Duke Blue Devils vs Norfolk State Spartans prediction, odds and picks, November 12, 2026
- Projected winnerDuke 75%
- Projected scoreDuke 68, Norfolk State 63
- Model spreadDuke −5 total 130.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Duke Blue Devils or Norfolk State Spartans: the bandwagon
Axle 75–25Market –
Duke Blue Devils at Norfolk State Spartans win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Duke Blue Devils vs Norfolk State Spartans live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Duke Blue Devils vs Norfolk State Spartans team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | DUKE | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| Score | DUKE– | NORF– |
| Average win probability | DUKE– | NORF– |
| Longest scoring run | DUKE– | NORF– |
| Time leading | DUKE– | NORF– |
Duke Blue Devils vs Norfolk State Spartans odds
Every stored line
| Stored | NORF win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 10:06 PM ET | 25% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 10:06 PM ET | 25% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 9:45 PM ET | 25% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 9:15 PM ET | 25% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 8:05 PM ET | 25% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 25% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET | 25% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:58 PM ET | 25% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET | 25% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:28 PM ET | 25% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:08 PM ET | 25% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:58 PM ET | 25% | −1 |
| Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:58 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:36 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:58 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:13 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 2:23 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 26% | +8 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 18% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 18% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 18% | — |
- Ratings
- NORF 1532 · DUKE 1757
- Home spread
- +5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 10:06 PM ET · 2026-11-05 03:06 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Duke Blue Devils vs Norfolk State Spartans prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Blue Devils a 5-point favorite, with a 75% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Spartans 1532 (139th of 356), Blue Devils 1757 (6th). The Spartans are 0-1; the Blue Devils are 1-0. The Spartans have won 2 of their last 5; the Blue Devils 4 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Spartans won 0, the Blue Devils 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Duke Blue Devils
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Green Bay Phoenix | W 76–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UCLA Bruins | L 58–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| at LSU Tigers | W 87–85 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Baylor Bears | W 69–46 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Charleston Cougars | W 81–64 | – | – | matchup |
Norfolk State Spartans
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Loyola Chicago Ramblers | L 54–58 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Howard Bison | L 46–53 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | W 60–51 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Morgan State Lady Bears | W 69–43 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Howard Bison | L 59–74 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norfolk State Spartans at Duke Blue Devils | 32–83 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Duke Blue Devils: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Norfolk State Spartans: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Blue Devils1-0 3rd · W1
- Blue Devils rating1757 6th of 356, 1 games
- Spartans0-1 7th · L1
- Spartans rating1532 139th of 356, 0 games
Duke Blue Devils 1-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 3rd · streak W1
No stances yet today on $DUKEWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Duke Blue Devils bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 7th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $NORFWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Norfolk State Spartans bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Duke Blue Devils at Norfolk State Spartans
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Model: Duke 75% to win. Projected score Duke 68, Norfolk State 63; spread Duke −5, total 130.5. Duke Blue Devils at Norfolk State Spartans, Thu, Nov 12, 7:00 PM ET.