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NCAA Women's Basketball · · Rothman Center · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

Rider Broncs vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights prediction, odds and picks, November 17, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Rider Broncs or Fairleigh Dickinson Knights: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Axle 11–89Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: FDU 89%
Record 0-0
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Game clock
KickoffTuesday, November 17 at 7:00 PM ET
Situation
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Possession
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Rider Broncs at Fairleigh Dickinson Knights win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Rider Broncs vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Rider Broncs vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatRIDFDU
ScoreRID–FDU–
Average win probabilityRID–FDU–
Longest scoring runRID–FDU–
Time leadingRID–FDU–

Rider Broncs vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 2 h ago
Broncs11%
Win chance
Knights89%
SpreadFDU −16.5
Total129.5
Moneyline+776away / −776homeaway / home
Line movementFDU win chance, 3 stored lines
No move
94%83%
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: FDU 89%Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET: FDU 89%Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET: FDU 89%
5:03 AMNow
Every stored line
StoredFDU winMove
Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET89%0
Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET89%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET89%—
Ratings
FDU 1558 · RID 1348
Home spread
−16.5
Stored
Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET · 2026-11-04 19:15 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

BroncsKnights
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Knights–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Rider Broncs vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Knights a 16.5-point favorite at home, with a 89% chance to win. The model total is 129.5. Ratings: Knights 1558 (116th of 356), Broncs 1348 (318th). The Knights are 0-0; the Broncs are 0-0. The Knights have won 3 of their last 5; the Broncs 1 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Knights won 2, the Broncs 0.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Rider Broncs

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at NJIT HighlandersL 45–50––matchup
at Mount St. Mary's MountaineersL 46–54––matchup
vs Siena SaintsL 55–67––matchup
at Niagara Purple EaglesL 52–56––matchup
at Canisius Golden GriffinsW 55–53––matchup

Fairleigh Dickinson Knights

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Baylor BearsL 66–87––matchup
at Iowa HawkeyesL 48–58––matchup
vs Long Island University SharksW 79–57––matchup
vs Long Island University SharksW 82–49––matchup
at New Haven ChargersW 69–55––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights at Rider Broncs62–54––matchup
Rider Broncs at Fairleigh Dickinson Knights59–64––matchup

Injuries

Rider Broncs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Fairleigh Dickinson Knights: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Broncs0-0 10th · -
  • Broncs rating1348 318th of 356, 1 games
  • Knights0-0 3rd · -
  • Knights rating1558 116th of 356, 1 games

Rider Broncs 0-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 10th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $RIDWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $RIDWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $RIDWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $RIDWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Rider Broncs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Broncs roster, schedule and more

Fairleigh Dickinson Knights 0-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 3rd · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $FDUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $FDUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $FDUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $FDUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Fairleigh Dickinson Knights bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Knights roster, schedule and more

Takes on Rider Broncs at Fairleigh Dickinson Knights

Sign in to post a take on $RIDWBBFDUWBB261118: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.

Model: Fairleigh Dickinson 89% to win. Projected score Fairleigh Dickinson 73, Rider 56; spread Fairleigh Dickinson −16.5, total 129.5. Rider Broncs at Fairleigh Dickinson Knights, Tue, Nov 17, 7:00 PM ET.