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NCAA Women's Basketball · · Frost Arena · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

Northern Iowa Panthers vs South Dakota State Jackrabbits prediction, odds and picks, November 6, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Northern Iowa Panthers or South Dakota State Jackrabbits: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 24–76Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: SDST 76%
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Game clock
KickoffFriday, November 6 at 7:00 PM ET
Situation
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Possession
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Northern Iowa Panthers at South Dakota State Jackrabbits win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Northern Iowa Panthers vs South Dakota State Jackrabbits live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Northern Iowa Panthers vs South Dakota State Jackrabbits team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatUNISDST
ScoreUNI–SDST–
Average win probabilityUNI–SDST–
Longest scoring runUNI–SDST–
Time leadingUNI–SDST–

Northern Iowa Panthers vs South Dakota State Jackrabbits odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 2 h ago
Panthers24%
Win chance
Jackrabbits76%
SpreadSDST −10.5
Total131
Moneyline+321away / −321homeaway / home
Line movementSDST win chance, 36 stored lines
+13 pts for SDST since Oct 29
87%58%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: SDST 63%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: SDST 82%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: SDST 82%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: SDST 82%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: SDST 78%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: SDST 78%Nov 2, 12:31 PM ET: SDST 78%Nov 2, 2:20 PM ET: SDST 78%Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET: SDST 78%Nov 2, 6:13 PM ET: SDST 78%Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET: SDST 78%Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET: SDST 78%Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET: SDST 78%Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET: SDST 78%Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET: SDST 78%Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET: SDST 78%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: SDST 77%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: SDST 77%Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET: SDST 77%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: SDST 77%Nov 2, 9:58 PM ET: SDST 76%Nov 2, 10:13 PM ET: SDST 76%Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET: SDST 76%Nov 2, 10:33 PM ET: SDST 76%Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET: SDST 76%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: SDST 76%Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET: SDST 76%Nov 3, 8:58 PM ET: SDST 76%Nov 3, 9:08 PM ET: SDST 76%Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET: SDST 76%Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET: SDST 76%Nov 3, 9:58 PM ET: SDST 76%Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET: SDST 76%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: SDST 76%Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET: SDST 76%Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET: SDST 76%
Oct 29Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredSDST winMove
Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET76%0
Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET76%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET76%0
Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET76%0
Nov 3, 9:58 PM ET76%0
Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET76%0
Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET76%0
Nov 3, 9:08 PM ET76%0
Nov 3, 8:58 PM ET76%0
Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET76%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET76%0
Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET76%0
Nov 2, 10:33 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 10:13 PM ET76%0
Nov 2, 9:58 PM ET76%−1
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET77%−1
Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 6:13 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 2:20 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 12:31 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET78%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET78%−4
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET82%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET82%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET82%+19
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET63%—
Ratings
SDST 1650 · UNI 1559
Home spread
−10.5
Stored
Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET · 2026-11-04 19:15 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

PanthersJackrabbits
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Jackrabbits–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Northern Iowa Panthers vs South Dakota State Jackrabbits prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Jackrabbits a 10.5-point favorite at home, with a 76% chance to win. The model total is 131. Ratings: Jackrabbits 1650 (38th of 356), Panthers 1559 (115th). The Jackrabbits are 0-0; the Panthers are 0-0. The Jackrabbits have won 3 of their last 5; the Panthers 4 of their last 5. The two have met 4 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Jackrabbits won 4, the Panthers 0.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Northern Iowa Panthers

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs St. Thomas TommiesW 67–59––matchup
at Murray State RacersL 59–72––matchup
vs Bradley BravesW 74–73––matchup
vs Drake BulldogsW 65–58––matchup
at Indiana State SycamoresW 92–73––matchup

South Dakota State Jackrabbits

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Creighton BluejaysL 71–73––matchup
at Washington HuskiesL 54–72––matchup
at North Dakota State BisonW 64–51––matchup
vs South Dakota CoyotesW 74–59––matchup
vs Kansas City RoosW 75–61––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
South Dakota State Jackrabbits at Northern Iowa Panthers59–57––matchup
Northern Iowa Panthers at South Dakota State Jackrabbits53–68––matchup
South Dakota State Jackrabbits at Northern Iowa Panthers78–59––matchup
Northern Iowa Panthers at South Dakota State Jackrabbits69–80––matchup

Injuries

Northern Iowa Panthers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

South Dakota State Jackrabbits: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Panthers0-0 8th · -
  • Panthers rating1559 115th of 356, 1 games
  • Jackrabbits0-0 7th · -
  • Jackrabbits rating1650 38th of 356, 1 games

Northern Iowa Panthers 0-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 8th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $UNIWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $UNIWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $UNIWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $UNIWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Northern Iowa Panthers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Panthers roster, schedule and more

South Dakota State Jackrabbits 0-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 7th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $SDSTWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $SDSTWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $SDSTWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $SDSTWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the South Dakota State Jackrabbits bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Jackrabbits roster, schedule and more

Takes on Northern Iowa Panthers at South Dakota State Jackrabbits

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Model: South Dakota State 76% to win. Projected score South Dakota State 71, Northern Iowa 60; spread South Dakota State −10.5, total 131. Northern Iowa Panthers at South Dakota State Jackrabbits, Fri, Nov 6, 7:00 PM ET.