −10 | 129 | +297 / −297 | no move | Matchup | |
| Toreros at Sun Devils | Sun Devils 88% | Sun Devils −16 | 129 | +707 / −707 | no move | Matchup | |
| Tigers at Sooners | Sooners 97% | Sooners −26 | 133.5 | +2979 / −2979 | no move | Matchup | |
| Owls at Lady Rebels | Lady Rebels 52% | Lady Rebels −3 | 131.5 | +107 / −107 | no move | Matchup | |
| Lopes at Broncos | Broncos 70% | Broncos −8.5 | 131 | +231 / −231 | no move | Matchup | |
| Huskies at Cougars | Huskies 78% | Huskies −6 | 132 | −358 / +358 | no move | Matchup |
How these lines are made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal inputs
- Ratings from results used in 37 of 37
an Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results - Home advantage used in 37 of 37
the league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results - Schedule used in 37 of 37
rest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures - Recent form unavailable for 37 (Fewer than three games played this season by at least one side)
average margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External inputs
- Injuries unavailable for 37 (More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that window)
players listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores - Travel and time zones in the data but not used for 32 · unavailable for 5 (A previous venue or its coordinates is not stored)
distance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · newest read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC - Weather unavailable for 37 (Indoor sport)
forecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
NCAA Division I women's basketball team ratings
The Elo-style ratings the lines are made from, after the latest results. The league mean is 1500.
| # | Team | Rating | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UCLA Bruins | 1887 | 1 |
| 2 | UConn Huskies | 1862 | 1 |
| 3 | South Carolina Gamecocks | 1845 | 1 |
| 4 | Texas Longhorns | 1829 | 0 |
| 5 | LSU Tigers | 1783 | 1 |
| 6 | Duke Blue Devils | 1757 | 1 |
| 7 | TCU Horned Frogs | 1751 | 1 |
| 8 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 1745 | 1 |
| 9 | Michigan Wolverines | 1737 | 0 |
| 10 | West Virginia Mountaineers | 1736 | 1 |
| 11 | Louisville Cardinals | 1735 | 1 |
| 12 | Vanderbilt Commodores | 1727 | 1 |
Top 12 of 356; every team's rating is on its page.
NCAA Division I women's basketball model record
Over 16226 NCAA Division I women's basketball games in 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, scored before each result was known: the favored side won 76% of the time, Brier score 0.1624, mean spread error 10.888 points, mean total error 13.595. Calibration and method.
Bandwagon's model lines for NCAA Division I women's basketball games Tuesday, November 17: win probability, spread, total and moneyline for each game, movement since the last line, and the team ratings behind them. Not a sportsbook.