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NCAA Women's Basketball · · Bud Walton Arena · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

Kansas City Roos vs Arkansas Razorbacks prediction, odds and picks, November 9, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Kansas City Roos or Arkansas Razorbacks: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 19–81Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: ARK 81%
Record 1-0
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Record 0-0
Game clock
KickoffMonday, November 9 at 7:30 PM ET
Situation
–
Possession
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Kansas City Roos at Arkansas Razorbacks win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Kansas City Roos vs Arkansas Razorbacks live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Kansas City Roos vs Arkansas Razorbacks team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatKCARK
ScoreKC–ARK–
Average win probabilityKC–ARK–
Longest scoring runKC–ARK–
Time leadingKC–ARK–

Kansas City Roos vs Arkansas Razorbacks odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 11 h ago
Roos19%
Win chance
Razorbacks81%
SpreadARK −12.5
Total130.5
Moneyline+429away / −429homeaway / home
Line movementARK win chance, 38 stored lines
+18 pts for ARK since Oct 29
89%58%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: ARK 63%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: ARK 83%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: ARK 83%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: ARK 83%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: ARK 79%Nov 1, 2:23 PM ET: ARK 79%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: ARK 79%Nov 2, 1:11 PM ET: ARK 79%Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET: ARK 79%Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET: ARK 79%Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET: ARK 79%Nov 2, 4:58 PM ET: ARK 79%Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET: ARK 79%Nov 2, 7:06 PM ET: ARK 79%Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET: ARK 79%Nov 2, 7:46 PM ET: ARK 79%Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET: ARK 79%Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET: ARK 79%Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET: ARK 79%Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET: ARK 79%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: ARK 79%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: ARK 79%Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET: ARK 79%Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET: ARK 79%Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET: ARK 81%Nov 2, 9:58 PM ET: ARK 81%Nov 2, 10:03 PM ET: ARK 81%Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET: ARK 81%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: ARK 81%Nov 3, 1:03 PM ET: ARK 81%Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET: ARK 81%Nov 3, 8:48 PM ET: ARK 81%Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET: ARK 81%Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET: ARK 81%Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET: ARK 81%Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET: ARK 81%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: ARK 81%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: ARK 81%
Oct 29Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredARK winMove
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET81%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET81%0
Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET81%0
Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET81%0
Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET81%0
Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET81%0
Nov 3, 8:48 PM ET81%0
Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET81%0
Nov 3, 1:03 PM ET81%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET81%0
Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET81%0
Nov 2, 10:03 PM ET81%0
Nov 2, 9:58 PM ET81%0
Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET81%+2
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 7:46 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 7:06 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 4:58 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 1:11 PM ET79%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET79%0
Nov 1, 2:23 PM ET79%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET79%−4
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET83%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET83%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET83%+20
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET63%—
Ratings
ARK 1483 · KC 1351
Home spread
−12.5
Stored
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

RoosRazorbacks
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Razorbacks–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Kansas City Roos vs Arkansas Razorbacks prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Razorbacks a 12.5-point favorite at home, with a 81% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Razorbacks 1483 (197th of 356), Roos 1351 (312th). The Razorbacks are 0-0; the Roos are 1-0. The Razorbacks have won 2 of their last 5; the Roos 0 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Razorbacks won 1, the Roos 0.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Kansas City Roos

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at South Dakota State JackrabbitsL 61–75––matchup
at St. Thomas TommiesL 71–73––matchup
vs Oral Roberts Golden EaglesL 68–70––matchup
vs Denver PioneersL 63–79––matchup
at South Dakota State JackrabbitsL 40–93––matchup

Arkansas Razorbacks

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs LSU New Orleans PrivateersW 127–48––matchup
at Kentucky WildcatsL 64–94––matchup
vs Auburn TigersW 70–41––matchup
at Oklahoma SoonersL 44–89––matchup
at Texas A&M AggiesL 57–78––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Kansas City Roos at Arkansas Razorbacks77–92––matchup

Injuries

Kansas City Roos: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Arkansas Razorbacks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Roos1-0 1st · W1
  • Roos rating1351 312th of 356, 0 games
  • Razorbacks0-0 6th · -
  • Razorbacks rating1483 197th of 356, 1 games

Kansas City Roos 1-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 1st · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $KCWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $KCWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $KCWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $KCWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Kansas City Roos bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Roos roster, schedule and more

Arkansas Razorbacks 0-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 6th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $ARKWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $ARKWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $ARKWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $ARKWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Arkansas Razorbacks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Razorbacks roster, schedule and more

Takes on Kansas City Roos at Arkansas Razorbacks

Sign in to post a take on $KCWBBARKWBB261110: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

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Model: Arkansas 81% to win. Projected score Arkansas 72, Kansas City 59; spread Arkansas −12.5, total 130.5. Kansas City Roos at Arkansas Razorbacks, Mon, Nov 9, 7:30 PM ET.