NBA odds, Nov 2–8, 2026: Bandwagon's model vs Kalshi and Polymarket
Bandwagon's model has a line on 54 of 54 NBA games Nov 2–8, 2026. Its biggest favorite is Knicks at 92%, against Nets; its closest game is Heat at Clippers, 48%–52%. The largest gap with a market is Heat at Kings: the model gives Heat 64% and Kalshi 84% (20 points). Model as of Nov 8, 8:43 PM ET; prices as of Nov 8, 8:51 PM ET.
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers. How the model works · Axle 2.0 · Betting guide
NBA Nov 2–8, 2026 slate
54 games| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Model win chance | Model spread | Model total | Kalshi | Polymarket | Crowd | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder at Cavaliers | Thunder 53% | Cavaliers −0.5 | 226.5 | Thunder 39% | Thunder 39% | – | Thunder 117, Cavaliers 112 model's favorite won | |
| Bulls at 76ers | 76ers 81% | 76ers −11.5 | 228 | 76ers 82% | 76ers 82% | – | Bulls 107, 76ers 126 model's favorite won | |
| Hawks at Pacers | Hawks 73% | Hawks −5.5 | 229.5 | Hawks 79% | Hawks 79% | – | Hawks 108, Pacers 104 model's favorite won | |
| Nets at Knicks | Knicks 92% | Knicks −19 | 223.5 | Knicks 88% | Knicks 88% | – | Nets 90, Knicks 103 model's favorite won | |
| Pistons at Hornets | Pistons 67% | Pistons −3.5 | 217.5 | Pistons 68% | Pistons 68% | – | Pistons 124, Hornets 91 model's favorite won | |
| Wizards at Magic | Magic 67% | Magic −6.5 | 225 | Magic 57% | Magic 59% | – | Wizards 103, Magic 94 model's favorite lost | |
| Bucks at Timberwolves | Timberwolves 85% | Timberwolves −14 | 231.5 | Timberwolves 81% | Timberwolves 81% | – | Bucks 100, Timberwolves 112 model's favorite won | |
| Kings at Mavericks | Mavericks 77% | Mavericks −10 | 230.5 | Mavericks 74% | Mavericks 75% | – | Kings 115, Mavericks 100 model's favorite lost | |
| Pelicans at Grizzlies | Grizzlies 60% | Grizzlies −4.5 | 230.5 | Grizzlies 65% | Grizzlies 66% | – | Pelicans 135, Grizzlies 134 model's favorite lost | |
| Celtics at Rockets | Rockets 63% | Rockets −5 | 228.5 | Rockets 63% | Rockets 63% | – | Celtics 93, Rockets 109 model's favorite won | |
| Jazz at Spurs | Spurs 92% | Spurs −18.5 | 228 | Spurs 90% | Spurs 90% | – | Jazz 97, Spurs 119 model's favorite won | |
| Trail Blazers at Nuggets | Nuggets 58% | Nuggets −4 | 229 | Nuggets 61% | Nuggets 61% | – | Trail Blazers 118, Nuggets 110 model's favorite lost | |
| Heat at Lakers | Lakers 60% | Lakers −4.5 | 233.5 | Lakers 56% | Lakers 56% | – | Heat 117, Lakers 138 model's favorite won | |
| Raptors at Clippers | Raptors 56% | even | 226 | Raptors 66% | Raptors 68% | – | Raptors 125, Clippers 118 model's favorite won | |
| Suns at Warriors | Warriors 53% | Warriors −2.5 | 231 | Warriors 56% | Warriors 56% | – | Suns 113, Warriors 116 model's favorite won | |
| 76ers at Pistons | Pistons 69% | Pistons −7 | 220 | Pistons 56% | Pistons 56% | – | 76ers 112, Pistons 106 model's favorite lost | |
| Hawks at Wizards | Hawks 65% | Hawks −3 | 225 | Hawks 56% | Hawks 55% | – | Hawks 120, Wizards 105 model's favorite won | |
| Bucks at Celtics | Celtics 86% | Celtics −14 | 229 | Celtics 85% | Celtics 85% | – | Bucks 102, Celtics 109 model's favorite won | |
| Bulls at Knicks | Knicks 88% | Knicks −16 | 227 | Knicks 83% | Knicks 83% | – | Bulls 105, Knicks 135 model's favorite won | |
| Hornets at Nets | Hornets 68% | Hornets −3.5 | 219.5 | Hornets 61% | Hornets 61% | – | Hornets 104, Nets 114 model's favorite lost | |
| Cavaliers at Thunder | Thunder 68% | Thunder −6.5 | 227 | Thunder 60% | Thunder 60% | – | Cavaliers 116, Thunder 124 model's favorite won | |
| Jazz at Pelicans | Pelicans 75% | Pelicans −9.5 | 231.5 | Pelicans 65% | Pelicans 64% | – | Jazz 113, Pelicans 120 model's favorite won | |
| Pacers at Grizzlies | Grizzlies 72% | Grizzlies −8 | 229.5 | Grizzlies 68% | Grizzlies 68% | – | Pacers 107, Grizzlies 103 model's favorite lost | |
| Timberwolves at Rockets | Rockets 61% | Rockets −4.5 | 227 | Rockets 72% | Rockets 71% | – | Timberwolves 117, Rockets 107 model's favorite lost | |
| Raptors at Nuggets | Nuggets 56% | Nuggets −3.5 | 229 | Nuggets 64% | Nuggets 65% | – | Raptors 109, Nuggets 128 model's favorite won | |
| Trail Blazers at Suns | Trail Blazers 59% | Trail Blazers −1 | 230 | Trail Blazers 57% | Trail Blazers 59% | – | Trail Blazers 132, Suns 119 model's favorite won | |
