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NCAA Women's Basketball · · Ferrell Center · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs Baylor Bears: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Fairleigh Dickinson Knights or Baylor Bears: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Axle 24–76Market –

FinalPregame: BAY 76%Baseline: BAY 93.5% (+17.7)Big swing: 23.2 ptsClutch window: none
66+1787+14
Record 0-0
Score by period
Team1234T
FDU1319171766
BAY3020231487
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
–

Fairleigh Dickinson Knights at Baylor Bears win probability

Bandwagon's model
Last update: Q4Fetched at
Win probability for BAY: 33 points, 76% at the start, 100% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00BAY 100%FDU 0%
Win probability for BAY: 33 points, 76% at the start, 100% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00BAY 100%FDU 0%

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

MomentumStable+0.0 points for BAY over the last 5:00
Big swing23.2 ptstoward BAY at 20:22 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselineBAY 93.5%game average, +17.7 points from the pregame 75.8%

Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs Baylor Bears live stats

Team totals read from the league's public game summary
Live team statistics
StatFDUBAY
Field goalsFDU26/65BAY35/65
3-pointersFDU7/18BAY7/20
Free throwsFDU7/16BAY10/21
ReboundsFDU31BAY48
AssistsFDU10BAY20
TurnoversFDU12BAY16
StealsFDU8BAY8
BlocksFDU1BAY7
Points in the paintFDU22BAY50
Fast-break pointsFDU0BAY8
FoulsFDU18BAY17
Largest leadFDU0BAY32

Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs Baylor Bears team breakdown

From the stored in-game series
Team breakdown
StatFDUBAY
ScoreFDU66BAY87
Average win probabilityFDU7%BAY93%
Longest scoring runFDU+7BAY+5
Time leadingFDU0:00BAY19:38

Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs Baylor Bears odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET
Knights24%
Win chance
Bears76%
SpreadBAY −10.5closing model spread
Total130.5
Moneyline+314away / −314homeaway / home
Line movementBAY win chance, 21 stored lines
+13 pts for BAY between Oct 29 and Nov 2
85%58%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: BAY 63%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: BAY 79%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: BAY 79%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: BAY 79%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: BAY 76%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: BAY 76%Nov 2, 1:06 PM ET: BAY 76%Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET: BAY 76%Nov 2, 1:46 PM ET: BAY 76%Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET: BAY 76%Nov 2, 3:17 PM ET: BAY 76%Nov 2, 3:47 PM ET: BAY 76%Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET: BAY 76%Nov 2, 6:58 PM ET: BAY 76%Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET: BAY 76%Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET: BAY 76%Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET: BAY 76%Nov 2, 8:26 PM ET: BAY 76%Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET: BAY 76%Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET: BAY 76%Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET: BAY 76%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
StoredBAY winMove
Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 8:26 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 6:58 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 3:47 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 3:17 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 1:46 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 1:06 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET76%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET76%−3
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET79%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET79%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET79%+16
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET63%—
Ratings
BAY 1659 · FDU 1570
Home spread
−10.5
Stored
Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET · 2026-11-03 01:56 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Result: Fairleigh Dickinson Knights 66, Baylor Bears 87. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

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KnightsBears
Neutrals only–
KnightsBears
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Bears–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs Baylor Bears prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Bears a 10.5-point favorite at home, with a 76% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Bears 1672 (29th of 356), Knights 1558 (116th). The Bears are 0-0; the Knights are 0-0. The Bears have won 2 of their last 5; the Knights 3 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Fairleigh Dickinson Knights

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Baylor BearsL 66–87––matchup
at Iowa HawkeyesL 48–58––matchup
vs Long Island University SharksW 79–57––matchup
vs Long Island University SharksW 82–49––matchup
at New Haven ChargersW 69–55––matchup

Baylor Bears

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Fairleigh Dickinson KnightsW 87–66––matchup
at Duke Blue DevilsL 46–69––matchup
vs Nebraska CornhuskersW 67–62––matchup
vs Colorado BuffaloesL 53–62––matchup
at TCU Horned FrogsL 53–65––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

Fairleigh Dickinson Knights: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Baylor Bears: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Knights0-0 3rd · -
  • Knights rating1558 116th of 356, 1 games
  • Bears0-0 5th · -
  • Bears rating1672 29th of 356, 1 games

Fairleigh Dickinson Knights 0-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 3rd · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $FDUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $FDUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $FDUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $FDUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Fairleigh Dickinson Knights bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Knights roster, schedule and more

Baylor Bears 0-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 5th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $BAYWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $BAYWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $BAYWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $BAYWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Baylor Bears bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Bears roster, schedule and more

Takes on Fairleigh Dickinson Knights at Baylor Bears

Sign in to post a take on $FDUWBBBAYWBB261103: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

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Final: Fairleigh Dickinson 66, Baylor 87. Bandwagon's model had the Baylor at 76% and projected Baylor 71, Fairleigh Dickinson 60; spread Baylor −10.5, total 130.5.