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NCAA Women's Basketball · · Pinnacle Bank Arena · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs Nebraska Cornhuskers prediction, odds and picks, November 17, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers or Nebraska Cornhuskers: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Axle 13–87Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: NEB 87%
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Game clock
KickoffTuesday, November 17 at 7:00 PM ET
Situation
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Possession
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Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers at Nebraska Cornhuskers win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs Nebraska Cornhuskers live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs Nebraska Cornhuskers team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatMSMNEB
ScoreMSM–NEB–
Average win probabilityMSM–NEB–
Longest scoring runMSM–NEB–
Time leadingMSM–NEB–

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs Nebraska Cornhuskers odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 2 h ago
Mountaineers13%
Win chance
Cornhuskers87%
SpreadNEB −15.5
Total132.5
Moneyline+645away / −645homeaway / home
Line movementNEB win chance, 3 stored lines
No move
92%81%
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: NEB 87%Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET: NEB 87%Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET: NEB 87%
5:03 AMNow
Every stored line
StoredNEB winMove
Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET87%0
Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET87%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET87%—
Ratings
NEB 1609 · MSM 1421
Home spread
−15.5
Stored
Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET · 2026-11-04 19:15 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

MountaineersCornhuskers
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Cornhuskers–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs Nebraska Cornhuskers prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Cornhuskers a 15.5-point favorite at home, with a 87% chance to win. The model total is 132.5. Ratings: Cornhuskers 1609 (67th of 356), Mountaineers 1421 (256th). The Cornhuskers are 1-0; the Mountaineers are 0-0. The Cornhuskers have won 3 of their last 5; the Mountaineers 2 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Navy MidshipmenL 63–91––matchup
at Merrimack WarriorsL 48–62––matchup
vs Rider BroncsW 54–46––matchup
vs Sacred Heart PioneersW 66–61––matchup
at Canisius Golden GriffinsL 63–68––matchup

Nebraska Cornhuskers

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs San José State SpartansW 81–54––matchup
at Baylor BearsL 62–67––matchup
vs Richmond SpidersW 75–56––matchup
vs Indiana HoosiersL 69–72––matchup
vs Rutgers Scarlet KnightsW 93–52––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Nebraska Cornhuskers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Mountaineers0-0 7th · -
  • Mountaineers rating1421 256th of 356, 1 games
  • Cornhuskers1-0 1st · W1
  • Cornhuskers rating1609 67th of 356, 1 games

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers 0-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 7th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $MSMWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $MSMWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $MSMWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $MSMWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Mountaineers roster, schedule and more

Nebraska Cornhuskers 1-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 1st · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $NEBWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $NEBWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $NEBWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $NEBWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Nebraska Cornhuskers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Cornhuskers roster, schedule and more

Takes on Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers at Nebraska Cornhuskers

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Model: Nebraska 87% to win. Projected score Nebraska 74, Mount St. Mary's 59; spread Nebraska −15.5, total 132.5. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers at Nebraska Cornhuskers, Tue, Nov 17, 7:00 PM ET.