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NCAA Women's Basketball · · Curb Event Center · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

Tennessee Lady Volunteers vs Belmont Bruins prediction, odds and picks, November 17, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Tennessee Lady Volunteers or Belmont Bruins: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Lady Volunteers▲ Hop on▼ Jump off

Axle 48–52Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: BEL 52%
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Record 0-0
Game clock
KickoffTuesday, November 17 at 7:30 PM ET
Situation
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Possession
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Tennessee Lady Volunteers at Belmont Bruins win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Tennessee Lady Volunteers vs Belmont Bruins live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Tennessee Lady Volunteers vs Belmont Bruins team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatTENNBEL
ScoreTENN–BEL–
Average win probabilityTENN–BEL–
Longest scoring runTENN–BEL–
Time leadingTENN–BEL–

Tennessee Lady Volunteers vs Belmont Bruins odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 11 h ago
Lady Volunteers48%
Win chance
Bruins52%
SpreadBEL −3
Total132.5
Moneyline+109away / −109homeaway / home
Line movementBEL win chance, 2 stored lines
No move
58%47%
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: BEL 52%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: BEL 52%
5:03 AMNow
Every stored line
StoredBEL winMove
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET52%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET52%—
Ratings
BEL 1561 · TENN 1622
Home spread
−3
Stored
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

Lady VolunteersBruins
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Bruins–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Tennessee Lady Volunteers vs Belmont Bruins prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Bruins a 3-point favorite at home, with a 52% chance to win. The model total is 132.5. Ratings: Bruins 1561 (113th of 356), Lady Volunteers 1622 (62nd). The Bruins are 0-0; the Lady Volunteers are 0-0. The Bruins have won 3 of their last 5; the Lady Volunteers 1 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Bruins won 0, the Lady Volunteers 1.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Tennessee Lady Volunteers

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Duquesne DukesW 109–62––matchup
at NC State WolfpackL 61–76––matchup
vs Alabama Crimson TideL 64–76––matchup
vs Vanderbilt CommodoresL 77–87––matchup
at LSU TigersL 73–89––matchup

Belmont Bruins

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Princeton TigersL 52–63––matchup
vs Evansville Purple AcesL 63–76––matchup
at UIC FlamesW 78–70––matchup
at Valparaiso BeaconsW 83–63––matchup
vs Southern Illinois SalukisW 83–64––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Belmont Bruins at Tennessee Lady Volunteers58–68––matchup

Injuries

Tennessee Lady Volunteers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Belmont Bruins: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Lady Volunteers0-0 14th · -
  • Lady Volunteers rating1622 62nd of 356, 1 games
  • Bruins0-0 1st · -
  • Bruins rating1561 113th of 356, 1 games

Tennessee Lady Volunteers 0-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 14th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $TENNWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $TENNWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $TENNWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $TENNWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Tennessee Lady Volunteers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Lady Volunteers roster, schedule and more

Belmont Bruins 0-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 1st · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $BELWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $BELWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $BELWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $BELWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Belmont Bruins bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Bruins roster, schedule and more

Takes on Tennessee Lady Volunteers at Belmont Bruins

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Model: Belmont 52% to win. Projected score Belmont 68, Tennessee 65; spread Belmont −3, total 132.5. Tennessee Lady Volunteers at Belmont Bruins, Tue, Nov 17, 7:30 PM ET.