Chicago Bulls vs Brooklyn Nets prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
Bulls at Nets: Bandwagon's model makes the Nets a 54% favorite (Nets −2.5).
Chicago Bulls vs Brooklyn Nets model odds and win probability
Axle gives the Nets a 54% chance to win, by about 3 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Axle versus the markets and the crowd
Every NBA marketEach bar is the chance that the Nets win. The thin blue mark is Axle's 54%.
The largest gap is 3 points: Polymarket has the Nets at 57%, Axle at 54%.
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Hop on a side before tip-off
Pick a side, then say why in a take. Change it any time before tip-off. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Why Axle has the Nets
All NBA ratings| CHI | BKN | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1328 24th of 30 | 1279 29th of 30 |
| Record | 1-8 | 2-8 |
| Last 5 games | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L7 | L2 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 3 | 3 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage, schedule and recent form; record, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | BKN win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 1:32 AM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 1:32 AM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:32 AM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:47 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:27 AM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:53 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:43 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:58 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:23 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 11:37 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 11:32 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 10:13 PM ET | 54% | −2 |
| Nov 8, 5:53 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 12:37 AM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:31 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:25 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:27 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:20 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:39 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 10:49 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 10:30 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 10:25 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 9:26 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 9:22 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 5:03 AM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 12:42 AM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 11:31 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET | 56% | — |
Bulls vs Nets odds on Polymarket
Every NBA marketPolymarket prices the Nets at 57%, and Axle 2.0 gives them 54%.
Prices read: Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | CHI | BKN | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 43% | 57% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 46% | 54% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Chicago Bulls vs Brooklyn Nets prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Nets a 2.5-point favorite at home, with a 54% chance to win. The model total is 231. Ratings: Nets 1279 (29th of 30), Bulls 1328 (24th). The Nets are 2-8 in the Atlantic; the Bulls are 1-8 in the Central. The Nets have won 2 of their last 5; the Bulls 0 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Nets won 3, the Bulls 3.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Chicago Bulls
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Philadelphia 76ers | L 121–127 | – | – | matchup | |
| at New York Knicks | L 105–135 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Philadelphia 76ers | L 107–126 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Boston Celtics | L 111–125 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs New York Knicks | L 127–133 | – | – | matchup |
Brooklyn Nets
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Dallas Mavericks | L 93–130 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Atlanta Hawks | L 121–124 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Charlotte Hornets | W 114–104 | – | – | matchup | |
| at New York Knicks | L 90–103 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Indiana Pacers | W 98–90 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Bulls at Brooklyn Nets | 115–123 | – | – | matchup | |
| Brooklyn Nets at Chicago Bulls | 102–124 | – | – | matchup | |
| Chicago Bulls at Brooklyn Nets | 109–112 | – | – | matchup | |
| Brooklyn Nets at Chicago Bulls | 113–103 | – | – | matchup | |
| Brooklyn Nets at Chicago Bulls | 110–116 | – | – | matchup | |
| Brooklyn Nets at Chicago Bulls | 102–128 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Chicago Bulls: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Brooklyn Nets: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Bulls1-8 Central, 2nd · L7
- Bulls rating1328 24th of 30, 9 games
- Nets2-8 Atlantic, 1st · L2
- Nets rating1279 29th of 30, 10 games
More NBA games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
Chicago Bulls 1-8
National Basketball Association · Central · 2nd · streak L7
No stances yet today on $BULLS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Chicago Bulls bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Brooklyn Nets 2-8
National Basketball Association · Atlantic · 1st · streak L2
No stances yet today on $NETS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Brooklyn Nets bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Chicago Bulls at Brooklyn Nets
Sign in to post a take on $BULLSNETS261119: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In National Basketball Association a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past National Basketball Association seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:32 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Nets 54% to win. Projected score Nets 117, Bulls 114; spread Nets −2.5, total 231. Polymarket 57% for the Nets. Chicago Bulls at Brooklyn Nets, Wed, Nov 18, 7:30 PM ET.