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Axle 2.078% straight up465 games
NCAA Women's Basketball · · Total Mortgage Arena · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

Binghamton Bearcats vs Fairfield Stags prediction, odds and picks, November 6, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Binghamton Bearcats or Fairfield Stags: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 12–88Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: FAIR 88%
Record 0-1
––
Record 0-0
Game clock
KickoffFriday, November 6 at 7:00 PM ET
Situation
–
Possession
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Binghamton Bearcats at Fairfield Stags win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Binghamton Bearcats vs Fairfield Stags live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Binghamton Bearcats vs Fairfield Stags team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatBINGFAIR
ScoreBING–FAIR–
Average win probabilityBING–FAIR–
Longest scoring runBING–FAIR–
Time leadingBING–FAIR–

Binghamton Bearcats vs Fairfield Stags odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 3 h ago
Bearcats12%
Win chance
Stags88%
SpreadFAIR −16.5
Total130.5
Moneyline+754away / −754homeaway / home
Line movementFAIR win chance, 44 stored lines
+25 pts for FAIR since Oct 29
96%58%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: FAIR 63%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: FAIR 91%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: FAIR 91%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: FAIR 91%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: FAIR 87%Nov 1, 2:23 PM ET: FAIR 87%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: FAIR 87%Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET: FAIR 87%Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET: FAIR 87%Nov 2, 6:13 PM ET: FAIR 87%Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET: FAIR 87%Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET: FAIR 87%Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET: FAIR 87%Nov 2, 7:46 PM ET: FAIR 87%Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET: FAIR 87%Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET: FAIR 87%Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET: FAIR 88%Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET: FAIR 88%Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET: FAIR 88%Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET: FAIR 88%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: FAIR 88%Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET: FAIR 88%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: FAIR 88%Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET: FAIR 88%Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET: FAIR 88%Nov 2, 9:58 PM ET: FAIR 88%Nov 2, 10:13 PM ET: FAIR 88%Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET: FAIR 88%Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET: FAIR 88%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: FAIR 88%Nov 3, 7:58 PM ET: FAIR 88%Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET: FAIR 88%Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET: FAIR 88%Nov 3, 9:08 PM ET: FAIR 88%Nov 3, 9:28 PM ET: FAIR 88%Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET: FAIR 88%Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET: FAIR 88%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: FAIR 88%Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET: FAIR 88%Nov 4, 8:55 PM ET: FAIR 88%Nov 4, 9:45 PM ET: FAIR 88%Nov 4, 9:55 PM ET: FAIR 88%Nov 5, 12:01 AM ET: FAIR 88%Nov 5, 12:01 AM ET: FAIR 88%
Oct 29Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredFAIR winMove
Nov 5, 12:01 AM ET88%0
Nov 5, 12:01 AM ET88%0
Nov 4, 9:55 PM ET88%0
Nov 4, 9:45 PM ET88%0
Nov 4, 8:55 PM ET88%0
Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET88%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET88%0
Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET88%0
Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET88%0
Nov 3, 9:28 PM ET88%0
Nov 3, 9:08 PM ET88%0
Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET88%0
Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET88%0
Nov 3, 7:58 PM ET88%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET88%0
Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET88%0
Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET88%0
Nov 2, 10:13 PM ET88%0
Nov 2, 9:58 PM ET88%0
Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET88%0
Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET88%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET88%0
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET88%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET88%0
Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET88%0
Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET88%0
Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET88%0
Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET88%+1
Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET87%0
Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET87%0
Nov 2, 7:46 PM ET87%0
Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET87%0
Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET87%0
Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET87%0
Nov 2, 6:13 PM ET87%0
Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET87%0
Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET87%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET87%0
Nov 1, 2:23 PM ET87%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET87%−4
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET91%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET91%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET91%+28
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET63%—
Ratings
FAIR 1680 · BING 1471
Home spread
−16.5
Stored
Nov 5, 12:01 AM ET · 2026-11-05 05:01 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

BearcatsStags
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Stags–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Binghamton Bearcats vs Fairfield Stags prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Stags a 16.5-point favorite at home, with a 88% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Stags 1680 (23rd of 356), Bearcats 1471 (207th). The Stags are 0-0; the Bearcats are 0-1. The Stags have won 4 of their last 5; the Bearcats 1 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Stags won 0, the Bearcats 1.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Binghamton Bearcats

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Monmouth HawksL 40–63––matchup
at La Salle ExplorersL 61–70––matchup
at Maine Black BearsL 56–60––matchup
vs Bryant BulldogsW 45–44––matchup
at Maine Black BearsL 67–74––matchup

Fairfield Stags

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Notre Dame Fighting IrishL 60–79––matchup
at Quinnipiac BobcatsW 51–44––matchup
vs Merrimack WarriorsW 65–48––matchup
vs Sacred Heart PioneersW 69–53––matchup
vs Sacred Heart PioneersW 67–50––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Fairfield Stags at Binghamton Bearcats72–77––matchup

Injuries

Binghamton Bearcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Fairfield Stags: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Bearcats0-1 9th · L1
  • Bearcats rating1471 207th of 356, 1 games
  • Stags0-0 13th · -
  • Stags rating1680 23rd of 356, 0 games

Binghamton Bearcats 0-1

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 9th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $BINGWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $BINGWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $BINGWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $BINGWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Binghamton Bearcats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Bearcats roster, schedule and more

Fairfield Stags 0-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 13th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $FAIRWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $FAIRWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $FAIRWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $FAIRWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Fairfield Stags bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Stags roster, schedule and more

Takes on Binghamton Bearcats at Fairfield Stags

Sign in to post a take on $BINGWBBFAIRWBB261107: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.

Model: Fairfield 88% to win. Projected score Fairfield 74, Binghamton 57; spread Fairfield −16.5, total 130.5. Binghamton Bearcats at Fairfield Stags, Fri, Nov 6, 7:00 PM ET.