LSU Tigers lead SE Louisiana Lady Lions 4-0 early in the first period, 8:57 remaining. The model gives LSU a 97% chance at home, and no crowd picks are in yet.
NCAA Women's Basketball · · Pete Maravich Assembly Center · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line
SE Louisiana Lady Lions vs LSU Tigers: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreSE Louisiana 35, LSU 129 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerLSU 97%
- Pregame Projected scoreLSU 78, SE Louisiana 53
- Model spreadLSU −25.5 total 130.5
- Margin94 projected 25.5
- Total164 projected 130.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
SE Louisiana Lady Lions or LSU Tigers: the bandwagon
Axle 3–97Market –
FinalPregame: LSU 97%Baseline: LSU 99.7% (+3.2)Big swing: 0.9 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SELA | 4 | 5 | 16 | 10 | 35 |
| LSU | 37 | 32 | 31 | 29 | 129 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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SE Louisiana Lady Lions at LSU Tigers win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for LSU over the last 5:00
Big swing0.9 ptstoward LSU at 0:17 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselineLSU 99.7%game average, +3.2 points from the pregame 96.5%
SE Louisiana Lady Lions vs LSU Tigers live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | SELA | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | SELA10/36 | LSU48/86 |
| 3-pointers | SELA4/19 | LSU10/20 |
| Free throws | SELA11/20 | LSU23/31 |
| Rebounds | SELA19 | LSU54 |
| Assists | SELA5 | LSU31 |
| Turnovers | SELA38 | LSU11 |
| Steals | SELA5 | LSU24 |
| Blocks | SELA4 | LSU5 |
| Points in the paint | SELA12 | LSU72 |
| Fast-break points | SELA6 | LSU29 |
| Fouls | SELA22 | LSU22 |
| Largest lead | SELA0 | LSU97 |
SE Louisiana Lady Lions vs LSU Tigers team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | SELA | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | SELA35 | LSU129 |
| Average win probability | SELA0% | LSU100% |
| Longest scoring run | SELA+3 | LSU+20 |
| Time leading | SELA0:00 | LSU39:14 |
SE Louisiana Lady Lions vs LSU Tigers odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET
Lady Lions3%
Win chanceTigers97%
SpreadLSU −25.5closing model spread
Total130.5
Moneyline+2779away / −2779homeaway / home
Line movementLSU win chance, 35 stored lines
+34 pts for LSU between Oct 29 and Nov 2
100%58%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
| Stored | LSU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:26 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:46 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:06 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:58 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:13 PM ET | 97% | +1 |
| Nov 2, 4:58 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 4:08 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:47 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:17 PM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 96% | −1 |
| Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:20 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:46 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:06 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 12:31 PM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 97% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 2:23 PM ET | 97% | +1 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 96% | −2 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 98% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 98% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 98% | +35 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- LSU 1779 · SELA 1387
- Home spread
- −25.5
- Stored
- Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET · 2026-11-03 02:01 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: SE Louisiana Lady Lions 35, LSU Tigers 129. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
Lady LionsTigers
Neutrals only–
Lady LionsTigers
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Tigers–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
SE Louisiana Lady Lions vs LSU Tigers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Tigers a 25.5-point favorite at home, with a 97% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Tigers 1783 (5th of 356), Lady Lions 1383 (296th). The Tigers are 1-0; the Lady Lions are 0-1. The Tigers have won 3 of their last 5; the Lady Lions 1 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Tigers won 3, the Lady Lions 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
SE Louisiana Lady Lions
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at LSU Tigers | L 35–129 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Lamar Cardinals | L 52–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Nicholls Colonels | L 55–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| at LSU New Orleans Privateers | W 74–64 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | L 54–77 | – | – | matchup |
LSU Tigers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs SE Louisiana Lady Lions | W 129–35 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Duke Blue Devils | L 85–87 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Texas Tech Lady Raiders | W 101–47 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Jacksonville Dolphins | W 116–58 | – | – | matchup | |
| at South Carolina Gamecocks | L 77–83 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SE Louisiana Lady Lions at LSU Tigers | 26–115 | – | – | matchup | |
| LSU Tigers at SE Louisiana Lady Lions | 73–50 | – | – | matchup | |
| SE Louisiana Lady Lions at LSU Tigers | 55–63 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
SE Louisiana Lady Lions: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
LSU Tigers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Lady Lions0-1 12th · L1
- Lady Lions rating1383 296th of 356, 1 games
- Tigers1-0 7th · W1
- Tigers rating1783 5th of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 12th · streak L1
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LSU Tigers 1-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 7th · streak W1
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