Western Illinois Leathernecks vs Omaha Mavericks prediction, odds and picks, November 9, 2026
- Projected winnerWestern Illinois 80%
- Projected scoreWestern Illinois 69, Omaha 62
- Model spreadWestern Illinois −6.5 total 130.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Western Illinois Leathernecks or Omaha Mavericks: the bandwagon
Axle 80–20Market –
Western Illinois Leathernecks at Omaha Mavericks win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Western Illinois Leathernecks vs Omaha Mavericks live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Western Illinois Leathernecks vs Omaha Mavericks team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | WIU | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Score | WIU– | OMA– |
| Average win probability | WIU– | OMA– |
| Longest scoring run | WIU– | OMA– |
| Time leading | WIU– | OMA– |
Western Illinois Leathernecks vs Omaha Mavericks odds
Every stored line
| Stored | OMA win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 9:15 PM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 9:15 PM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 8:05 PM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:58 PM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:28 PM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET | 20% | −1 |
| Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:58 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:36 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:26 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:13 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 2:23 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 21% | +6 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 15% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 15% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 15% | −48 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- OMA 1333 · WIU 1581
- Home spread
- +6.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 9:15 PM ET · 2026-11-05 02:15 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Western Illinois Leathernecks vs Omaha Mavericks prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Leathernecks a 6.5-point favorite, with a 80% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Mavericks 1333 (328th of 356), Leathernecks 1581 (92nd). The Mavericks are 0-1; the Leathernecks are 1-0. The Mavericks have won 2 of their last 5; the Leathernecks 4 of their last 5. The two have met 5 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Mavericks won 2, the Leathernecks 3.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Western Illinois Leathernecks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at North Carolina Tar Heels | L 51–82 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | W 74–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| at SIU Edwardsville Cougars | W 79–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Morehead State Eagles | W 74–53 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Little Rock Trojans | W 84–73 | – | – | matchup |
Omaha Mavericks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Kansas Jayhawks | L 48–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| at North Dakota State Bison | L 37–87 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks | W 49–39 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Denver Pioneers | L 50–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | W 84–75 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omaha Mavericks at Western Illinois Leathernecks | 41–90 | – | – | matchup | |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks at Omaha Mavericks | 89–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| Omaha Mavericks at Western Illinois Leathernecks | 75–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| Omaha Mavericks at Western Illinois Leathernecks | 57–55 | – | – | matchup | |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks at Omaha Mavericks | 64–76 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Western Illinois Leathernecks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Omaha Mavericks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Leathernecks1-0 4th · W1
- Leathernecks rating1581 92nd of 356, 0 games
- Mavericks0-1 5th · L1
- Mavericks rating1333 328th of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 4th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $WIUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Western Illinois Leathernecks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Omaha Mavericks 0-1
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 5th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $OMAWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Omaha Mavericks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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Model: Western Illinois 80% to win. Projected score Western Illinois 69, Omaha 62; spread Western Illinois −6.5, total 130.5. Western Illinois Leathernecks at Omaha Mavericks, Mon, Nov 9, 7:30 PM ET.