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NCAA Women's Basketball · · Smith Spectrum · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

Loyola Marymount Lions vs Utah State Aggies prediction, odds and picks, November 6, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Loyola Marymount Lions or Utah State Aggies: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 77–23Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: USU 23%
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Record 1-0
Game clock
KickoffFriday, November 6 at 4:00 PM ET
Situation
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Possession
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Loyola Marymount Lions at Utah State Aggies win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Loyola Marymount Lions vs Utah State Aggies live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Loyola Marymount Lions vs Utah State Aggies team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatLMUUSU
ScoreLMU–USU–
Average win probabilityLMU–USU–
Longest scoring runLMU–USU–
Time leadingLMU–USU–

Loyola Marymount Lions vs Utah State Aggies odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 11:01 PM ET
Lions77%
Win chance
Aggies23%
SpreadLMU −5.5
Total130.5
Moneyline−331away / +331homeaway / home
Line movementUSU win chance, 54 stored lines
−40 pts for USU since Oct 29
69%11%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: USU 63%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: USU 17%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: USU 17%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: USU 17%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: USU 25%Nov 2, 12:31 PM ET: USU 25%Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET: USU 25%Nov 2, 1:11 PM ET: USU 25%Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET: USU 25%Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET: USU 25%Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET: USU 25%Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET: USU 25%Nov 2, 3:47 PM ET: USU 25%Nov 2, 4:27 PM ET: USU 25%Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET: USU 25%Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET: USU 25%Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET: USU 25%Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET: USU 25%Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET: USU 25%Nov 2, 8:36 PM ET: USU 25%Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET: USU 25%Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET: USU 25%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: USU 25%Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET: USU 25%Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET: USU 25%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: USU 25%Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET: USU 25%Nov 2, 9:58 PM ET: USU 25%Nov 2, 10:13 PM ET: USU 25%Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET: USU 25%Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET: USU 25%Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET: USU 25%Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET: USU 25%Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET: USU 23%Nov 3, 12:34 AM ET: USU 23%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: USU 23%Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET: USU 23%Nov 3, 9:28 PM ET: USU 23%Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET: USU 23%Nov 3, 9:58 PM ET: USU 23%Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET: USU 23%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: USU 23%Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET: USU 23%Nov 4, 9:55 PM ET: USU 23%Nov 4, 10:06 PM ET: USU 23%Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET: USU 23%Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET: USU 23%
Oct 29Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredUSU winMove
Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET23%0
Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET23%0
Nov 4, 10:06 PM ET23%0
Nov 4, 9:55 PM ET23%0
Nov 4, 9:45 PM ET23%0
Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET23%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET23%0
Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET23%0
Nov 3, 9:58 PM ET23%0
Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET23%0
Nov 3, 9:28 PM ET23%0
Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET23%0
Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET23%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET23%0
Nov 3, 12:34 AM ET23%0
Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET23%−2
Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET25%0
Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET25%0
Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET25%0
Nov 2, 10:41 PM ET25%0
Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET25%0
Nov 2, 10:13 PM ET25%0
Nov 2, 9:58 PM ET25%0
Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET25%0
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET25%0
Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET25%0
Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET25%0
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET25%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET25%0
Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET25%0
Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET25%0
Nov 2, 8:36 PM ET25%0
Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET25%0
Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET25%0
Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET25%0
Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET25%0
Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET25%0
Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET25%0
Nov 2, 4:27 PM ET25%0
Nov 2, 3:47 PM ET25%0
Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET25%0
Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET25%0
Nov 2, 2:20 PM ET25%0
Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET25%0
Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET25%0
Nov 2, 1:11 PM ET25%0
Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET25%0
Nov 2, 12:31 PM ET25%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET25%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET25%+8
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET17%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET17%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET17%−46
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET63%—
Ratings
USU 1330 · LMU 1565
Home spread
+5.5
Stored
Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET · 2026-11-05 04:01 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

LionsAggies
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Aggies–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Loyola Marymount Lions vs Utah State Aggies prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Lions a 5.5-point favorite, with a 77% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Aggies 1330 (335th of 356), Lions 1565 (107th). The Aggies are 1-0; the Lions are 1-0. The Aggies have won 0 of their last 5; the Lions 3 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Aggies won 0, the Lions 2.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Loyola Marymount Lions

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Nevada Wolf PackW 89–64––matchup
at Stanford CardinalL 76–80––matchup
vs Oregon State BeaversL 67–73––matchup
at Oregon State BeaversW 71–69––matchup
at San Francisco DonsW 66–57––matchup

Utah State Aggies

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Grand Canyon LopesL 58–75––matchup
vs Nevada Wolf PackL 69–72––matchup
at Boise State BroncosL 59–75––matchup
vs New Mexico LobosL 54–69––matchup
at Grand Canyon LopesL 43–63––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Utah State Aggies at Loyola Marymount Lions58–63––matchup
Utah State Aggies at Loyola Marymount Lions63–71––matchup

Injuries

Loyola Marymount Lions: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Utah State Aggies: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Lions1-0 1st · W1
  • Lions rating1565 107th of 356, 1 games
  • Aggies1-0 5th · W1
  • Aggies rating1330 335th of 356, 0 games

Loyola Marymount Lions 1-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 1st · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $LMUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $LMUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $LMUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $LMUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Loyola Marymount Lions bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Lions roster, schedule and more

Utah State Aggies 1-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 5th · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $USUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $USUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $USUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $USUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Utah State Aggies bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Aggies roster, schedule and more

Takes on Loyola Marymount Lions at Utah State Aggies

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Model: Loyola Marymount 77% to win. Projected score Loyola Marymount 68, Utah State 62; spread Loyola Marymount −5.5, total 130.5. Loyola Marymount Lions at Utah State Aggies, Fri, Nov 6, 4:00 PM ET.