NFL Week 8 odds: Bandwagon's model vs Kalshi and Polymarket (Oct 29–Nov 2, 2026)
Bandwagon's model has a line on 14 of 14 NFL Week 8 games. Its biggest favorite is Bengals at 83%, against Titans; its closest game is Raiders at Jets, 50%–50%. The largest gap with a market is Eagles at Commanders: the model gives Eagles 51% and Kalshi 31% (20 points). Model as of Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET; prices as of Nov 2, 7:45 PM ET.
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers. How the model works · Axle 2.0 · Betting guide
NFL Week 8 slate
14 games| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Model win chance | Model spread | Model total | Kalshi | Polymarket | Crowd | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panthers at Packers | Packers 66% | Packers −5 | 46.5 | Packers 64% | Packers 64% | – | Panthers 19, Packers 27 model's favorite won | |
| Browns at Steelers | Steelers 67% | Steelers −5.5 | 42.5 | Steelers 65% | Steelers 66% | – | Browns 6, Steelers 27 model's favorite won | |
| Cardinals at Cowboys | Cowboys 68% | Cowboys −6 | 48.5 | Cowboys 76% | Cowboys 76% | – | Cardinals 33, Cowboys 30 model's favorite lost | |
| Colts at Jaguars | Jaguars 77% | Jaguars −9.5 | 45 | Jaguars 82% | Jaguars 82% | – | Colts 7, Jaguars 42 model's favorite won | |
| Falcons at Buccaneers | Buccaneers 54% | Buccaneers −1.5 | 46 | Buccaneers 55% | Buccaneers 55% | – | Falcons 0, Buccaneers 16 model's favorite won | |
| Raiders at Jets | Jets 50% | Jets −0.5 | 46.5 | Jets 55% | Jets 54% | – | Raiders 38, Jets 33 no favorite | |
| Ravens at Bills | Bills 72% | Bills −7.5 | 50.5 | Bills 62% | Bills 63% | – | Ravens 10, Bills 36 model's favorite won | |
| Titans at Bengals | Bengals 83% | Bengals −12 | 43.5 | Bengals 89% | Bengals 89% | – | Titans 36, Bengals 43 model's favorite won | |
| Vikings at Lions | Vikings 55% | Vikings −1 | 45.5 | Vikings 38% | Vikings 38% | – | Vikings 15, Lions 19 model's favorite lost | |
| Chargers at Rams | Rams 76% | Rams −8.5 | 44 | Rams 74% | Rams 74% | – | Chargers 9, Rams 24 model's favorite won | |
| Chiefs at Broncos | Broncos 63% | Broncos −4.5 | 43 | Broncos 51% | Broncos 50% | – | Chiefs 24, Broncos 28 model's favorite won | |
| Patriots at Dolphins | Patriots 72% | Patriots −6.5 | 44 | Patriots 76% | Patriots 76% | – | Patriots 24, Dolphins 19 model's favorite won | |
| Eagles at Commanders | Eagles 51% | even | 46 | Eagles 31% | Eagles 31% | – | Eagles 10, Commanders 27 model's favorite lost | |
| Bears at Seahawks | Seahawks 68% | Seahawks −5.5 | 44.5 | Seahawks 62% | Seahawks 62% | – | Bears 34, Seahawks 17 model's favorite lost |
Kalshi and Polymarket show their implied chance for the side the model favors (the home side where the model has no favorite), from the newest price in the last day; for a game already played, the last price before kickoff. The crowd column is Bandwagon members' picks.
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
The model's record this week
The model's favorite won 9 of 13 finished NFL games that had a favorite (69%). Each line is the one stored before kickoff. Not counted: 1 finished game with no favorite. The model's record