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NCAA Women's Basketball · · Value City Arena · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

UConn Huskies vs Ohio State Buckeyes prediction, odds and picks, November 12, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

UConn Huskies or Ohio State Buckeyes: the bandwagon

Bandwagon1 on the bandwagon so far

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 63–37Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: OSU 37%
Record 1-0
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Record 1-0
Game clock
KickoffThursday, November 12 at 6:30 PM ET
Situation
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Possession
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UConn Huskies at Ohio State Buckeyes win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

UConn Huskies vs Ohio State Buckeyes live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

UConn Huskies vs Ohio State Buckeyes team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatCONNOSU
ScoreCONN–OSU–
Average win probabilityCONN–OSU–
Longest scoring runCONN–OSU–
Time leadingCONN–OSU–

UConn Huskies vs Ohio State Buckeyes odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 5 h ago
Huskies63%
Win chance
Buckeyes37%
SpreadCONN −1
Total129.5
Moneyline−170away / +170homeaway / home
Line movementOSU win chance, 45 stored lines
+6 pts for OSU since Oct 29
43%25%
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: OSU 31%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: OSU 31%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: OSU 31%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: OSU 36%Nov 1, 2:23 PM ET: OSU 36%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: OSU 36%Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET: OSU 36%Nov 2, 1:11 PM ET: OSU 36%Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET: OSU 36%Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET: OSU 36%Nov 2, 2:20 PM ET: OSU 36%Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET: OSU 36%Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET: OSU 36%Nov 2, 6:13 PM ET: OSU 36%Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET: OSU 36%Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET: OSU 36%Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET: OSU 36%Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET: OSU 36%Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET: OSU 36%Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET: OSU 36%Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET: OSU 37%Nov 2, 8:36 PM ET: OSU 37%Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET: OSU 37%Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET: OSU 37%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: OSU 37%Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET: OSU 37%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: OSU 37%Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET: OSU 37%Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET: OSU 37%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: OSU 37%Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET: OSU 37%Nov 2, 9:58 PM ET: OSU 37%Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET: OSU 37%Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET: OSU 37%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: OSU 37%Nov 3, 1:03 PM ET: OSU 37%Nov 3, 9:28 PM ET: OSU 37%Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET: OSU 37%Nov 3, 9:58 PM ET: OSU 37%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: OSU 37%Nov 4, 7:49 PM ET: OSU 37%Nov 4, 9:15 PM ET: OSU 37%Nov 4, 9:45 PM ET: OSU 37%Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET: OSU 37%Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET: OSU 37%
Oct 29Nov 2Now
Every stored line
StoredOSU winMove
Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET37%0
Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET37%0
Nov 4, 9:45 PM ET37%0
Nov 4, 9:15 PM ET37%0
Nov 4, 7:49 PM ET37%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET37%0
Nov 3, 9:58 PM ET37%0
Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET37%0
Nov 3, 9:28 PM ET37%0
Nov 3, 1:03 PM ET37%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET37%0
Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET37%0
Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET37%0
Nov 2, 9:58 PM ET37%0
Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET37%0
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET37%0
Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET37%0
Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET37%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET37%0
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET37%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET37%0
Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET37%0
Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET37%0
Nov 2, 8:36 PM ET37%0
Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET37%+1
Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET36%0
Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET36%0
Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET36%0
Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET36%0
Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET36%0
Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET36%0
Nov 2, 6:13 PM ET36%0
Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET36%0
Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET36%0
Nov 2, 2:20 PM ET36%0
Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET36%0
Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET36%0
Nov 2, 1:11 PM ET36%0
Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET36%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET36%0
Nov 1, 2:23 PM ET36%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET36%+5
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET31%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET31%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET31%—
Ratings
OSU 1727 · CONN 1862
Home spread
+1
Stored
Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET · 2026-11-05 04:01 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

HuskiesBuckeyes
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Buckeyes–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

UConn Huskies vs Ohio State Buckeyes prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Huskies a 1-point favorite, with a 63% chance to win. The model total is 129.5. Ratings: Buckeyes 1727 (13th of 356), Huskies 1862 (2nd). The Buckeyes are 1-0; the Huskies are 1-0. The Buckeyes have won 3 of their last 5; the Huskies 4 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Buckeyes won 1, the Huskies 1.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

UConn Huskies

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Cornell Big RedW 100–35––matchup
vs South Carolina GamecocksL 48–62––matchup
vs Notre Dame Fighting IrishW 70–52––matchup
vs North Carolina Tar HeelsW 63–42––matchup
vs Syracuse OrangeW 98–45––matchup

Ohio State Buckeyes

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs UIC FlamesW 81–34––matchup
vs Notre Dame Fighting IrishL 73–83––matchup
vs Howard BisonW 75–54––matchup
at UCLA BruinsL 62–72––matchup
at Minnesota Golden GophersW 60–55––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Ohio State Buckeyes at UConn Huskies68–100––matchup
Ohio State Buckeyes at UConn Huskies73–61––matchup

Injuries

UConn Huskies: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Ohio State Buckeyes: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Huskies1-0 9th · W1
  • Huskies rating1862 2nd of 356, 1 games
  • Buckeyes1-0 7th · W1
  • Buckeyes rating1727 13th of 356, 1 games

UConn Huskies 1-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 9th · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagon1 stance so far today on $CONNWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $CONNWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $CONNWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

1 stance today on $CONNWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UConn Huskies bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Huskies roster, schedule and more

Ohio State Buckeyes 1-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 7th · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $OSUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $OSUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $OSUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $OSUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Ohio State Buckeyes bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Buckeyes roster, schedule and more

Takes on UConn Huskies at Ohio State Buckeyes

Sign in to post a take on $CONNWBBOSUWBB261112: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.

Model: UConn 63% to win. Projected score UConn 65, Ohio State 64; spread UConn −1, total 129.5. UConn Huskies at Ohio State Buckeyes, Thu, Nov 12, 6:30 PM ET.