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NCAA Women's Basketball · · Kress Events Center · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

Wisconsin Badgers vs Green Bay Phoenix prediction, odds and picks, November 14, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Wisconsin Badgers or Green Bay Phoenix: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Axle 26–74Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: GB 74%
Record 1-0
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Record 0-1
Game clock
KickoffSaturday, November 14 at 2:00 PM ET
Situation
–
Possession
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Wisconsin Badgers at Green Bay Phoenix win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Wisconsin Badgers vs Green Bay Phoenix live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Wisconsin Badgers vs Green Bay Phoenix team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatWISGB
ScoreWIS–GB–
Average win probabilityWIS–GB–
Longest scoring runWIS–GB–
Time leadingWIS–GB–

Wisconsin Badgers vs Green Bay Phoenix odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 12:01 AM ET
Badgers26%
Win chance
Phoenix74%
SpreadGB −10
Total131.5
Moneyline+291away / −291homeaway / home
Line movementGB win chance, 36 stored lines
−3 pts for GB since Nov 1
82%69%
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: GB 77%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: GB 77%Nov 2, 1:06 PM ET: GB 77%Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET: GB 77%Nov 2, 1:46 PM ET: GB 77%Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET: GB 77%Nov 2, 3:17 PM ET: GB 77%Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET: GB 77%Nov 2, 6:58 PM ET: GB 77%Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET: GB 77%Nov 2, 7:46 PM ET: GB 77%Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET: GB 77%Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET: GB 77%Nov 2, 8:26 PM ET: GB 77%Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET: GB 77%Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET: GB 77%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: GB 77%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: GB 77%Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET: GB 77%Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET: GB 77%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: GB 77%Nov 2, 10:41 PM ET: GB 77%Nov 3, 12:34 AM ET: GB 77%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: GB 77%Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET: GB 77%Nov 3, 8:58 PM ET: GB 76%Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET: GB 76%Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET: GB 74%Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET: GB 74%Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET: GB 74%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: GB 74%Nov 4, 8:05 PM ET: GB 74%Nov 4, 10:06 PM ET: GB 74%Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET: GB 74%Nov 5, 12:01 AM ET: GB 74%Nov 5, 12:01 AM ET: GB 74%
Nov 1Nov 3Now
Every stored line
StoredGB winMove
Nov 5, 12:01 AM ET74%0
Nov 5, 12:01 AM ET74%0
Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET74%0
Nov 4, 10:06 PM ET74%0
Nov 4, 8:05 PM ET74%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET74%0
Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET74%0
Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET74%0
Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET74%−2
Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET76%0
Nov 3, 8:58 PM ET76%−1
Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET77%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET77%0
Nov 3, 12:34 AM ET77%0
Nov 2, 10:41 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 8:26 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 7:46 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 6:58 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 3:17 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 1:46 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 1:06 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET77%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET77%—
Ratings
GB 1602 · WIS 1525
Home spread
−10
Stored
Nov 5, 12:01 AM ET · 2026-11-05 05:01 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

BadgersPhoenix
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Phoenix–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Wisconsin Badgers vs Green Bay Phoenix prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Phoenix a 10-point favorite at home, with a 74% chance to win. The model total is 131.5. Ratings: Phoenix 1602 (74th of 356), Badgers 1525 (143rd). The Phoenix are 0-1; the Badgers are 1-0. The Phoenix have won 3 of their last 5; the Badgers 4 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Phoenix won 1, the Badgers 1.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Wisconsin Badgers

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Bradley BravesW 71–65––matchup
vs Columbia LionsL 50–67––matchup
vs Harvard CrimsonW 64–61––matchup
at Miami HurricanesW 72–65––matchup
vs Oregon State BeaversW 62–58––matchup

Green Bay Phoenix

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Duke Blue DevilsL 60–76––matchup
at Minnesota Golden GophersL 58–75––matchup
vs Youngstown State PenguinsW 57–49––matchup
vs Purdue Fort Wayne MastodonsW 73–48––matchup
vs Detroit Mercy TitansW 81–57––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Green Bay Phoenix at Wisconsin Badgers72–76––matchup
Wisconsin Badgers at Green Bay Phoenix60–70––matchup

Injuries

Wisconsin Badgers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Green Bay Phoenix: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Badgers1-0 14th · W1
  • Badgers rating1525 143rd of 356, 1 games
  • Phoenix0-1 7th · L1
  • Phoenix rating1602 74th of 356, 1 games

Wisconsin Badgers 1-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 14th · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $WISWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $WISWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $WISWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $WISWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Wisconsin Badgers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Badgers roster, schedule and more

Green Bay Phoenix 0-1

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 7th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $GBWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $GBWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $GBWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $GBWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Green Bay Phoenix bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Phoenix roster, schedule and more

Takes on Wisconsin Badgers at Green Bay Phoenix

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Model: Green Bay 74% to win. Projected score Green Bay 71, Wisconsin 61; spread Green Bay −10, total 131.5. Wisconsin Badgers at Green Bay Phoenix, Sat, Nov 14, 2:00 PM ET.