Nevada Wolf Pack vs Loyola Marymount Lions: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreNevada 64, Loyola Marymount 89 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerLoyola Marymount 83%
- Pregame Projected scoreLoyola Marymount 72, Nevada 59
- Model spreadLoyola Marymount −13.5 total 130.5
- Margin25 projected 13.5
- Total153 projected 130.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Nevada Wolf Pack or Loyola Marymount Lions: the bandwagon
Axle 17–83Market –
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEV | 19 | 11 | 14 | 20 | 64 |
| LMU | 20 | 20 | 21 | 28 | 89 |
Nevada Wolf Pack at Loyola Marymount Lions win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Nevada Wolf Pack vs Loyola Marymount Lions live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | NEV | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | NEV21/54 | LMU33/58 |
| 3-pointers | NEV9/24 | LMU5/16 |
| Free throws | NEV13/21 | LMU18/24 |
| Rebounds | NEV27 | LMU28 |
| Assists | NEV15 | LMU16 |
| Turnovers | NEV26 | LMU16 |
| Steals | NEV8 | LMU9 |
| Blocks | NEV2 | LMU1 |
| Points in the paint | NEV22 | LMU48 |
| Fast-break points | NEV2 | LMU13 |
| Fouls | NEV21 | LMU24 |
| Largest lead | NEV3 | LMU30 |
Nevada Wolf Pack vs Loyola Marymount Lions team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | NEV | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | NEV64 | LMU89 |
| Average win probability | NEV7% | LMU93% |
| Longest scoring run | NEV+8 | LMU+8 |
| Time leading | NEV0:00 | LMU25:25 |
Nevada Wolf Pack vs Loyola Marymount Lions odds
Every stored line
| Stored | LMU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:26 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:46 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:17 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:20 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 12:31 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 83% | −4 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 87% | +24 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- LMU 1555 · NEV 1406
- Home spread
- −13.5
- Stored
- Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET · 2026-11-03 04:04 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Nevada Wolf Pack 64, Loyola Marymount Lions 89. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Nevada Wolf Pack vs Loyola Marymount Lions prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Lions a 13.5-point favorite at home, with a 83% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Lions 1565 (107th of 356), Wolf Pack 1396 (284th). The Lions are 1-0; the Wolf Pack are 0-1. The Lions have won 3 of their last 5; the Wolf Pack 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Lions won 0, the Wolf Pack 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Loyola Marymount Lions | L 64–89 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Fresno State Bulldogs | L 57–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Utah State Aggies | W 72–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs New Mexico Lobos | L 56–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs San José State Spartans | W 49–41 | – | – | matchup |
Loyola Marymount Lions
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Nevada Wolf Pack | W 89–64 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Stanford Cardinal | L 76–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Oregon State Beavers | L 67–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Oregon State Beavers | W 71–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| at San Francisco Dons | W 66–57 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loyola Marymount Lions at Nevada Wolf Pack | 52–56 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Nevada Wolf Pack: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Loyola Marymount Lions: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Wolf Pack0-1 5th · L1
- Wolf Pack rating1396 284th of 356, 1 games
- Lions1-0 1st · W1
- Lions rating1565 107th of 356, 1 games
Nevada Wolf Pack 0-1
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 5th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $NEVWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Nevada Wolf Pack bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 1st · streak W1
No stances yet today on $LMUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Loyola Marymount Lions bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Nevada Wolf Pack at Loyola Marymount Lions
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Final: Nevada 64, Loyola Marymount 89. Bandwagon's model had the Loyola Marymount at 83% and projected Loyola Marymount 72, Nevada 59; spread Loyola Marymount −13.5, total 130.5.