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NCAA Women's Basketball · · Schollmaier Arena · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

SE Louisiana Lady Lions vs TCU Horned Frogs prediction, odds and picks, November 12, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

SE Louisiana Lady Lions or TCU Horned Frogs: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Lady Lions▲ Hop on▼ Jump off
Horned Frogs▲ Hop on▼ Jump off

Axle 4–96Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: TCU 96%
SE Louisiana Lady Lions
Record 0-1
––
TCU Horned Frogs
Record 1-0
Game clock
KickoffThursday, November 12 at 7:30 PM ET
Situation
–
Possession
–

SE Louisiana Lady Lions at TCU Horned Frogs win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

SE Louisiana Lady Lions vs TCU Horned Frogs live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

SE Louisiana Lady Lions vs TCU Horned Frogs team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatSELATCU
ScoreSELA–TCU–
Average win probabilitySELA–TCU–
Longest scoring runSELA–TCU–
Time leadingSELA–TCU–

SE Louisiana Lady Lions vs TCU Horned Frogs odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 12:01 AM ET
Lady Lions4%
Win chance
Horned Frogs96%
SpreadTCU −25
Total134
Moneyline+2664away / −2664homeaway / home
Line movementTCU win chance, 78 stored lines
−2 pts for TCU since Oct 29
100%91%
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: TCU 98%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: TCU 98%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: TCU 96%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: TCU 96%Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET: TCU 96%Nov 2, 1:06 PM ET: TCU 96%Nov 2, 1:46 PM ET: TCU 96%Nov 2, 2:20 PM ET: TCU 96%Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET: TCU 96%Nov 2, 3:47 PM ET: TCU 96%Nov 2, 4:27 PM ET: TCU 96%Nov 2, 6:13 PM ET: TCU 96%Nov 2, 6:58 PM ET: TCU 96%Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET: TCU 96%Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET: TCU 96%Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET: TCU 96%Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET: TCU 96%Nov 2, 8:26 PM ET: TCU 96%Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET: TCU 96%Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET: TCU 96%Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET: TCU 96%Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET: TCU 96%Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET: TCU 96%Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET: TCU 96%Nov 2, 9:58 PM ET: TCU 96%Nov 2, 10:13 PM ET: TCU 96%Nov 2, 10:33 PM ET: TCU 96%Nov 2, 10:41 PM ET: TCU 96%Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET: TCU 96%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: TCU 96%Nov 3, 1:03 PM ET: TCU 96%Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET: TCU 96%Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET: TCU 96%Nov 3, 8:48 PM ET: TCU 96%Nov 3, 8:58 PM ET: TCU 96%Nov 3, 9:08 PM ET: TCU 96%Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET: TCU 96%Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET: TCU 96%Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET: TCU 96%Nov 3, 11:06 PM ET: TCU 96%Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET: TCU 96%Nov 4, 8:05 PM ET: TCU 96%Nov 4, 8:55 PM ET: TCU 96%Nov 4, 9:55 PM ET: TCU 96%Nov 4, 10:06 PM ET: TCU 96%Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET: TCU 96%Nov 5, 12:01 AM ET: TCU 96%
Oct 29Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredTCU winMove
Nov 5, 12:01 AM ET96%0
Nov 5, 12:01 AM ET96%0
Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET96%0
Nov 4, 10:06 PM ET96%0
Nov 4, 10:00 PM ET96%0
Nov 4, 9:55 PM ET96%0
Nov 4, 9:45 PM ET96%0
Nov 4, 8:55 PM ET96%0
Nov 4, 8:05 PM ET96%0
Nov 4, 7:49 PM ET96%0
Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET96%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET96%0
Nov 3, 11:06 PM ET96%0
Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET96%0
Nov 3, 9:58 PM ET96%0
Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET96%0
Nov 3, 9:28 PM ET96%0
Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET96%0
Nov 3, 9:08 PM ET96%0
Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET96%0
Nov 3, 8:58 PM ET96%0
Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET96%0
Nov 3, 8:48 PM ET96%0
Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET96%0
Nov 3, 8:28 PM ET96%0
Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET96%0
Nov 3, 7:58 PM ET96%0
Nov 3, 1:03 PM ET96%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET96%0
Nov 3, 12:34 AM ET96%0
Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET96%0
Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET96%0
Nov 2, 10:41 PM ET96%0
Nov 2, 10:33 PM ET96%0
Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET96%0
Nov 2, 10:13 PM ET96%0
Nov 2, 10:03 PM ET96%0
Nov 2, 9:58 PM ET96%0
Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET96%0
Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET96%0
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET96%0
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET96%0
Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET96%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET96%0
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET96%0
Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET96%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET96%0
Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET96%0
Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET96%0
Nov 2, 8:26 PM ET96%0
Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET96%0
Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET96%0
Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET96%0
Nov 2, 7:46 PM ET96%0
Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET96%0
Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET96%0
Nov 2, 7:06 PM ET96%0
Nov 2, 6:58 PM ET96%0
Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET96%0
Nov 2, 6:13 PM ET96%0
Nov 2, 4:27 PM ET96%0
Nov 2, 4:08 PM ET96%0
Nov 2, 3:47 PM ET96%0
Nov 2, 3:17 PM ET96%0
Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET96%0
Nov 2, 2:20 PM ET96%0
Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET96%0
Nov 2, 1:46 PM ET96%0
Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET96%0
Nov 2, 1:06 PM ET96%0
Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET96%0
Nov 2, 12:31 PM ET96%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET96%0
Nov 1, 2:23 PM ET96%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET96%−2
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET98%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET98%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET98%—
Ratings
TCU 1751 · SELA 1383
Home spread
−25
Stored
Nov 5, 12:01 AM ET · 2026-11-05 05:01 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

