Monmouth Hawks vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights prediction, odds and picks, November 11, 2026
- Projected winnerMonmouth 52%
- Model spreadRutgers −2 total 128.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Monmouth Hawks or Rutgers Scarlet Knights: the bandwagon
Axle 52–48Market –
Monmouth Hawks at Rutgers Scarlet Knights win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Monmouth Hawks vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Monmouth Hawks vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | MONM | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Score | MONM– | RUTG– |
| Average win probability | MONM– | RUTG– |
| Longest scoring run | MONM– | RUTG– |
| Time leading | MONM– | RUTG– |
Monmouth Hawks vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights odds
Every stored line
| Stored | RUTG win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 9:15 PM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 9:15 PM ET | 48% | +3 |
| Nov 4, 8:05 PM ET | 45% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 45% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:58 PM ET | 45% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET | 45% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:28 PM ET | 45% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET | 45% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET | 45% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:48 PM ET | 45% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 1:03 PM ET | 45% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 45% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET | 45% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET | 45% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 45% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET | 45% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 45% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 45% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 45% | +4 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:36 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET | 41% | −3 |
| Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:58 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:20 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 44% | +7 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 37% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 37% | −26 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- RUTG 1459 · MONM 1543
- Home spread
- −2
- Stored
- Nov 4, 9:15 PM ET · 2026-11-05 02:15 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
- Last move
- spread −1.5 → −2, home 45% → 48%
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Monmouth Hawks vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Hawks the favorite, with a 52% chance to win; its spread is Scarlet Knights −2. The model total is 128.5. Ratings: Scarlet Knights 1441 (239th of 356), Hawks 1543 (127th). The Scarlet Knights are 1-0; the Hawks are 1-0. The Scarlet Knights have won 2 of their last 5; the Hawks 3 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Scarlet Knights won 1, the Hawks 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Monmouth Hawks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Binghamton Bearcats | W 63–40 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Cleveland State Vikings | L 68–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks | W 72–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Stony Brook Seawolves | L 45–51 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks | W 72–61 | – | – | matchup |
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs La Salle Explorers | W 75–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Long Island University Sharks | W 83–52 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Nebraska Cornhuskers | L 52–93 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Indiana Hoosiers | L 69–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Penn State Lady Lions | L 78–87 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monmouth Hawks at Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 51–56 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Monmouth Hawks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Rutgers Scarlet Knights: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Hawks1-0 4th · W1
- Hawks rating1543 127th of 356, 1 games
- Scarlet Knights1-0 10th · W1
- Scarlet Knights rating1441 239th of 356, 1 games
Monmouth Hawks 1-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 4th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $MONMWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Monmouth Hawks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 10th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $RUTGWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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