Monmouth Hawks lead Binghamton Bearcats 27-16 at the half, an 11-point margin. The model gives the Hawks 69% at home, so the numbers favor Monmouth right now.
NCAA Women's Basketball · · OceanFirst Bank Center · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line
Binghamton Bearcats vs Monmouth Hawks: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreBinghamton 40, Monmouth 63 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerMonmouth 69%
- Pregame Projected scoreMonmouth 69, Binghamton 61
- Model spreadMonmouth −8 total 130.5
- Margin23 projected 8.1
- Total103 projected 130.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Binghamton Bearcats or Monmouth Hawks: the bandwagon
Axle 31–69Market –
FinalPregame: MONM 69%Baseline: MONM 91.9% (+23.2)Big swing: 8.5 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BING | 4 | 12 | 15 | 9 | 40 |
| MONM | 14 | 13 | 18 | 18 | 63 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Binghamton Bearcats at Monmouth Hawks win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for MONM over the last 5:00
Big swing8.5 ptstoward MONM at 4:10 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselineMONM 91.9%game average, +23.2 points from the pregame 68.8%
Binghamton Bearcats vs Monmouth Hawks live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | BING | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | BING11/54 | MONM20/56 |
| 3-pointers | BING1/18 | MONM4/21 |
| Free throws | BING17/27 | MONM19/24 |
| Rebounds | BING42 | MONM41 |
| Assists | BING6 | MONM10 |
| Turnovers | BING24 | MONM18 |
| Steals | BING9 | MONM13 |
| Blocks | BING10 | MONM4 |
| Points in the paint | BING12 | MONM28 |
| Fast-break points | BING6 | MONM18 |
| Fouls | BING22 | MONM26 |
| Largest lead | BING0 | MONM25 |
Binghamton Bearcats vs Monmouth Hawks team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | BING | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Score | BING40 | MONM63 |
| Average win probability | BING8% | MONM92% |
| Longest scoring run | BING+3 | MONM+10 |
| Time leading | BING0:00 | MONM36:28 |
Binghamton Bearcats vs Monmouth Hawks odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET
Bearcats31%
Win chanceHawks69%
SpreadMONM −8closing model spread
Total130.5
Moneyline+220away / −220homeaway / home
Line movementMONM win chance, 14 stored lines
+6 pts for MONM between Oct 29 and Nov 2
76%58%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
| Stored | MONM win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:06 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:17 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:20 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 69% | −2 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 71% | +8 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- MONM 1527 · BING 1487
- Home spread
- −8
- Stored
- Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET · 2026-11-03 01:01 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Binghamton Bearcats 40, Monmouth Hawks 63. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
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BearcatsHawks
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BearcatsHawks
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Binghamton Bearcats vs Monmouth Hawks prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Hawks a 8-point favorite at home, with a 69% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Hawks 1543 (127th of 356), Bearcats 1471 (207th). The Hawks are 1-0; the Bearcats are 0-1. The Hawks have won 3 of their last 5; the Bearcats 1 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Binghamton Bearcats
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Monmouth Hawks | L 40–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| at La Salle Explorers | L 61–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Maine Black Bears | L 56–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Bryant Bulldogs | W 45–44 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Maine Black Bears | L 67–74 | – | – | matchup |
Monmouth Hawks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Binghamton Bearcats | W 63–40 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Cleveland State Vikings | L 68–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks | W 72–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Stony Brook Seawolves | L 45–51 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks | W 72–61 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Binghamton Bearcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Monmouth Hawks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Bearcats0-1 9th · L1
- Bearcats rating1471 207th of 356, 1 games
- Hawks1-0 4th · W1
- Hawks rating1543 127th of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 9th · streak L1
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Monmouth Hawks 1-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 4th · streak W1
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