NBAPOR 114 PHX 97· 8:14 - 4thNBATOR 107 DEN 126· 44.0 - 4thNBADAL 51 SA 68· 11:06 - 3rdNHLCGY 1 SEA 0· 10:32 - 2ndNBALAL 61 SAC 54· HalftimeCBBMILW 38 SCU 62· 14:24 - 2ndCBBNDSU 38 SMC 69· 11:59 - 2ndWCBBSMC 40 STAN 61· 1:23 - 3rdNHLSJ 0 LA 3· 16:14 - 2ndNBAMIA 35 LAC 45· 7:17 - 2ndWCBBUNF–FSU11:00 AMWCBBHAMP–SMU12:00 PMWCBBM-OH–SEMO12:00 PMWCBBSTBK–IONA1:00 PMWCBBUNT–SDSU2:00 PMWCBBHAW–SF3:00 PMWCBBUIC–RMU4:00 PMWCBBUCF–FLA4:30 PMCBBMCN–UNT5:00 PMCBBWAKE–VAN6:00 PMWCBBCLT–TTU6:00 PMWCBBDART–HC6:00 PMWCBBMSM–UMBC6:00 PMCBBCHST–UIW6:00 PMCBBBELL–IU6:00 PMCBBUTC–PSU6:00 PMWCBBMRST–BRY6:00 PMWCBBCAN–UNH6:00 PMWCBBMRMK–NJIT6:00 PMWCBBUWF–WCU6:00 PMWCBBPRES–WAKE6:00 PMWCBBSIE–ME6:00 PMWCBBCCSU–JMU6:00 PMWCBBSIUE–IUIN6:30 PMWCBBCONN–MICH6:30 PMWCBBNKU–UK6:30 PMWCBBCMU–OSU6:30 PMWCBBLIP–BTLR6:30 PMCBBLIU–HALL6:30 PMWCBBMAN–UALB6:30 PMAll scores
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Orlando Magic vs Phoenix Suns prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Orlando Magic or Phoenix Suns: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Magic▲ Hop on▼ Jump off
Suns▲ Hop on▼ Jump off

Axle 55–45Market 47–53

Scheduled · Pregame: PHX 45%
Orlando Magic
Record 2-5
––
Phoenix Suns
Record 1-4
Game clock
KickoffThursday, November 5 at 9:00 PM ET
Situation
–
Possession
–

Orlando Magic at Phoenix Suns win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0012:0024:0036:0048:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0024:0048:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Orlando Magic vs Phoenix Suns live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Orlando Magic vs Phoenix Suns team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatORLPHX
ScoreORL–PHX–
Average win probabilityORL–PHX–
Longest scoring runORL–PHX–
Time leadingORL–PHX–

Orlando Magic vs Phoenix Suns model odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 11:11 PM ET
Magic55%
Win chance
Suns45%
SpreadPK
Total228
Moneyline−122away / +122homeaway / home
Line movementPHX win chance, 44 stored lines
−7 pts for PHX since Oct 28
60%35%
Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET: PHX 52%Oct 28, 11:54 PM ET: PHX 52%Oct 29, 12:09 AM ET: PHX 52%Oct 29, 12:41 AM ET: PHX 52%Oct 29, 1:06 AM ET: PHX 52%Oct 29, 2:00 AM ET: PHX 52%Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: PHX 52%Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET: PHX 52%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: PHX 54%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: PHX 54%Oct 30, 10:11 PM ET: PHX 52%Oct 30, 10:26 PM ET: PHX 52%Oct 31, 12:36 AM ET: PHX 51%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: PHX 51%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: PHX 41%Nov 1, 6:07 PM ET: PHX 43%Nov 1, 7:51 PM ET: PHX 43%Nov 1, 11:00 PM ET: PHX 43%Nov 1, 11:40 PM ET: PHX 43%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: PHX 43%Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET: PHX 43%Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET: PHX 43%Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET: PHX 45%Nov 2, 10:02 PM ET: PHX 45%Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET: PHX 45%Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET: PHX 45%Nov 2, 10:32 PM ET: PHX 45%Nov 2, 10:41 PM ET: PHX 45%Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET: PHX 45%Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET: PHX 45%Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET: PHX 45%Nov 3, 12:39 AM ET: PHX 45%Nov 3, 12:54 AM ET: PHX 45%Nov 3, 12:59 AM ET: PHX 45%Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET: PHX 45%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: PHX 45%Nov 4, 9:30 PM ET: PHX 45%Nov 4, 10:00 PM ET: PHX 45%Nov 4, 10:21 PM ET: PHX 45%Nov 4, 10:26 PM ET: PHX 45%Nov 4, 10:36 PM ET: PHX 45%Nov 4, 11:06 PM ET: PHX 45%Nov 4, 11:11 PM ET: PHX 45%Nov 4, 11:11 PM ET: PHX 45%
Oct 28Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredPHX winMove
Nov 4, 11:11 PM ET45%0
Nov 4, 11:11 PM ET45%0
Nov 4, 11:06 PM ET45%0
Nov 4, 10:36 PM ET45%0
Nov 4, 10:26 PM ET45%0
Nov 4, 10:21 PM ET45%0
Nov 4, 10:00 PM ET45%0
Nov 4, 9:30 PM ET45%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET45%0
Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET45%0
Nov 3, 12:59 AM ET45%0
Nov 3, 12:54 AM ET45%0
Nov 3, 12:39 AM ET45%0
Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET45%0
Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET45%0
Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET45%0
Nov 2, 10:41 PM ET45%0
Nov 2, 10:32 PM ET45%0
Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET45%0
Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET45%0
Nov 2, 10:02 PM ET45%0
Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET45%+2
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET43%0
Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET43%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET43%0
Nov 1, 11:40 PM ET43%0
Nov 1, 11:00 PM ET43%0
Nov 1, 7:51 PM ET43%0
Nov 1, 6:07 PM ET43%+2
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET41%−10
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET51%0
Oct 31, 12:36 AM ET51%−1
Oct 30, 10:26 PM ET52%0
Oct 30, 10:11 PM ET52%−2
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET54%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET54%+2
Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET52%0
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET52%0
Oct 29, 2:00 AM ET52%0
Oct 29, 1:06 AM ET52%0
Oct 29, 12:41 AM ET52%0
Oct 29, 12:09 AM ET52%0
Oct 28, 11:54 PM ET52%0
Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET52%—
Ratings
PHX 1486 · ORL 1500
Home spread
PK
Stored
Nov 4, 11:11 PM ET · 2026-11-05 04:11 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In National Basketball Association a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past National Basketball Association seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries in the data, not usedplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores · read Nov 4, 8:34 PM UTC
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:32 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · 2 picks

