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NCAA Women's Basketball · · D. J. Sokol Arena · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

South Dakota Coyotes vs Creighton Bluejays prediction, odds and picks, November 11, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

South Dakota Coyotes or Creighton Bluejays: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 37–63Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: CREI 63%
Record 1-0
––
Record 1-0
Game clock
KickoffWednesday, November 11 at 7:00 PM ET
Situation
–
Possession
–

South Dakota Coyotes at Creighton Bluejays win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

South Dakota Coyotes vs Creighton Bluejays live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

South Dakota Coyotes vs Creighton Bluejays team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatSDAKCREI
ScoreSDAK–CREI–
Average win probabilitySDAK–CREI–
Longest scoring runSDAK–CREI–
Time leadingSDAK–CREI–

South Dakota Coyotes vs Creighton Bluejays odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 2 h ago
Coyotes37%
Win chance
Bluejays63%
SpreadCREI −6
Total130.5
Moneyline+167away / −167homeaway / home
Line movementCREI win chance, 20 stored lines
+13 pts for CREI since Oct 29
68%45%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: CREI 50%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: CREI 52%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: CREI 52%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: CREI 52%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: CREI 61%Nov 1, 2:23 PM ET: CREI 61%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: CREI 61%Nov 2, 2:20 PM ET: CREI 61%Nov 2, 3:47 PM ET: CREI 61%Nov 2, 4:58 PM ET: CREI 61%Nov 2, 6:13 PM ET: CREI 61%Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET: CREI 61%Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET: CREI 61%Nov 2, 9:58 PM ET: CREI 63%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: CREI 63%Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET: CREI 63%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: CREI 63%Nov 4, 9:45 PM ET: CREI 63%Nov 4, 10:06 PM ET: CREI 63%Nov 4, 10:06 PM ET: CREI 63%
Oct 29Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredCREI winMove
Nov 4, 10:06 PM ET63%0
Nov 4, 10:06 PM ET63%0
Nov 4, 9:45 PM ET63%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET63%0
Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET63%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET63%0
Nov 2, 9:58 PM ET63%+2
Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET61%0
Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET61%0
Nov 2, 6:13 PM ET61%0
Nov 2, 4:58 PM ET61%0
Nov 2, 3:47 PM ET61%0
Nov 2, 2:20 PM ET61%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET61%0
Nov 1, 2:23 PM ET61%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET61%+9
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET52%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET52%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET52%+2
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET50%—
Ratings
CREI 1607 · SDAK 1551
Home spread
−6 · neutral site, no home advantage
Stored
Nov 4, 10:06 PM ET · 2026-11-05 03:06 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

CoyotesBluejays
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Bluejays–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

South Dakota Coyotes vs Creighton Bluejays prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Bluejays a 6-point favorite, with a 63% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Bluejays 1607 (70th of 356), Coyotes 1551 (122nd). The Bluejays are 1-0; the Coyotes are 1-0. The Bluejays have won 4 of their last 5; the Coyotes 3 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Bluejays won 2, the Coyotes 0.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

South Dakota Coyotes

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Illinois State RedbirdsL 60–67––matchup
vs Montana State BobcatsW 65–56––matchup
vs Pepperdine WavesW 73–57––matchup
vs Northern Colorado BearsW 80–60––matchup
at South Dakota State JackrabbitsL 59–74––matchup

Creighton Bluejays

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at South Dakota State JackrabbitsW 73–71––matchup
at UConn HuskiesL 51–100––matchup
at Marquette Golden EaglesW 57–44––matchup
at Xavier MusketeersW 73–71––matchup
vs Providence FriarsW 69–49––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
South Dakota Coyotes at Creighton Bluejays55–81––matchup
Creighton Bluejays at South Dakota Coyotes74–51––matchup

Injuries

South Dakota Coyotes: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Creighton Bluejays: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Coyotes1-0 2nd · W1
  • Coyotes rating1551 122nd of 356, 0 games
  • Bluejays1-0 2nd · W1
  • Bluejays rating1607 70th of 356, 1 games

South Dakota Coyotes 1-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 2nd · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $SDAKWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $SDAKWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $SDAKWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $SDAKWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the South Dakota Coyotes bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Coyotes roster, schedule and more

Creighton Bluejays 1-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 2nd · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $CREIWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $CREIWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $CREIWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $CREIWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Creighton Bluejays bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Bluejays roster, schedule and more

Takes on South Dakota Coyotes at Creighton Bluejays

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Model: Creighton 63% to win. Projected score Creighton 68, South Dakota 62; spread Creighton −6, total 130.5. South Dakota Coyotes at Creighton Bluejays, Wed, Nov 11, 7:00 PM ET.