Cowboys at 68 percent in the model before a snap, and the score is still 0-0 with 14 minutes left in the first. Nobody in this thread has picked a side yet, so the crowd has nothing to say until the Cardinals or Cowboys do something.
NFL · · AT&T Stadium · every National Football League line
Arizona Cardinals vs Dallas Cowboys: final score and how the prediction did, November 1, 2026
- Final scoreCardinals 33, Cowboys 30 the projected winner lost
- Pregame Projected winnerCowboys 68%
- Pregame Projected scoreCowboys 27, Cardinals 21
- Model spreadCowboys −6 total 48.5
- Margin3 projected 6
- Total63 projected 48.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Arizona Cardinals or Dallas Cowboys: the bandwagon
Axle 32–68Market 25–76
Final · OTPregame: DAL 68%Baseline: DAL 82.7% (+14.9)Big swing: 99.3 ptsClutch window: 19:44
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 0 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 3 | 33 |
| DAL | 7 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 30 |
Game clock
Final
Down & distance
Final
Possession
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Arizona Cardinals at Dallas Cowboys win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumSwinging to ARI−48.4 points for DAL over the last 5:00
Big swing99.3 ptstoward ARI at 59:54 of game time
Clutch window19:44within 8 points in the final quarter
BaselineDAL 82.7%game average, +14.9 points from the pregame 67.8%
Arizona Cardinals vs Dallas Cowboys live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | ARI | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | ARI467 | DAL261 |
| First downs | ARI24 | DAL19 |
| 3rd down | ARI8/18 | DAL6/16 |
| 4th down | ARI1/2 | DAL1/2 |
| Turnovers | ARI2 | DAL0 |
| Penalties-yards | ARI9-77 | DAL7-45 |
| Yards per play | ARI6.0 | DAL3.6 |
| Time of possession | ARI33:25 | DAL33:42 |
| Red zone | ARI3/5 | DAL3/5 |
Arizona Cardinals vs Dallas Cowboys team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | ARI | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Score | ARI33 | DAL30 |
| Average win probability | ARI17% | DAL83% |
| Longest scoring run | ARI+7 | DAL+14 |
| Time leading | ARI0:00 | DAL47:27 |
Arizona Cardinals vs Dallas Cowboys model odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 1, 4:29 PM ET
Cardinals32%
Win chanceCowboys68%
SpreadDAL −6closing model spread
Total48.5
Moneyline+212away / −212homeaway / home
Line movementDAL win chance, 16 stored lines
+1 pts for DAL between Oct 28 and Nov 1
73%61%
Oct 28Oct 30Nov 1
Every stored line
| Stored | DAL win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 4:29 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 4:29 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 4:13 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 4:08 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 3:53 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 9:54 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 8:05 PM ET | 68% | +1 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:40 AM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 67% | — |
- Ratings
- DAL 1466 · ARI 1369
- Home spread
- −6
- Stored
- Nov 1, 4:29 PM ET · 2026-11-01 21:29 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Arizona Cardinals 33, Dallas Cowboys 30. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In National Football League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries in the data, not usedplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores · read Nov 1, 8:58 AM UTC
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:32 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Roofed venueforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · 2 picks
Be the first on the bandwagon
CardinalsCowboys
Neutrals only–
CardinalsCowboys
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Cowboys–
2 picks so far; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Cardinals vs Cowboys odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every NFL marketKalshi had the Cowboys at 76% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 76% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 68% when last read, .
| Source | ARI | DAL | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 25% | 76% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 25% | 76% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 32% | 68% | · model 2.0 |
Kalshi minus model, DAL: +8Polymarket minus model, DAL: +8
Ad · Bandwagon earns a commission: Trade on Kalshi (opens a new tab). 18+. Trading carries a risk of loss. Check your state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Arizona Cardinals vs Dallas Cowboys prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Cowboys a 6-point favorite at home, with a 68% chance to win. The model total is 48.5. Ratings: Cowboys 1447 (20th of 32), Cardinals 1389 (29th). The Cowboys are 3-5 in the NFC East; the Cardinals are 3-5 in the NFC West. The Cowboys have won 2 of their last 5; the Cardinals 2 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Cowboys won 0, the Cardinals 2. The roster source lists 8 Cowboys and 13 Cardinals players as injured.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Arizona Cardinals
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Dallas Cowboys | W 33–30 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Denver Broncos | L 16–30 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Los Angeles Rams | W 18–16 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Detroit Lions | L 21–45 | – | – | matchup | |
| at New York Giants | L 24–36 | – | – | matchup |
Dallas Cowboys
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Arizona Cardinals | L 30–33 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Philadelphia Eagles | W 38–21 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Green Bay Packers | L 13–23 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers | L 16–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Houston Texans | W 34–30 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Cardinals at Dallas Cowboys | 27–17 | – | – | matchup | |
| Dallas Cowboys at Arizona Cardinals | 16–28 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Arizona Cardinals: James Conner RB, Trey Benson RB, Will Johnson CB, Hunter Long TE, Xavier Weaver WR, Tip Reiman TE, Zachary Carter DT, Isaiah Adams G, Chase Bisontis G, Joey Blount S, Paris Johnson Jr. OT, Josh Minkins S, Kaleb Proctor DT
Dallas Cowboys: Marist Liufau LB, Jalen Thompson S, Jonathan Bullard DT, Malik Davis RB, Princeton Fant TE, Kelvin Gilliam Jr. DT, Matt Hennessy C, Devin Moore CB
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Cardinals3-5 NFC West, 4th · W1
- Cardinals rating1389 29th of 32, 8 games
- Cowboys3-5 NFC East, 2nd · L1
- Cowboys rating1447 20th of 32, 8 games
National Football League · NFC West · 4th · streak W1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $CARDINALS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $CARDINALS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $CARDINALS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $CARDINALS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Arizona Cardinals bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Dallas Cowboys 3-5
National Football League · NFC East · 2nd · streak L1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $COWBOYS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $COWBOYS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $COWBOYS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $COWBOYS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Dallas Cowboys bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Arizona Cardinals at Dallas Cowboys
Sign in to post a take on $CARDINALSCOWBOYS261101: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: Cardinals 33, Cowboys 30. Bandwagon's model had the Cowboys at 68% and projected Cowboys 27, Cardinals 21; spread Cowboys −6, total 48.5. Last read: Kalshi 76%, Polymarket 76% for the Cowboys.