Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreBucks 100, Timberwolves 112 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerTimberwolves 85%
- Pregame Projected scoreTimberwolves 123, Bucks 109
- Model spreadTimberwolves −14 total 231.5
- Margin12 projected 13.8
- Total212 projected 231.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Milwaukee Bucks or Minnesota Timberwolves: the bandwagon
Axle 15–85Market 19–81
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | 18 | 29 | 29 | 24 | 100 |
| MIN | 29 | 19 | 32 | 32 | 112 |
Milwaukee Bucks at Minnesota Timberwolves win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | MIL | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | MIL38/99 | MIN41/96 |
| 3-pointers | MIL15/49 | MIN16/45 |
| Free throws | MIL9/12 | MIN14/26 |
| Rebounds | MIL53 | MIN59 |
| Assists | MIL23 | MIN23 |
| Turnovers | MIL17 | MIN11 |
| Steals | MIL5 | MIN7 |
| Blocks | MIL8 | MIN9 |
| Points in the paint | MIL42 | MIN42 |
| Fast-break points | MIL12 | MIN12 |
| Fouls | MIL21 | MIN15 |
| Largest lead | MIL3 | MIN15 |
Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | MIL | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Score | MIL100 | MIN112 |
| Average win probability | MIL15% | MIN85% |
| Longest scoring run | MIL+6 | MIN+7 |
| Time leading | MIL0:00 | MIN18:49 |
Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | MIN win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:02 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 11:00 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 7:51 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 6:07 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 85% | +1 |
| Oct 31, 10:31 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:21 PM ET | 84% | +1 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 10:26 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 9:36 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 83% | −4 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 2:00 AM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 1:06 AM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:41 AM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:09 AM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:54 PM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 87% | — |
- Ratings
- MIN 1611 · MIL 1317
- Home spread
- −14
- Stored
- Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET · 2026-11-03 03:12 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Milwaukee Bucks 100, Minnesota Timberwolves 112. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In National Basketball Association a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past National Basketball Association seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · The injury list is older than three daysplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:32 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Bucks vs Timberwolves odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every NBA marketKalshi had the Timberwolves at 81% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 81% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 85% when last read, .
| Source | MIL | MIN | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 19% | 81% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 19% | 81% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 15% | 85% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Timberwolves a 14-point favorite at home, with a 85% chance to win. The model total is 231.5. Ratings: Timberwolves 1614 (7th of 30), Bucks 1315 (26th). The Timberwolves are 5-3 in the Northwest; the Bucks are 1-6 in the Central. The Timberwolves have won 2 of their last 5; the Bucks 1 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Timberwolves won 3, the Bucks 3.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Milwaukee Bucks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Minnesota Timberwolves | L 100–112 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Cleveland Cavaliers | L 111–136 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Houston Rockets | L 100–132 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Indiana Pacers | W 110–102 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Philadelphia 76ers | L 116–127 | – | – | matchup |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Milwaukee Bucks | W 112–100 | – | – | matchup | |
| at San Antonio Spurs | L 111–121 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs LA Clippers | W 127–101 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Golden State Warriors | L 114–119 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Cleveland Cavaliers | L 125–127 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Timberwolves at Milwaukee Bucks | 116–97 | – | – | matchup | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves at Milwaukee Bucks | 139–106 | – | – | matchup | |
| Milwaukee Bucks at Minnesota Timberwolves | 100–103 | – | – | matchup | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves at Milwaukee Bucks | 103–110 | – | – | matchup | |
| Milwaukee Bucks at Minnesota Timberwolves | 103–101 | – | – | matchup | |
| Milwaukee Bucks at Minnesota Timberwolves | 112–107 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Milwaukee Bucks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Minnesota Timberwolves: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Bucks1-6 Central, 2nd · L3
- Bucks rating1315 26th of 30, 7 games
- Timberwolves5-3 Northwest, 3rd · W1
- Timberwolves rating1614 7th of 30, 8 games
Milwaukee Bucks 1-6
National Basketball Association · Central · 2nd · streak L3
No stances yet today on $BUCKS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Milwaukee Bucks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
National Basketball Association · Northwest · 3rd · streak W1
No stances yet today on $TIMBERWOLVES: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Minnesota Timberwolves bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Milwaukee Bucks at Minnesota Timberwolves
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Final: Bucks 100, Timberwolves 112. Bandwagon's model had the Timberwolves at 85% and projected Timberwolves 123, Bucks 109; spread Timberwolves −14, total 231.5. Last read: Kalshi 81%, Polymarket 81% for the Timberwolves.