| Mavericks at Spurs | Spurs 84% | Spurs −13 | 226.5 | Spurs 83% | Spurs 84% | – | Mavericks 111, Spurs 112 model's favorite won | |
| Lakers at Kings | Lakers 76% | Lakers −6.5 | 233 | Lakers 84% | Lakers 84% | – | Lakers 116, Kings 103 model's favorite won | |
| Heat at Clippers | Clippers 52% | Clippers −2 | 231 | Clippers 34% | Clippers 33% | – | Heat 117, Clippers 116 model's favorite lost | |
| Magic at Suns | Magic 57% | Magic −0.5 | 228.5 | Magic 48% | Magic 48% | – | Magic 104, Suns 117 model's favorite lost | |
| Heat at Warriors | Warriors 68% | Warriors −7 | 233.5 | Warriors 61% | Warriors 62% | – | Heat 100, Warriors 120 model's favorite won | |
| Celtics at Hornets | Celtics 65% | Celtics −3 | 220 | Celtics 79% | Celtics 80% | – | Celtics 119, Hornets 80 model's favorite won | |
| Wizards at Hawks | Hawks 78% | Hawks −10.5 | 225 | Hawks 74% | Hawks 73% | – | Wizards 132, Hawks 139 model's favorite won | |
| 76ers at Cavaliers | Cavaliers 52% | Cavaliers −2 | 227 | Cavaliers 42% | Cavaliers 42% | – | 76ers 95, Cavaliers 119 model's favorite won | |
| Jazz at Mavericks | Mavericks 74% | Mavericks −9 | 226.5 | Mavericks 71% | Mavericks 70% | – | Jazz 100, Mavericks 112 model's favorite won | |
| Raptors at Bucks | Raptors 72% | Raptors −5 | 230.5 | Raptors 59% | Raptors 60% | – | Raptors 121, Bucks 107 model's favorite won | |
| Thunder at Grizzlies | Thunder 72% | Thunder −5 | 226 | Thunder 61% | Thunder 60% | – | Thunder 128, Grizzlies 97 model's favorite won | |
| Timberwolves at Pelicans | Timberwolves 68% | Timberwolves −3.5 | 231.5 | Timberwolves 61% | Timberwolves 61% | – | Timberwolves 115, Pelicans 109 model's favorite won | |
| Spurs at Kings | Spurs 85% | Spurs −11 | 228.5 | Spurs 90% | Spurs 91% | – | Spurs 124, Kings 109 model's favorite won | |
| Trail Blazers at Lakers | Lakers 58% | Lakers −3.5 | 231.5 | Lakers 59% | Lakers 59% | – | Trail Blazers 118, Lakers 124 model's favorite won | |
| Nuggets vs Pacers | Nuggets 80% | Nuggets −8 | 228 | Nuggets 74% | Nuggets 73% | – | Nuggets 114, Pacers 102 model's favorite won | |
| Nets at Hawks | Hawks 74% | Hawks −9 | 227 | Hawks 71% | Hawks 70% | – | Nets 121, Hawks 124 model's favorite won | |
| Knicks at Cavaliers | Knicks 65% | Knicks −2.5 | 226 | Knicks 64% | Knicks 64% | – | Knicks 109, Cavaliers 97 model's favorite won | |
| Wizards at Thunder | Thunder 89% | Thunder −16 | 224 | Thunder 84% | Thunder 84% | – | Wizards 75, Thunder 114 model's favorite won | |
| Magic at Warriors | Warriors 63% | Warriors −5.5 | 226.5 | Warriors 73% | Warriors 74% | – | Magic 119, Warriors 126 model's favorite won | |
| Rockets at Suns | Rockets 68% | Rockets −3.5 | 229.5 | Rockets 71% | Rockets 72% | – | Rockets 99, Suns 102 model's favorite lost | |
| Spurs at Trail Blazers | Spurs 60% | Spurs −1 | 229.5 | Spurs 67% | Spurs 68% | – | Spurs 125, Trail Blazers 103 model's favorite won | |
| 76ers at Bulls | 76ers 74% | 76ers −5.5 | 228.5 | 76ers 79% | 76ers 79% | – | 76ers 127, Bulls 121 model's favorite won | |
| Lakers at Pistons | Pistons 65% | Pistons −6 | 226 | Pistons 71% | Pistons 70% | – | Lakers 121, Pistons 116 model's favorite lost | |
| Jazz at Timberwolves | Timberwolves 90% | Timberwolves −17 | 226.5 | Timberwolves 86% | Timberwolves 86% | – | Jazz 100, Timberwolves 115 model's favorite won | |
| Nets at Mavericks | Mavericks 76% | Mavericks −9.5 | 224.5 | Mavericks 73% | Mavericks 72% | – | Nets 93, Mavericks 130 model's favorite won | |
| Celtics at Bucks | Celtics 83% | Celtics −9.5 | 226.5 | Celtics 87% | Celtics 86% | – | Celtics 117, Bucks 97 model's favorite won | |
| Heat at Kings | Heat 64% | Heat −2.5 | 233 | Heat 84% | Heat 84% | – | Heat 114, Kings 108 model's favorite won | |
| Pelicans at Clippers | Clippers 60% | Clippers −4.5 | 230.5 | Clippers 48% | Clippers 48% | – | Pelicans 123, Clippers 139 model's favorite won |
Kalshi and Polymarket show their implied chance for the side the model favors (the home side where the model has no favorite), from the newest price in the last day; for a game already played, the last price before kickoff. The crowd column is Bandwagon members' picks.
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
The model's record this week
The model's favorite won 42 of 54 finished NBA games that had a favorite (78%). Each line is the one stored before kickoff. The model's record