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NCAA Women's Basketball · · The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

UAlbany Great Danes vs Ole Miss Rebels prediction, odds and picks, November 11, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

UAlbany Great Danes or Ole Miss Rebels: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Axle 15–85Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: MISS 85%
Record 0-0
––
Record 1-0
Game clock
KickoffWednesday, November 11 at 7:00 PM ET
Situation
–
Possession
–

UAlbany Great Danes at Ole Miss Rebels win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

UAlbany Great Danes vs Ole Miss Rebels live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

UAlbany Great Danes vs Ole Miss Rebels team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatUALBMISS
ScoreUALB–MISS–
Average win probabilityUALB–MISS–
Longest scoring runUALB–MISS–
Time leadingUALB–MISS–

UAlbany Great Danes vs Ole Miss Rebels odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 10 h ago
Great Danes15%
Win chance
Rebels85%
SpreadMISS −14.5
Total129
Moneyline+571away / −571homeaway / home
Line movementMISS win chance, 39 stored lines
+22 pts for MISS since Oct 29
95%58%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: MISS 63%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: MISS 90%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: MISS 90%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: MISS 90%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: MISS 85%Nov 1, 2:23 PM ET: MISS 85%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: MISS 85%Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET: MISS 85%Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET: MISS 86%Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET: MISS 86%Nov 2, 4:27 PM ET: MISS 86%Nov 2, 4:58 PM ET: MISS 86%Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET: MISS 86%Nov 2, 7:06 PM ET: MISS 86%Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET: MISS 86%Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET: MISS 86%Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET: MISS 86%Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET: MISS 86%Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET: MISS 86%Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET: MISS 85%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: MISS 85%Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET: MISS 85%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: MISS 85%Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET: MISS 85%Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET: MISS 85%Nov 2, 9:58 PM ET: MISS 85%Nov 2, 10:13 PM ET: MISS 85%Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET: MISS 85%Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET: MISS 85%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: MISS 85%Nov 3, 1:03 PM ET: MISS 85%Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET: MISS 85%Nov 3, 8:48 PM ET: MISS 85%Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET: MISS 85%Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET: MISS 85%Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET: MISS 85%Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET: MISS 85%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: MISS 85%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: MISS 85%
Oct 29Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredMISS winMove
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET85%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET85%0
Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET85%0
Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET85%0
Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET85%0
Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET85%0
Nov 3, 8:48 PM ET85%0
Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET85%0
Nov 3, 1:03 PM ET85%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET85%0
Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET85%0
Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET85%0
Nov 2, 10:13 PM ET85%0
Nov 2, 9:58 PM ET85%0
Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET85%0
Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET85%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET85%0
Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET85%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET85%0
Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET85%−1
Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET86%0
Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET86%0
Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET86%0
Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET86%0
Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET86%0
Nov 2, 7:06 PM ET86%0
Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET86%0
Nov 2, 4:58 PM ET86%0
Nov 2, 4:27 PM ET86%0
Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET86%0
Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET86%+1
Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET85%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET85%0
Nov 1, 2:23 PM ET85%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET85%−5
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET90%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET90%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET90%+27
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET63%—
Ratings
MISS 1680 · UALB 1502
Home spread
−14.5
Stored
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

Great DanesRebels
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Rebels–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

UAlbany Great Danes vs Ole Miss Rebels prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Rebels a 14.5-point favorite at home, with a 85% chance to win. The model total is 129. Ratings: Rebels 1680 (24th of 356), Great Danes 1502 (168th). The Rebels are 1-0; the Great Danes are 0-0. The Rebels have won 3 of their last 5; the Great Danes 2 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

UAlbany Great Danes

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Northeastern HuskiesW 65–61––matchup
at Vermont CatamountsL 40–55––matchup
at New Hampshire WildcatsL 42–45––matchup
at Maine Black BearsL 59–60––matchup
vs UMBC RetrieversW 69–63––matchup

Ole Miss Rebels

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Alcorn State Lady BravesW 80–38––matchup
at Minnesota Golden GophersL 63–65––matchup
vs Gonzaga BulldogsW 81–66––matchup
at Texas LonghornsL 68–85––matchup
at Vanderbilt CommodoresW 89–78––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

UAlbany Great Danes: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Ole Miss Rebels: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Great Danes0-0 7th · -
  • Great Danes rating1502 168th of 356, 1 games
  • Rebels1-0 1st · W1
  • Rebels rating1680 24th of 356, 1 games

UAlbany Great Danes 0-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 7th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $UALBWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $UALBWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $UALBWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $UALBWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UAlbany Great Danes bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Great Danes roster, schedule and more

Ole Miss Rebels 1-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 1st · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $MISSWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $MISSWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $MISSWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $MISSWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Ole Miss Rebels bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Rebels roster, schedule and more

Takes on UAlbany Great Danes at Ole Miss Rebels

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Model: Ole Miss 85% to win. Projected score Ole Miss 72, UAlbany 57; spread Ole Miss −14.5, total 129. UAlbany Great Danes at Ole Miss Rebels, Wed, Nov 11, 7:00 PM ET.