Philadelphia 76ers vs Orlando Magic prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
76ers at Magic: Bandwagon's model makes the 76ers a 54% favorite (Magic −0.5).
Philadelphia 76ers vs Orlando Magic model odds and win probability
Axle gives the 76ers a 54% chance to win.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Axle versus the markets and the crowd
Every NBA marketEach bar is the chance that the 76ers win. The thin blue mark is Axle's 54%.
The largest gap is 16 points: Polymarket has the 76ers at 70%, Axle at 54%.
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Hop on a side before tip-off
Pick a side, then say why in a take. Change it any time before tip-off. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Why Axle has the 76ers
All NBA ratings| PHI | ORL | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1594 9th of 30 | 1479 17th of 30 |
| Record | 9-3 | 3-7 |
| Last 5 games | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 3 | 3 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage, schedule and recent form; record, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | ORL win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 1:32 AM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 1:32 AM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:32 AM ET | 46% | +1 |
| Nov 10, 11:47 PM ET | 45% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:28 PM ET | 45% | +4 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:27 AM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:23 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:53 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:43 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:58 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:48 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:23 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 11:37 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 11:32 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 10:17 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 10:13 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 9:38 PM ET | 41% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:53 PM ET | 41% | −1 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:31 PM ET | 42% | −1 |
| Nov 7, 10:27 PM ET | 43% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:20 PM ET | 43% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 43% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 1:09 AM ET | 43% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 12:49 AM ET | 43% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 10:49 PM ET | 43% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 10:40 PM ET | 43% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 10:30 PM ET | 43% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 10:20 PM ET | 43% | +3 |
| Nov 6, 9:26 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 9:22 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 5:03 AM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 11:31 PM ET | 40% | −1 |
| Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET | 41% | — |
76ers vs Magic odds on Polymarket
Every NBA marketPolymarket prices the 76ers at 70%, and Axle 2.0 gives them 54%.
Prices read: Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | PHI | ORL | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 70% | 30% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 54% | 46% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Philadelphia 76ers vs Orlando Magic prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the 76ers the favorite, with a 54% chance to win; its spread is Magic −0.5. The model total is 223.5. Ratings: Magic 1479 (17th of 30), 76ers 1594 (9th). The Magic are 3-7 in the Southeast; the 76ers are 9-3 in the Atlantic. The Magic have won 1 of their last 5; the 76ers 3 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Magic won 3, the 76ers 3.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Philadelphia 76ers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Boston Celtics | L 101–123 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Chicago Bulls | W 127–121 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Cleveland Cavaliers | L 95–119 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Detroit Pistons | W 112–106 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Chicago Bulls | W 126–107 | – | – | matchup |
Orlando Magic
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Sacramento Kings | W 107–100 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Golden State Warriors | L 119–126 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Phoenix Suns | L 104–117 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Washington Wizards | L 94–103 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Boston Celtics | L 97–108 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Magic at Philadelphia 76ers | 97–109 | – | – | matchup | |
| Philadelphia 76ers at Orlando Magic | 103–91 | – | – | matchup | |
| Orlando Magic at Philadelphia 76ers | 144–103 | – | – | matchup | |
| Orlando Magic at Philadelphia 76ers | 124–136 | – | – | matchup | |
| Orlando Magic at Philadelphia 76ers | 128–98 | – | – | matchup | |
| Philadelphia 76ers at Orlando Magic | 99–104 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Philadelphia 76ers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Orlando Magic: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- 76ers9-3 Atlantic, 4th · L1
- 76ers rating1594 9th of 30, 11 games
- Magic3-7 Southeast, 1st · W1
- Magic rating1479 17th of 30, 9 games
More NBA games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
National Basketball Association · Atlantic · 4th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $76ERS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Philadelphia 76ers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Orlando Magic 3-7
National Basketball Association · Southeast · 1st · streak W1
No stances yet today on $MAGIC: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Orlando Magic bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Philadelphia 76ers at Orlando Magic
Sign in to post a take on $76ERSMAGIC261119: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In National Basketball Association a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past National Basketball Association seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:32 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.