Navy Midshipmen vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreNavy 91, Mount St. Mary's 63 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerNavy 59%
- Model spreadeven total 130.5
- Margin28
- Total154 projected 130.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Navy Midshipmen or Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers: the bandwagon
Axle 59–41Market –
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAVY | 19 | 28 | 24 | 20 | 91 |
| MSM | 15 | 11 | 16 | 21 | 63 |
Navy Midshipmen at Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Navy Midshipmen vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | NAVY | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | NAVY34/75 | MSM22/61 |
| 3-pointers | NAVY11/28 | MSM6/29 |
| Free throws | NAVY12/22 | MSM13/20 |
| Rebounds | NAVY51 | MSM34 |
| Assists | NAVY22 | MSM15 |
| Turnovers | NAVY18 | MSM21 |
| Steals | NAVY12 | MSM10 |
| Blocks | NAVY2 | MSM0 |
| Points in the paint | NAVY46 | MSM24 |
| Fast-break points | NAVY12 | MSM8 |
| Fouls | NAVY18 | MSM23 |
| Largest lead | NAVY32 | MSM2 |
Navy Midshipmen vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | NAVY | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| Score | NAVY91 | MSM63 |
| Average win probability | NAVY86% | MSM14% |
| Longest scoring run | NAVY+25 | MSM+9 |
| Time leading | NAVY33:21 | MSM3:55 |
Navy Midshipmen vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers odds
Every stored line
| Stored | MSM win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:36 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:13 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:17 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:11 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 2:23 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 41% | +6 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 35% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 35% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 35% | −28 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- MSM 1448 · NAVY 1567
- Home spread
- PK
- Stored
- Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET · 2026-11-03 02:01 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Navy Midshipmen 91, Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers 63. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Navy Midshipmen vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Midshipmen the favorite, with a 59% chance to win; its spread rounds to even. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Mountaineers 1421 (256th of 356), Midshipmen 1594 (78th). The Mountaineers are 0-0; the Midshipmen are 0-0. The Mountaineers have won 2 of their last 5; the Midshipmen 3 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Mountaineers won 2, the Midshipmen 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Navy Midshipmen
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | W 91–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Harvard Crimson | L 52–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks | L 76–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Boston University Terriers | W 76–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | W 72–50 | – | – | matchup |
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Navy Midshipmen | L 63–91 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Merrimack Warriors | L 48–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Rider Broncs | W 54–46 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Sacred Heart Pioneers | W 66–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Canisius Golden Griffins | L 63–68 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers at Navy Midshipmen | 67–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| Navy Midshipmen at Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 59–68 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Navy Midshipmen: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Midshipmen0-0 10th · -
- Midshipmen rating1594 78th of 356, 1 games
- Mountaineers0-0 7th · -
- Mountaineers rating1421 256th of 356, 1 games
Navy Midshipmen 0-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 10th · streak -
No stances yet today on $NAVYWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Navy Midshipmen bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 7th · streak -
No stances yet today on $MSMWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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