Northwestern State Lady Demons vs Arkansas Razorbacks prediction, odds and picks, November 6, 2026
- Projected winnerArkansas 62%
- Projected scoreArkansas 68, Northwestern State 62
- Model spreadArkansas −6 total 130.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Northwestern State Lady Demons or Arkansas Razorbacks: the bandwagon
Axle 38–62Market –
Northwestern State Lady Demons at Arkansas Razorbacks win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Northwestern State Lady Demons vs Arkansas Razorbacks live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Northwestern State Lady Demons vs Arkansas Razorbacks team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | NWST | ARK |
|---|---|---|
| Score | NWST– | ARK– |
| Average win probability | NWST– | ARK– |
| Longest scoring run | NWST– | ARK– |
| Time leading | NWST– | ARK– |
Northwestern State Lady Demons vs Arkansas Razorbacks odds
Every stored line
| Stored | ARK win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 9:15 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 9:15 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:58 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:33 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET | 62% | +3 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:17 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:46 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:11 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 59% | +1 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 58% | −5 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- ARK 1483 · NWST 1487
- Home spread
- −6
- Stored
- Nov 4, 9:15 PM ET · 2026-11-05 02:15 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Northwestern State Lady Demons vs Arkansas Razorbacks prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Razorbacks a 6-point favorite at home, with a 62% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Razorbacks 1483 (197th of 356), Lady Demons 1487 (192nd). The Razorbacks are 1-0; the Lady Demons are 1-0. The Razorbacks have won 2 of their last 5; the Lady Demons 4 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Northwestern State Lady Demons
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | L 67–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs LSU New Orleans Privateers | W 81–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | W 63–35 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | W 64–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Houston Christian Huskies | W 70–64 | – | – | matchup |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LSU New Orleans Privateers | W 127–48 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Kentucky Wildcats | L 64–94 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Auburn Tigers | W 70–41 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Oklahoma Sooners | L 44–89 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Texas A&M Aggies | L 57–78 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Northwestern State Lady Demons: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Arkansas Razorbacks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Lady Demons1-0 6th · W1
- Lady Demons rating1487 192nd of 356, 0 games
- Razorbacks1-0 2nd · W1
- Razorbacks rating1483 197th of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 6th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $NWSTWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Northwestern State Lady Demons bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 2nd · streak W1
No stances yet today on $ARKWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Arkansas Razorbacks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Northwestern State Lady Demons at Arkansas Razorbacks
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Model: Arkansas 62% to win. Projected score Arkansas 68, Northwestern State 62; spread Arkansas −6, total 130.5. Northwestern State Lady Demons at Arkansas Razorbacks, Fri, Nov 6, 11:30 AM ET.