NBA odds, Nov 16–22, 2026: Bandwagon's model vs Kalshi and Polymarket
Bandwagon's model has a line on 51 of 51 NBA games Nov 16–22, 2026. Its biggest favorite is Spurs at 91%, against Pelicans; its closest game is Rockets at Nuggets, 52%–48%. The largest gap with a market is 76ers at Magic: the model gives 76ers 54% and Polymarket 70% (16 points). Model as of Nov 11, 1:32 AM ET; prices as of Nov 11, 2:51 AM ET.
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers. How the model works · Axle 2.0 · Betting guide
NBA Nov 16–22, 2026 slate
51 games| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Model win chance | Model spread | Model total | Kalshi | Polymarket | Crowd | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulls at Cavaliers | Cavaliers 82% | Cavaliers −12 | 234 | – | Cavaliers 75% | – | – | |
| Grizzlies at Wizards | Grizzlies 66% | Grizzlies −3 | 225.5 | – | Grizzlies 61% | – | – | |
| Magic at Celtics | Celtics 75% | Celtics −9 | 222.5 | – | Celtics 75% | – | – | |
| 76ers at Nets | 76ers 70% | 76ers −4.5 | 223.5 | – | 76ers 70% | – | – | |
| Rockets at Heat | Rockets 56% | even | 228 | – | Rockets 55% | – | – | |
| Trail Blazers at Timberwolves | Timberwolves 62% | Timberwolves −5 | 228 | – | Timberwolves 56% | – | – | |
| Warriors at Pelicans | Warriors 66% | Warriors −3 | 233 | – | Warriors 62% | – | – | |
| Suns at Nuggets | Nuggets 73% | Nuggets −8.5 | 228.5 | – | Nuggets 73% | – | – | |
| Knicks at Raptors | Knicks 67% | Knicks −3 | 223.5 | – | Knicks 60% | – | – | |
| Pistons at Spurs | Spurs 66% | Spurs −6 | 224 | – | Spurs 70% | – | – | |
| Trail Blazers at Timberwolves | Timberwolves 62% | Timberwolves −5 | 228 | – | Timberwolves 55% | – | – | |
| Jazz at Clippers | Clippers 77% | Clippers −10 | 227.5 | – | Clippers 67% | – | – | |
| Hornets at Lakers | Lakers 77% | Lakers −10 | 224.5 | – | Lakers 77% | – | – | |
| 76ers at Magic | 76ers 54% | Magic −0.5 | 223.5 | – | 76ers 70% | – | – | |
| Bucks at Heat | Heat 77% | Heat −10 | 230 | – | Heat 77% | – | – | |
| Grizzlies at Cavaliers | Cavaliers 69% | Cavaliers −7 | 230 | – | Cavaliers 68% | – | – | |
| Rockets at Pacers | Rockets 76% | Rockets −6.5 | 224.5 | – | Rockets 72% | – | – | |
| Bulls at Nets | Nets 54% | Nets −2.5 | 231 | – | Nets 57% | – | – | |
| Wizards at Raptors | Raptors 75% | Raptors −9 | 226 | – | Raptors 66% | – | – | |
| Hawks at Thunder | Thunder 75% | Thunder −9 | 226.5 | – | Thunder 72% | – | – | |
| Pistons at Pelicans | Pistons 70% | Pistons −4 | 228.5 | – | Pistons 64% | – | – | |
| Celtics at Nuggets | Celtics 58% | Celtics −0.5 | 224.5 | – | Celtics 55% | – | – | |
| Warriors at Mavericks | Warriors 55% | even | 228 | – | Warriors 56% | – | – | |
| Jazz at Lakers | Lakers 90% | Lakers −16.5 | 229.5 | – | Lakers 79% | – | – | |
| Suns at Kings | Suns 64% | Suns −2.5 | 230 | – | Suns 70% | – | – | |
| Clippers at Spurs | Spurs 86% | Spurs −14 | 228.5 | – | Spurs 81% | – | – | |
| Knicks at Timberwolves | Knicks 53% | Timberwolves −0.5 | 221.5 | – | Knicks 51% | – | – | |
| Trail Blazers at Bucks | Trail Blazers 81% | Trail Blazers −8.5 | 229 | – | Trail Blazers 75% | – | – | |
| Warriors at Grizzlies | Warriors 58% | Warriors −0.5 | 229.5 | – | Warriors 50% | – | – | |
| Hornets at Hawks | Hawks 63% | Hawks −5.5 | 224 | – | Hawks 71% | – | – | |
| Magic at Nets | Magic 66% | Magic −3 | 224 | – | Magic 55% | – | – | |
| Pacers at Cavaliers | Cavaliers 80% | Cavaliers −11 | 228.5 | – | Cavaliers 73% | – | – | |
| Raptors at Pistons | Pistons 72% | Pistons −8 | 225 | – | Pistons 65% | – | – | |
| Pelicans at Thunder | Thunder 84% | Thunder −13 | 228 | – | Thunder 80% | – | – | |
| Wizards at Bulls | Bulls 56% | Bulls −3.5 | 230 | – | Bulls 47% | – | – | |
| Suns at Jazz | Suns 72% | Suns −5 | 227.5 | – | Suns 62% | – | – | |
| Kings at Lakers | Lakers 87% | Lakers −15 | 231.5 | – | Lakers 81% | – | – | |
| Rockets at Nuggets | Rockets 52% | Nuggets −1 | 225 | – | Rockets 45% | – | – | |
| Bucks at 76ers | 76ers 85% | 76ers −13.5 | 225 | – | 76ers 79% | – | – | |
| Trail Blazers at Knicks | Knicks 71% | Knicks −7.5 | 224.5 | – | Knicks 64% | – | – | |
| Clippers at Mavericks | Mavericks 59% | Mavericks −4 | 227.5 | – | Mavericks 63% | – | – | |
| Grizzlies at Timberwolves | Timberwolves 79% | Timberwolves −10.5 | 227 | – | Timberwolves 68% | – | – | |
| Pelicans at Spurs | Spurs 91% | Spurs −18 | 231.5 | – | Spurs 81% | – | – | |
| Celtics at Kings | Celtics 89% | Celtics −13.5 | 225.5 | – | Celtics 81% | – | – | |
| Pistons at Hawks | Pistons 62% | Pistons −2 | 226.5 | – | Pistons 55% | – | – | |
| Thunder at Heat | Thunder 66% | Thunder −3 | 227 | – | Thunder 52% | – | – | |
| Magic at Wizards | Magic 63% | Magic −2.5 | 223 | – | Magic 48% | – | – | |
| Mavericks at Jazz | Mavericks 63% | Mavericks −2 | 225.5 | – | Mavericks 53% | – | – | |
| Nuggets at Bulls | Nuggets 75% | Nuggets −6 | 232 | – | Nuggets 75% | – | – | |
| Pacers at Knicks | Knicks 86% | Knicks −14.5 | 222 | – | Knicks 76% | – | – | |
| Celtics at Warriors | Celtics 53% | Warriors −0.5 | 226 | – | Celtics 54% | – | – |
Kalshi and Polymarket show their implied chance for the side the model favors (the home side where the model has no favorite), from the newest price in the last day; for a game already played, the last price before kickoff. The crowd column is Bandwagon members' picks.
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.