Ole Miss Rebels lead Alcorn State Lady Braves 6-2 with 5:22 left in the first, a four-point margin. The model gives the Rebels an 89% chance at home, and no crowd picks are in yet.
NCAA Women's Basketball · · The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line
Alcorn State Lady Braves vs Ole Miss Rebels: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreAlcorn State 38, Ole Miss 80 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerOle Miss 89%
- Pregame Projected scoreOle Miss 74, Alcorn State 57
- Model spreadOle Miss −17 total 130.5
- Margin42 projected 17
- Total118 projected 130.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Alcorn State Lady Braves or Ole Miss Rebels: the bandwagon
Axle 11–89Market –
FinalPregame: MISS 89%Baseline: MISS 97.0% (+7.7)Big swing: 2.9 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALCN | 6 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 38 |
| MISS | 10 | 26 | 21 | 23 | 80 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Alcorn State Lady Braves at Ole Miss Rebels win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for MISS over the last 5:00
Big swing2.9 ptstoward ALCN at 6:23 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselineMISS 97.0%game average, +7.7 points from the pregame 89.2%
Alcorn State Lady Braves vs Ole Miss Rebels live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | ALCN | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | ALCN15/48 | MISS28/66 |
| 3-pointers | ALCN1/12 | MISS5/23 |
| Free throws | ALCN7/10 | MISS19/26 |
| Rebounds | ALCN28 | MISS48 |
| Assists | ALCN12 | MISS16 |
| Turnovers | ALCN26 | MISS14 |
| Steals | ALCN11 | MISS14 |
| Blocks | ALCN3 | MISS9 |
| Points in the paint | ALCN26 | MISS38 |
| Fast-break points | ALCN7 | MISS30 |
| Fouls | ALCN20 | MISS9 |
| Largest lead | ALCN0 | MISS44 |
Alcorn State Lady Braves vs Ole Miss Rebels team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | ALCN | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| Score | ALCN38 | MISS80 |
| Average win probability | ALCN3% | MISS97% |
| Longest scoring run | ALCN+3 | MISS+10 |
| Time leading | ALCN0:00 | MISS37:58 |
Alcorn State Lady Braves vs Ole Miss Rebels odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 1:46 PM ET
Lady Braves11%
Win chanceRebels89%
SpreadMISS −17closing model spread
Total130.5
Moneyline+828away / −828homeaway / home
Line movementMISS win chance, 11 stored lines
+26 pts for MISS between Oct 29 and Nov 2
99%58%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
| Stored | MISS win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 1:46 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:46 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:06 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 89% | −4 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 93% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 93% | +30 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- MISS 1672 · ALCN 1448
- Home spread
- −17
- Stored
- Nov 2, 1:46 PM ET · 2026-11-02 18:46 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Alcorn State Lady Braves 38, Ole Miss Rebels 80. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
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Lady BravesRebels
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Alcorn State Lady Braves vs Ole Miss Rebels prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Rebels a 17-point favorite at home, with a 89% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Rebels 1680 (24th of 356), Lady Braves 1440 (240th). The Rebels are 1-0; the Lady Braves are 0-1. The Rebels have won 3 of their last 5; the Lady Braves 1 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Rebels won 3, the Lady Braves 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Alcorn State Lady Braves
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Ole Miss Rebels | L 38–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs South Alabama Jaguars | L 65–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | L 60–64 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | L 61–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Mississippi Valley State Devilettes | W 67–56 | – | – | matchup |
Ole Miss Rebels
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Alcorn State Lady Braves | W 80–38 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Minnesota Golden Gophers | L 63–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Gonzaga Bulldogs | W 81–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Texas Longhorns | L 68–85 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Vanderbilt Commodores | W 89–78 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcorn State Lady Braves at Ole Miss Rebels | 44–64 | – | – | matchup | |
| Alcorn State Lady Braves at Ole Miss Rebels | 41–93 | – | – | matchup | |
| Alcorn State Lady Braves at Ole Miss Rebels | 37–76 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Alcorn State Lady Braves: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Ole Miss Rebels: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Lady Braves0-1 4th · L1
- Lady Braves rating1440 240th of 356, 1 games
- Rebels1-0 8th · W1
- Rebels rating1680 24th of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 4th · streak L1
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No stances yet today on $ALCNWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Alcorn State Lady Braves bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Ole Miss Rebels 1-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 8th · streak W1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $MISSWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $MISSWBB
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $MISSWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $MISSWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Ole Miss Rebels bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Alcorn State Lady Braves at Ole Miss Rebels
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Final: Alcorn State 38, Ole Miss 80. Bandwagon's model had the Ole Miss at 89% and projected Ole Miss 74, Alcorn State 57; spread Ole Miss −17, total 130.5.