Be the first on the bandwagon

MagicSuns
Neutrals only–
MagicSuns
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Suns–

2 picks so far; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Magic vs Suns odds on Kalshi and Polymarket

Every NBA market

Kalshi prices the Magic at 47%, Polymarket at 47%, and Axle 2.0 gives them 55%.

Prices read: Kalshi ; Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .

SourceORLPHXPrice read
Kalshi47%53%
Polymarket47%53%
Bandwagon model55%45% · model 2.0
Kalshi minus model, PHX: +8Polymarket minus model, PHX: +7

Ad · Bandwagon earns a commission: Trade on Kalshi (opens a new tab). 18+. Trading carries a risk of loss. Check your state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works

Orlando Magic vs Phoenix Suns prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Magic the favorite, with a 55% chance to win; its spread rounds to even. The model total is 228. Ratings: Suns 1486 (18th of 30), Magic 1500 (16th). The Suns are 1-4 in the Pacific; the Magic are 2-5 in the Southeast. The Suns have won 1 of their last 5; the Magic 2 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Suns won 2, the Magic 4.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Orlando Magic

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Washington WizardsL 94–103––matchup
vs Boston CelticsL 97–108––matchup
at Toronto RaptorsW 121–114––matchup
at Toronto RaptorsL 99–129––matchup
at New York KnicksW 111–102––matchup

Phoenix Suns

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Golden State WarriorsL 113–116––matchup
vs Denver NuggetsL 120–127––matchup
at Oklahoma City ThunderL 114–125––matchup
vs Golden State WarriorsW 131–122––matchup
at Portland Trail BlazersL 83–124––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Phoenix Suns at Orlando Magic111–115––matchup
Orlando Magic at Phoenix Suns110–113––matchup
Phoenix Suns at Orlando Magic110–115––matchup
Orlando Magic at Phoenix Suns109–99––matchup
Phoenix Suns at Orlando Magic98–113––matchup
Orlando Magic at Phoenix Suns107–112––matchup

Injuries

Orlando Magic: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Phoenix Suns: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Magic2-5 Southeast, 2nd · L2
  • Magic rating1500 16th of 30, 7 games
  • Suns1-4 Pacific, 3rd · L3
  • Suns rating1486 18th of 30, 5 games

Orlando Magic 2-5

National Basketball Association · Southeast · 2nd · streak L2

–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $MAGIC
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $MAGIC
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $MAGIC
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $MAGIC: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Orlando Magic bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

▲ Hop on▼ Jump off

Magic roster, schedule and more

Phoenix Suns 1-4

National Basketball Association · Pacific · 3rd · streak L3

–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $SUNS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $SUNS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $SUNS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $SUNS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Phoenix Suns bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

▲ Hop on▼ Jump off

Suns roster, schedule and more

Takes on Orlando Magic at Phoenix Suns

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