Nevada Wolf Pack vs Utah Valley Wolverines prediction, odds and picks, November 14, 2026
- Projected winnerUtah Valley 74%
- Projected scoreUtah Valley 70, Nevada 60
- Model spreadUtah Valley −10 total 130.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Nevada Wolf Pack or Utah Valley Wolverines: the bandwagon
Axle 26–74Market –
Nevada Wolf Pack at Utah Valley Wolverines win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Nevada Wolf Pack vs Utah Valley Wolverines live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Nevada Wolf Pack vs Utah Valley Wolverines team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | NEV | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | NEV– | UVU– |
| Average win probability | NEV– | UVU– |
| Longest scoring run | NEV– | UVU– |
| Time leading | NEV– | UVU– |
Nevada Wolf Pack vs Utah Valley Wolverines odds
Every stored line
| Stored | UVU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 9:45 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 9:45 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:58 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET | 74% | +1 |
| Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 4:27 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:20 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 73% | — |
- Ratings
- UVU 1472 · NEV 1396
- Home spread
- −10
- Stored
- Nov 4, 9:45 PM ET · 2026-11-05 02:45 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Nevada Wolf Pack vs Utah Valley Wolverines prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Wolverines a 10-point favorite at home, with a 74% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Wolverines 1472 (206th of 356), Wolf Pack 1396 (284th). The Wolverines are 1-0; the Wolf Pack are 0-1. The Wolverines have won 2 of their last 5; the Wolf Pack 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Wolverines won 0, the Wolf Pack 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Loyola Marymount Lions | L 64–89 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Fresno State Bulldogs | L 57–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Utah State Aggies | W 72–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs New Mexico Lobos | L 56–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs San José State Spartans | W 49–41 | – | – | matchup |
Utah Valley Wolverines
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at San Francisco Dons | L 50–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Tarleton State Texans | L 57–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Utah Tech Trailblazers | W 71–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Southern Utah Thunderbirds | W 74–53 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Abilene Christian Wildcats | L 57–58 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Valley Wolverines at Nevada Wolf Pack | 42–71 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Nevada Wolf Pack: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Utah Valley Wolverines: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Wolf Pack0-1 5th · L1
- Wolf Pack rating1396 284th of 356, 1 games
- Wolverines1-0 7th · W1
- Wolverines rating1472 206th of 356, 0 games
Nevada Wolf Pack 0-1
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 5th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $NEVWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Nevada Wolf Pack bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 7th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $UVUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Utah Valley Wolverines bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Nevada Wolf Pack at Utah Valley Wolverines
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Model: Utah Valley 74% to win. Projected score Utah Valley 70, Nevada 60; spread Utah Valley −10, total 130.5. Nevada Wolf Pack at Utah Valley Wolverines, Sat, Nov 14, 4:00 PM ET.