The game is over and the Rams won 24-9. Our model had them at 76 percent before kickoff, and nobody in the thread picked a side, so the bandwagon is empty.
NFL · · SoFi Stadium · every National Football League line
Los Angeles Chargers vs Los Angeles Rams: final score and how the prediction did, November 1, 2026
- Final scoreChargers 9, Rams 24 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerRams 76%
- Pregame Projected scoreRams 27, Chargers 18
- Model spreadRams −8.5 total 44.5
- Margin15 projected 8.5
- Total33 projected 44.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Los Angeles Chargers or Los Angeles Rams: the bandwagon
Axle 24–76Market 26–74
FinalPregame: LAR 76%Baseline: LAR 80.4% (+4.8)Big swing: 26.5 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAC | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| LAR | 3 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 24 |
Game clock
Final
Down & distance
Final
Possession
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Los Angeles Chargers at Los Angeles Rams win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.1 points for LAR over the last 5:00
Big swing26.5 ptstoward LAR at 29:41 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 8 points in the final quarter
BaselineLAR 80.4%game average, +4.8 points from the pregame 75.6%
Los Angeles Chargers vs Los Angeles Rams live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | LAC | LAR |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | LAC295 | LAR281 |
| First downs | LAC14 | LAR16 |
| 3rd down | LAC6/15 | LAR3/11 |
| 4th down | LAC0/1 | LAR1/1 |
| Turnovers | LAC2 | LAR1 |
| Penalties-yards | LAC3-20 | LAR8-40 |
| Yards per play | LAC5.0 | LAR5.3 |
| Time of possession | LAC32:24 | LAR27:36 |
| Red zone | LAC0/1 | LAR2/3 |
Los Angeles Chargers vs Los Angeles Rams team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | LAC | LAR |
|---|---|---|
| Score | LAC9 | LAR24 |
| Average win probability | LAC20% | LAR80% |
| Longest scoring run | LAC+9 | LAR+21 |
| Time leading | LAC9:47 | LAR34:48 |
Los Angeles Chargers vs Los Angeles Rams model odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 1, 4:44 PM ET
Chargers24%
Win chanceRams76%
SpreadLAR −8.5closing model spread
Total44.5
Moneyline+312away / −312homeaway / home
Line movementLAR win chance, 17 stored lines
−2 pts for LAR between Oct 28 and Nov 1
83%70%
Oct 28Oct 30Nov 1
Every stored line
| Stored | LAR win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 4:44 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 4:44 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 4:29 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 4:13 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 4:08 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 3:53 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 9:54 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 8:05 PM ET | 76% | −2 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:40 AM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 78% | — |
- Ratings
- LAR 1577 · LAC 1410
- Home spread
- −8.5
- Stored
- Nov 1, 4:44 PM ET · 2026-11-01 21:44 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
- Last move
- total 44 → 44.5
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Los Angeles Chargers 9, Los Angeles Rams 24. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In National Football League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries in the data, not usedplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores · read Oct 31, 11:30 PM UTC
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:32 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Nov 1, 2:58 PM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · 1 pick
Be the first on the bandwagon
ChargersRams
Neutrals only–
ChargersRams
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Rams–
1 pick so far; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Chargers vs Rams odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every NFL marketKalshi had the Rams at 74% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 74% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 76% when last read, .
| Source | LAC | LAR | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 26% | 74% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 26% | 74% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 24% | 76% | · model 2.0 |
Kalshi minus model, LAR: −2Polymarket minus model, LAR: −2
Ad · Bandwagon earns a commission: Trade on Kalshi (opens a new tab). 18+. Trading carries a risk of loss. Check your state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Los Angeles Chargers vs Los Angeles Rams prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Rams a 8.5-point favorite at home, with a 76% chance to win. The model total is 44.5. Ratings: Rams 1589 (9th of 32), Chargers 1399 (28th). The Rams are 4-4 in the NFC West; the Chargers are 0-7 in the AFC West. The Rams have won 3 of their last 5; the Chargers 0 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Rams won 0, the Chargers 1. The roster source lists 14 Rams and 9 Chargers players as injured.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Los Angeles Chargers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Los Angeles Rams | L 9–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Kansas City Chiefs | L 6–22 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Denver Broncos | L 17–23 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Seattle Seahawks | L 23–30 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Buffalo Bills | L 16–24 | – | – | matchup |
Los Angeles Rams
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Los Angeles Chargers | W 24–9 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Las Vegas Raiders | W 35–21 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Arizona Cardinals | L 16–18 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Buffalo Bills | L 34–37 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Philadelphia Eagles | W 24–20 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Rams at Los Angeles Chargers | 10–31 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Los Angeles Chargers: Trey Lance QB, Derwin James Jr. S, David Njoku TE, Alec Ingold FB, Denzel Perryman LB, Trevor Penning G, Trey Pipkins III OT, Rashawn Slater OT, Isaiah World OT
Los Angeles Rams: Blake Grupe PK, Davante Adams WR, Myles Garrett DE, Terrance Ferguson TE, Poona Ford DT, Kobie Turner DE, Ronnie Rivers RB, Matthew Caldwell QB, Dean Connors RB, Justin Dedich G, Zech McPhearson CB, Daniel Rickert DE, Keir Thomas II LB, Eddie Walls III LB
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Chargers0-7 AFC West, 4th · L7
- Chargers rating1399 28th of 32, 7 games
- Rams4-4 NFC West, 3rd · W2
- Rams rating1589 9th of 32, 8 games
National Football League · AFC West · 4th · streak L7
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $CHARGERS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $CHARGERS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $CHARGERS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $CHARGERS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Los Angeles Chargers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Los Angeles Rams 4-4
National Football League · NFC West · 3rd · streak W2
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $RAMS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $RAMS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $RAMS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $RAMS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Los Angeles Rams bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Los Angeles Chargers at Los Angeles Rams
Sign in to post a take on $CHARGERSRAMS261101: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: Chargers 9, Rams 24. Bandwagon's model had the Rams at 76% and projected Rams 27, Chargers 18; spread Rams −8.5, total 44.5. Last read: Kalshi 74%, Polymarket 74% for the Rams.