Green Bay Phoenix lead Duke 14-12 with the clock at 3:37 of the 1st, a 2-point margin for the away side. It is the first look at the score, so that is all the numbers can show for now.
NCAA Women's Basketball · · Cameron Indoor Stadium · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line
Green Bay Phoenix vs Duke Blue Devils: final score and how the prediction did, November 3, 2026
- Final scoreGreen Bay 60, Duke 76 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerDuke 82%
- Pregame Projected scoreDuke 72, Green Bay 59
- Model spreadDuke −13 total 130.5
- Margin16 projected 12.9
- Total136 projected 130.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Green Bay Phoenix or Duke Blue Devils: the bandwagon
Axle 18–82Market –
FinalPregame: DUKE 82%Baseline: DUKE 85.2% (+3.4)Big swing: 17.2 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GB | 18 | 13 | 18 | 11 | 60 |
| DUKE | 16 | 17 | 27 | 16 | 76 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Green Bay Phoenix at Duke Blue Devils win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.8 points for DUKE over the last 5:00
Big swing17.2 ptstoward GB at 12:16 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselineDUKE 85.2%game average, +3.4 points from the pregame 81.7%
Green Bay Phoenix vs Duke Blue Devils live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | GB | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | GB19/58 | DUKE29/64 |
| 3-pointers | GB7/23 | DUKE7/23 |
| Free throws | GB15/18 | DUKE11/14 |
| Rebounds | GB31 | DUKE44 |
| Assists | GB10 | DUKE17 |
| Turnovers | GB15 | DUKE17 |
| Steals | GB9 | DUKE10 |
| Blocks | GB1 | DUKE8 |
| Points in the paint | GB24 | DUKE36 |
| Fast-break points | GB11 | DUKE19 |
| Fouls | GB18 | DUKE16 |
| Largest lead | GB6 | DUKE16 |
Green Bay Phoenix vs Duke Blue Devils team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | GB | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| Score | GB60 | DUKE76 |
| Average win probability | GB15% | DUKE85% |
| Longest scoring run | GB+9 | DUKE+7 |
| Time leading | GB9:06 | DUKE24:04 |
Green Bay Phoenix vs Duke Blue Devils odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 22 h ago
Phoenix18%
Win chanceBlue Devils82%
SpreadDUKE −13closing model spread
Total130.5
Moneyline+448away / −448homeaway / home
Line movementDUKE win chance, 27 stored lines
+19 pts for DUKE between Oct 29 and Nov 3
91%58%
Oct 29Nov 1Nov 3
Every stored line
| Stored | DUKE win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 8:28 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:28 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:41 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:13 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 12:31 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 82% | −4 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 86% | +23 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- DUKE 1748 · GB 1611
- Home spread
- −13
- Stored
- Nov 3, 8:28 PM ET · 2026-11-04 01:28 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Green Bay Phoenix 60, Duke Blue Devils 76. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
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PhoenixBlue Devils
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PhoenixBlue Devils
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Blue Devils–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Green Bay Phoenix vs Duke Blue Devils prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Blue Devils a 13-point favorite at home, with a 82% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Blue Devils 1757 (6th of 356), Phoenix 1602 (74th). The Blue Devils are 1-0; the Phoenix are 0-1. The Blue Devils have won 4 of their last 5; the Phoenix 3 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Green Bay Phoenix
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Duke Blue Devils | L 60–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Minnesota Golden Gophers | L 58–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Youngstown State Penguins | W 57–49 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | W 73–48 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Detroit Mercy Titans | W 81–57 | – | – | matchup |
Duke Blue Devils
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Green Bay Phoenix | W 76–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UCLA Bruins | L 58–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| at LSU Tigers | W 87–85 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Baylor Bears | W 69–46 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Charleston Cougars | W 81–64 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Green Bay Phoenix: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Duke Blue Devils: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Phoenix0-1 7th · L1
- Phoenix rating1602 74th of 356, 1 games
- Blue Devils1-0 3rd · W1
- Blue Devils rating1757 6th of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 7th · streak L1
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Duke Blue Devils 1-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 3rd · streak W1
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