Lady LionsHorned Frogs
Neutrals only–
Lady LionsHorned Frogs
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Horned Frogs–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

SE Louisiana Lady Lions vs TCU Horned Frogs prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Horned Frogs a 25-point favorite at home, with a 96% chance to win. The model total is 134. Ratings: Horned Frogs 1751 (7th of 356), Lady Lions 1383 (296th). The Horned Frogs are 1-0; the Lady Lions are 0-1. The Horned Frogs have won 4 of their last 5; the Lady Lions 1 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

SE Louisiana Lady Lions

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at LSU TigersL 35–129––matchup
at Lamar CardinalsL 52–70––matchup
at Nicholls ColonelsL 55–57––matchup
at LSU New Orleans PrivateersW 74–64––matchup
vs UT Rio Grande Valley VaquerosL 54–77––matchup

TCU Horned Frogs

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Oral Roberts Golden EaglesW 99–43––matchup
at South Carolina GamecocksL 52–78––matchup
vs Virginia CavaliersW 79–69––matchup
vs Washington HuskiesW 62–59––matchup
vs UC San Diego TritonsW 86–40––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

SE Louisiana Lady Lions: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

TCU Horned Frogs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Lady Lions0-1 12th · L1
  • Lady Lions rating1383 296th of 356, 1 games
  • Horned Frogs1-0 10th · W1
  • Horned Frogs rating1751 7th of 356, 1 games

SE Louisiana Lady Lions 0-1

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 12th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $SELAWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $SELAWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $SELAWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $SELAWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the SE Louisiana Lady Lions bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

▲ Hop on▼ Jump off

Lady Lions roster, schedule and more

TCU Horned Frogs 1-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 10th · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $TCUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $TCUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $TCUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $TCUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the TCU Horned Frogs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

▲ Hop on▼ Jump off

Horned Frogs roster, schedule and more

Takes on SE Louisiana Lady Lions at TCU Horned Frogs

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Model: TCU 96% to win. Projected score TCU 80, SE Louisiana 54; spread TCU −25, total 134. SE Louisiana Lady Lions at TCU Horned Frogs, Thu, Nov 12, 7:30 PM ET.