New Orleans Pelicans vs LA Clippers prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
- Projected winnerClippers 59%
- Projected scoreClippers 117, Pelicans 114
- Model spreadClippers −4 total 231
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
New Orleans Pelicans or LA Clippers: the bandwagon
Axle 41–59Market 49–51
New Orleans Pelicans at LA Clippers win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
New Orleans Pelicans vs LA Clippers live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
New Orleans Pelicans vs LA Clippers team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | NO | LAC |
|---|---|---|
| Score | NO– | LAC– |
| Average win probability | NO– | LAC– |
| Longest scoring run | NO– | LAC– |
| Time leading | NO– | LAC– |
New Orleans Pelicans vs LA Clippers model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | LAC win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 1:27 AM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 1:27 AM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 12:42 AM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 12:30 AM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 11:46 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 11:36 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 11:11 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 11:06 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 10:36 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 10:26 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 10:21 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 9:30 PM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET | 59% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:59 AM ET | 59% | −2 |
| Nov 3, 12:54 AM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:39 AM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:41 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:02 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 11:40 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 11:00 PM ET | 61% | −2 |
| Nov 1, 6:07 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 63% | −1 |
| Oct 31, 9:36 PM ET | 64% | −3 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 10:26 PM ET | 67% | −1 |
| Oct 30, 9:36 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 68% | −2 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 2:00 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 1:06 AM ET | 70% | −2 |
| Oct 29, 12:41 AM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:09 AM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:54 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 72% | — |
- Ratings
- LAC 1459 · NO 1426
- Home spread
- −4
- Stored
- Nov 5, 1:27 AM ET · 2026-11-05 06:27 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
- Last move
- total 230.5 → 231
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In National Basketball Association a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past National Basketball Association seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:32 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Pelicans vs Clippers odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every NBA marketKalshi prices the Clippers at 49%, Polymarket at 54% (5 points apart), and Axle 2.0 gives them 59%.
Prices read: Kalshi ; Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | NO | LAC | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 51% | 49% | ||
| Polymarket | 46% | 54% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 41% | 59% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
New Orleans Pelicans vs LA Clippers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Clippers a 4-point favorite at home, with a 59% chance to win. The model total is 231. Ratings: Clippers 1462 (20th of 30), Pelicans 1422 (21st). The Clippers are 1-6 in the Pacific; the Pelicans are 3-4 in the Southwest. The Clippers have won 0 of their last 5; the Pelicans 4 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Clippers won 3, the Pelicans 3.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
New Orleans Pelicans
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Utah Jazz | W 120–113 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Memphis Grizzlies | W 135–134 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Atlanta Hawks | W 121–99 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Sacramento Kings | W 132–120 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Denver Nuggets | L 91–104 | – | – | matchup |
LA Clippers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Miami Heat | L 116–117 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Toronto Raptors | L 118–125 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Golden State Warriors | L 112–124 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Minnesota Timberwolves | L 101–127 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Los Angeles Lakers | L 87–103 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LA Clippers at New Orleans Pelicans | 99–105 | – | – | matchup | |
| LA Clippers at New Orleans Pelicans | 109–124 | – | – | matchup | |
| New Orleans Pelicans at LA Clippers | 117–137 | – | – | matchup | |
| New Orleans Pelicans at LA Clippers | 124–126 | – | – | matchup | |
| New Orleans Pelicans at LA Clippers | 98–114 | – | – | matchup | |
| LA Clippers at New Orleans Pelicans | 120–127 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
New Orleans Pelicans: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
LA Clippers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Pelicans3-4 Southwest, 1st · W3
- Pelicans rating1422 21st of 30, 7 games
- Clippers1-6 Pacific, 1st · L6
- Clippers rating1462 20th of 30, 7 games
National Basketball Association · Southwest · 1st · streak W3
No stances yet today on $PELICANS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the New Orleans Pelicans bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
LA Clippers 1-6
National Basketball Association · Pacific · 1st · streak L6
No stances yet today on $CLIPPERS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the LA Clippers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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Model: Clippers 59% to win. Projected score Clippers 117, Pelicans 114; spread Clippers −4, total 231. Kalshi 49%, Polymarket 54% for the Clippers. New Orleans Pelicans at LA Clippers, Sun, Nov 8, 9:00 PM ET.